PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Den Bosch vs Okapi Aalst Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 May 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 80-61
26-11 23-16 19-13 12-21
Position#8
Record20-15
FormLWWLW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game80.5
Den Bosch 🏆
vs
Okapi Aalst
Position#13
Record16-18
FormLLLWW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game80.1
EuropeBNXT League· Maaspoort
Other2024-25
Meetings · Den Bosch v Okapi Aalst
31 Jan 2027
DBO v OKAP
upcoming
14 Dec 2025
DBO98
OKAP76
07 May 2025
DBO80
OKAP61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Den Bosch winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Okapi Aalst winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Den BoschLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBosch
Date
Competition
Rotterdam
#4
W
86-76
86
76
+10
no box
H21/03
DBL Cup
Donar Groningen
#2
W
90-85 OT
90
85
+5
no box
H23/03
DBL Cup
Oostende
#2
L
84-96
84
96
-12
76avg 80
A29/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
96-59
96
59
+37
97avg 80
H02/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
71-73
71
73
-2
69avg 80
A11/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
L
78-79
78
79
-1
68avg 80
H18/04
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
101-97
101
97
+4
98avg 80
A21/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
89-70
89
70
+19
88avg 80
H27/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
79-98
79
98
-19
67avg 80
A30/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
83-56
83
56
+27
86avg 80
H04/05
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
21-12
15-23
23-17
16-16
15-19
22-19
21-20
22-25
18-25
14-21
30-25
22-21
24-12
28-16
22-10
17-27
16-12
17-10
21-24
25-24
21-19
18-17
14-19
22-25
21-19
24-22
34-31
22-15
22-20
22-17
23-18
29-33
20-25
14-21
16-19
26-14
18-19
17-14
22-9
164.6Avg total
85.7Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)83.580.5164.0+3.157%
Season at home (17)85.178.8163.9+6.459%
Season away (18)82.182.1164.1+0.056%
Last 10 (10)85.778.9164.6+6.860%
Last 5 (5)86.080.0166.0+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.786.0163.7-8.30%
vs Similar ◀ (9)85.778.0163.7+7.778%
vs Weaker (17)87.677.3164.9+10.382%
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Okapi AalstLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAalst
Date
Competition
Circus Brussels
#5
L
68-82
68
82
-14
63avg 73
H15/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
76-84
76
84
-8
65avg 73
A21/03
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
72-89
72
89
-17
63avg 73
H23/03
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
80-74 OT
80
74
+6
64avg 73
A29/03
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
82-85
82
85
-3
79avg 73
H02/04
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
L
80-87
80
87
-7
73avg 73
H12/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
66-80
66
80
-14
59avg 73
A18/04
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
75-90
75
90
-15
70avg 73
A26/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
W
79-78
79
78
+1
76avg 73
A30/04
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
100-78
100
78
+22
98avg 73
H03/05
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
19-25
18-24
11-12
14-20
23-27
22-21
17-16
25-21
19-27
17-20
11-21
20-15
16-12
10-22
22-19
29-24
14-19
18-19
21-23
21-22
22-26
12-19
25-20
19-24
10-16
28-22
9-18
20-28
17-17
13-23
25-22
22-23
22-20
17-20
18-15
32-16
32-25
23-23
13-14
160.5Avg total
77.8Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)80.680.1160.7+0.447%
Season at home (18)82.879.8162.6+3.150%
Season away (16)78.180.6158.6-2.544%
Last 10 (10)77.882.7160.5-4.930%
Last 5 (5)80.082.6162.6-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)73.884.6158.4-10.833%
vs Similar ◀ (8)81.584.0165.5-2.538%
vs Weaker (9)89.676.0165.6+13.678%
This opponent (Den Bosch) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -0.8-0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -0.8-0.8
Den BoschOkapi Aalst
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Den BoschLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rotterdam
#4
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H21/03
DBL Cup
Donar Groningen
#2
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H23/03
DBL Cup
Oostende
#2
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A29/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H02/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A11/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H18/04
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A21/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H27/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
49-58
49
58
-9
A30/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H04/05
BNXT League
83.0Avg total
42.4Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.438.481.8+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.738.782.5+5.067%-
Last 30 away (15)43.138.081.1+5.160%-
Last 10 (10)42.440.683.0+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)45.242.687.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.343.380.7-6.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)47.639.286.8+8.378%-
