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Okapi Aalst vs Zwolle Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 80-87
21-22 22-26 12-19 25-20
Position#13
Record14-15
FormLLLWL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game79.7
vs
Zwolle 🏆
Position#15
Record11-17
FormLWWWL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game83.4
EuropeBNXT League· Okapi Forum
Other2024-25
Meetings · Okapi Aalst v Zwolle
06 Mar 2027
OKAP v ZWO
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
OKAP81
ZWO95
12 Apr 2025
OKAP80
ZWO87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Okapi Aalst winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zwolle winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Okapi AalstLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAalst
Date
Competition
QSTA Utd
#19
W
103-90
103
90
+13
102avg 74
H01/02
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
W
80-71
80
71
+9
82avg 74
H07/02
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
84-91
84
91
-7
74avg 74
A16/02
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
65-79
65
79
-14
58avg 74
H01/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
63-91
63
91
-28
53avg 74
A12/03
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
L
68-82
68
82
-14
63avg 74
H15/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
76-84
76
84
-8
65avg 74
A21/03
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
72-89
72
89
-17
63avg 74
H23/03
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
80-74 OT
80
74
+6
64avg 74
A29/03
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
82-85
82
85
-3
79avg 74
H02/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
19-22
33-20
23-24
22-11
19-16
14-26
25-18
15-20
23-26
28-23
18-22
13-18
19-17
21-21
12-23
17-18
11-17
22-32
13-24
20-21
19-25
18-24
11-12
14-20
23-27
22-21
17-16
25-21
19-27
17-20
11-21
20-15
16-12
10-22
22-19
29-24
14-19
18-19
21-23
160.9Avg total
77.3Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)80.779.7160.4+1.048%
Season at home (16)81.979.4161.4+2.550%
Season away (13)79.280.1159.2-0.946%
Last 10 (10)77.383.6160.9-6.330%
Last 5 (5)75.682.8158.4-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.684.9160.5-9.340%
vs Similar ◀ (10)80.180.1160.2+0.040%
vs Weaker (9)88.877.4166.2+11.378%
This opponent (Zwolle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZwolleLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZwolle
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#9
L
85-90
85
90
-5
79avg 71
A25/01
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
L
75-78
75
78
-3
68avg 71
H02/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
67-71
67
71
-4
59avg 71
A08/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
79-60
79
60
+19
75avg 71
H16/02
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
L
78-80
78
80
-2
72avg 71
A02/03
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
L
67-75
67
75
-8
60avg 71
A12/03
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
76-71
76
71
+5
72avg 71
H16/03
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
96-90 OT
96
90
+6
88avg 71
H24/03
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
106-73
106
73
+33
113avg 71
A02/04
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
76-85
76
85
-9
68avg 71
H06/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
16-21
25-21
29-28
20-20
16-27
23-21
16-10
10-17
16-21
26-16
15-17
17-17
25-16
16-13
21-14
29-21
21-26
11-18
17-15
22-16
17-16
19-18
9-25
12-14
19-24
24-13
21-20
19-28
21-17
17-20
26-18
29-13
25-21
29-17
23-22
16-26
23-16
21-26
16-17
157.8Avg total
80.5Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)81.183.4164.5-2.239%
Season at home (15)80.980.1161.0+0.753%
Season away (13)81.587.1168.5-5.623%
Last 10 (10)80.577.3157.8+3.240%
Last 5 (5)84.278.8163.0+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)76.684.8161.3-8.219%
vs Similar ◀ (5)78.884.2163.0-5.440%
vs Weaker (8)90.280.6170.9+9.675%
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +0.7+0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +0.7+0.7
Okapi AalstZwolle
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Okapi AalstLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
QSTA Utd
#19
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H01/02
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H07/02
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A16/02
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H01/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A12/03
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H15/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A21/03
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H23/03
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A29/03
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H02/04
BNXT League
78.5Avg total
38.5Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.339.179.4+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.839.681.3+2.250%-
Last 30 away (14)38.638.677.2+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)38.540.078.5-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.842.282.0-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.341.579.8-3.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.037.778.7+3.350%-
vs Weaker (9)41.437.979.3+3.656%-
This opponent (Zwolle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZwolleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#9
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A25/01
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H02/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A08/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H16/02
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A02/03
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A12/03
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H16/03
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H24/03
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
54-34
54
34
+20
A02/04
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H06/04
BNXT League
78.5Avg total
38.8Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.643.282.8-3.624%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.741.580.3-2.827%-
Last 30 away (14)40.544.985.4-4.421%-
Last 10 (10)38.839.778.5-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)40.638.278.8+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)38.643.281.8-4.719%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)38.046.484.4-8.40%-
vs Weaker (8)42.641.083.6+1.650%-
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Okapi Aalsttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Okapi Aalst: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.816.0
47.3%
52.6%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.6
37.2%
34.1%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.416.3
76.2%
71.9%16.3
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zwolletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zwolle: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.120.9
56.3%
52.6%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.0
35.7%
34.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws14.010.7
76.4%
71.9%10.7
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Okapi Aalst
LWLLLLLLWW
Zwolle
LWWWLLWLLL
#13
League position
#15
-6.9
Net rating
+4.3
100.8
Offensive rating
106.8
107.7
Defensive rating
102.5
51.0%
Effective FG%
55.2%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
21.6%
Turnover %
17.9%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
21.8%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.22
37.2%
3-point %
35.7%
59.4%
Assist %
57.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.8 · 106.8Defence107.7 · 102.5Shooting51.0% · 55.2%3-point %37.2% · 35.7%Ball care21.6% · 17.9%Off. rebounds25.6% · 21.8%Free throws0.36 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Okapi Aalst   ■ Zwolle
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Okapi Aalst wins
1
Zwolle wins
DateGameScore
22/09/24Zwolle v Okapi Aalst90-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/25HAntwerp Giants82-85
29/03/25AFeyenoord80-74 OT
23/03/25HSpirou Charleroi72-89
21/03/25AOostende76-84
15/03/25HCircus Brussels68-82
12/03/25AKortrijk63-91
01/03/25HMechelen65-79
16/02/25ADonar Groningen84-91
07/02/25HLeiden80-71
01/02/25HQSTA Utd103-90
Zwollelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/25HSpirou Charleroi76-85
02/04/25AQSTA Utd106-73
24/03/25HDen Helder96-90 OT
16/03/25HLeuven Bears76-71
12/03/25AFeyenoord67-75
02/03/25ACircus Brussels78-80
16/02/25HOostende79-60
08/02/25ASpirou Charleroi67-71
02/02/25HLeiden75-78
25/01/25ABelfius Mons85-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Okapi Aalst
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL48%
HomeWLLLL50%
AwayWLLLW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %48%50%46%
Points / game80.781.979.2
Allowed / game79.779.480.1
Point differential+1.0+2.5-0.9
Avg total160.4161.4159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)40% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %10%0%23%
Zwolle
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL39%
HomeLWWWL53%
AwayLLLLW23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %39%53%23%
Points / game81.180.981.5
Allowed / game83.480.187.1
Point differential-2.2+0.7-5.6
Avg total164.5161.0168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)50% (4)0% (4)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kortrijk3024680%95.376.8+18.5
2 Oostende3124777%87.475.6+11.8
3 Mechelen2720774%81.976.0+5.9
4 Limburg30201067%80.675.3+5.3
5 Circus Brussels30191163%78.076.0+1.9
6 Antwerp Giants30181260%82.580.7+1.8
7 Spirou Charleroi30171357%81.375.6+5.7
8 Den Bosch30171357%83.180.5+2.6
9 Belfius Mons30171357%80.278.6+1.6
10 Leiden28151354%76.680.1-3.4
11 Leuven Bears30161453%79.874.2+5.6
12 Okapi Aalst29141548%80.779.7+1.0
13 LWD Basket29131645%80.784.6-3.9
14 Zwolle28111739%81.183.4-2.2
15 Den Helder3092130%73.184.4-11.2
16 Donar Groningen2781930%76.686.0-9.4
17 Feyenoord3082227%79.587.1-7.6
18 BAL Weert2962321%70.283.4-13.1
19 QSTA Utd3032710%77.389.7-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Okapi Aalst2122122580
Zwolle2226192087
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