vs Weaker (17)42.438.180.5+4.265%-
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Okapi AalstLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Circus Brussels
#5
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H15/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A21/03
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H23/03
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A29/03
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H02/04
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H12/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A18/04
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A26/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A30/04
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
64-41
64
41
+23
H03/05
BNXT League
84.4Avg total
41.6Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.540.181.6+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.440.884.2+2.647%-
Last 30 away (15)39.739.379.0+0.353%-
Last 10 (10)41.642.884.4-1.230%-
Last 5 (5)43.443.486.8+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.441.779.1-4.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)44.439.984.2+4.550%-
vs Weaker (9)44.338.182.4+6.267%-
This opponent (Den Bosch) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Den Boschtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Den Bosch: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.622.8
59.1%
52.6%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.7
34.5%
34.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.413.7
70.6%
71.9%13.7
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Okapi Aalsttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Okapi Aalst: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.414.7
46.8%
52.6%29.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.2
37.1%
34.1%30.6
🏀 Free throws22.817.6
77.2%
71.9%17.6
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Den Bosch
WLWWLLWLWW
Okapi Aalst
WWLLLLWLLL
#8
League position
#13
+9.9
Net rating
-5.5
114.4
Offensive rating
104.3
104.5
Defensive rating
109.8
56.2%
Effective FG%
50.9%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
17.6%
Turnover %
19.5%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.39
34.5%
3-point %
37.1%
67.0%
Assist %
59.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence114.4 · 104.3Defence104.5 · 109.8Shooting56.2% · 50.9%3-point %34.5% · 37.1%Ball care17.6% · 19.5%Off. rebounds31.5% · 26.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Den Bosch   ■ Okapi Aalst
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Den Bosch wins
1
Okapi Aalst wins
DateGameScore
26/10/24Okapi Aalst v Den Bosch93-61
Den Boschlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/25HDen Helder83-56
30/04/25AAntwerp Giants79-98
27/04/25HBelfius Mons89-70
21/04/25AZwolle101-97
18/04/25HQSTA Utd78-79
11/04/25AKortrijk71-73
02/04/25HDonar Groningen96-59
29/03/25AOostende84-96
23/03/25HDonar Groningen90-85 OT
21/03/25HRotterdam86-76
Okapi Aalstlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25HBAL Weert100-78
30/04/25AMechelen79-78
26/04/25ALeuven Bears75-90
18/04/25ALimburg66-80
12/04/25HZwolle80-87
02/04/25HAntwerp Giants82-85
29/03/25AFeyenoord80-74 OT
23/03/25HSpirou Charleroi72-89
21/03/25AOostende76-84
15/03/25HCircus Brussels68-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Den Bosch
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW57%
HomeWWLWW59%
AwayWLLWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %57%59%56%
Points / game83.585.182.1
Allowed / game80.578.882.1
Point differential+3.1+6.4+0.0
Avg total164.0163.9164.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%29%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)33% (6)40% (5)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Okapi Aalst
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW47%
HomeLLLLW50%
AwayLWLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341816
Win %47%50%44%
Points / game80.682.878.1
Allowed / game80.179.880.6
Point differential+0.4+3.1-2.5
Avg total160.7162.6158.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%28%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)40% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %9%0%19%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kortrijk35251071%93.277.9+15.3
2 Oostende35251071%86.275.4+10.8
3 Limburg35251071%81.375.4+5.9
4 Mechelen34241071%81.575.3+6.2
5 Circus Brussels35241169%78.575.9+2.6
6 Antwerp Giants35221363%84.081.0+3.0
7 Leuven Bears35211460%79.873.9+5.9
8 Den Bosch35201557%83.580.5+3.1
9 Spirou Charleroi35191654%79.975.2+4.7
10 Belfius Mons35191654%79.978.6+1.2
11 LWD Basket35191654%82.183.1-1.1
12 Leiden34171750%77.480.3-2.9
13 Okapi Aalst34161847%80.680.1+0.4
14 Zwolle35122334%81.985.4-3.6
15 Donar Groningen35122334%77.683.6-6.0
16 Den Helder35122334%73.183.1-10.0
17 Feyenoord3592626%77.987.1-9.1
18 BAL Weert3562917%70.584.7-14.2
19 QSTA Utd3543111%76.288.4-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Den Bosch2623191280
Okapi Aalst1116132161
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.