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Okapi Aalst vs BAL Weert Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 May 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 100-78
32-16 32-25 23-23 13-14
Position#13
Record15-18
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game80.2
vs
Position#18
Record6-28
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.3
Allowed / game84.3
EuropeBNXT League· Okapi Forum
Other2024-25
Meetings · Okapi Aalst v BAL Weert
20 Dec 2025
OKAP108
BAL 73
03 May 2025
OKAP100
BAL 78
04 Mar 2023
OKAP102
BAL 67
22 Apr 2022
OKAP88
BAL 56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Okapi Aalst winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BAL Weert winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Okapi AalstLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAalst
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#1
L
63-91
63
91
-28
53avg 73
A12/03
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
L
68-82
68
82
-14
63avg 73
H15/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
76-84
76
84
-8
65avg 73
A21/03
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
72-89
72
89
-17
63avg 73
H23/03
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
80-74 OT
80
74
+6
64avg 73
A29/03
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
82-85
82
85
-3
79avg 73
H02/04
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
L
80-87
80
87
-7
73avg 73
H12/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
66-80
66
80
-14
59avg 73
A18/04
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
75-90
75
90
-15
70avg 73
A26/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
W
79-78
79
78
+1
76avg 73
A30/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
11-17
22-32
13-24
20-21
19-25
18-24
11-12
14-20
23-27
22-21
17-16
25-21
19-27
17-20
11-21
20-15
16-12
10-22
22-19
29-24
14-19
18-19
21-23
21-22
22-26
12-19
25-20
19-24
10-16
28-22
9-18
20-28
17-17
13-23
25-22
22-23
22-20
17-20
18-15
158.1Avg total
74.1Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)80.080.2160.2-0.245%
Season at home (17)81.879.9161.7+1.947%
Season away (16)78.180.6158.6-2.544%
Last 10 (10)74.184.0158.1-9.920%
Last 5 (5)76.484.0160.4-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)73.884.6158.4-10.833%
vs Similar (9)82.881.4164.2+1.344%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)88.275.8164.0+12.575%
This opponent (BAL Weert) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BAL WeertLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWeert
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#1
L
58-93
58
93
-35
43avg 60
H15/03
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
66-94
66
94
-28
56avg 60
H29/03
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
68-65
68
65
+3
58avg 60
A03/04
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
L
81-85
81
85
-4
74avg 60
A05/04
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
W
67-61
67
61
+6
61avg 60
H12/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
71-92
71
92
-21
58avg 60
H15/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
73-88
73
88
-15
72avg 60
A18/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
78-90
78
90
-12
49avg 60
H21/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
L
68-80
68
80
-12
64avg 60
A27/04
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
64-97
64
97
-33
49avg 60
H30/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
12-22
10-31
19-22
22-21
11-30
19-21
14-22
21-10
20-20
12-15
15-20
24-21
21-21
19-11
17-32
17-15
14-20
17-13
19-13
16-23
20-22
12-29
23-18
15-28
16-19
17-29
25-12
33-21
18-22
12-29
15-18
16-24
20-15
11-23
21-18
17-30
13-30
26-22
8-15
153.9Avg total
69.4Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)70.384.3154.6-13.918%
Season at home (17)69.983.8153.8-13.918%
Season away (17)70.784.7155.4-14.018%
Last 10 (10)69.484.5153.9-15.120%
Last 5 (5)70.889.4160.2-18.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)68.183.7151.8-15.511%
vs Similar (2)82.589.0171.5-6.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: -6.8-6.8Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -1.4-1.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: -6.8-6.8Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -1.4-1.4
Okapi AalstBAL Weert
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Okapi AalstLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#1
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A12/03
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H15/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A21/03
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H23/03
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A29/03
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H02/04
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H12/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A18/04
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A26/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A30/04
BNXT League
80.2Avg total
38.0Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.839.680.4+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.939.981.9+2.047%-
Last 30 away (15)39.739.379.0+0.353%-
Last 10 (10)38.042.280.2-4.220%-
Last 5 (5)39.243.883.0-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.441.779.1-4.233%-
vs Similar (9)44.138.682.7+5.656%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)41.937.879.6+4.162%-
This opponent (BAL Weert) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BAL WeertLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#1
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H15/03
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
33-51
33
51
-18
H29/03
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A03/04
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A05/04
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H12/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H15/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A18/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H21/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A27/04
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
30-60
30
60
-30
H30/04
BNXT League
79.5Avg total
36.3Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.240.876.0-5.627%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.141.175.2-6.919%-
Last 30 away (14)36.540.577.0-4.036%-
Last 10 (10)36.343.279.5-6.930%-
Last 5 (5)36.846.883.6-10.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)34.740.875.6-6.126%-
vs Similar (2)42.538.581.0+4.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Okapi Aalsttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Okapi Aalst: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.313.5
43.1%
52.6%27.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.8
36.8%
34.1%29.4
🏀 Free throws22.317.3
77.6%
71.9%17.3
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BAL Weerttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BAL Weert: 69.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.217.8
50.6%
52.6%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.5
30.9%
34.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws15.510.9
70.3%
71.9%10.9
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Okapi Aalst
WLLLLWLLLL
BAL Weert
LLLLLWLWLL
#13
League position
#18
-12.7
Net rating
-20.0
98.8
Offensive rating
94.4
111.5
Defensive rating
114.3
48.7%
Effective FG%
48.8%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
20.8%
Turnover %
19.7%
24.6%
Off. rebound %
20.2%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.8%
3-point %
30.9%
60.9%
Assist %
60.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence98.8 · 94.4Defence111.5 · 114.3Shooting48.7% · 48.8%3-point %36.8% · 30.9%Ball care20.8% · 19.7%Off. rebounds24.6% · 20.2%Free throws0.39 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Okapi Aalst   ■ BAL Weert
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Okapi Aalst wins
1
BAL Weert wins
DateGameScore
21/12/24BAL Weert v Okapi Aalst61-66
01/04/23BAL Weert v Okapi Aalst91-89
04/03/23Okapi Aalst v BAL Weert102-67
22/04/22Okapi Aalst v BAL Weert88-56
19/03/22BAL Weert v Okapi Aalst58-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/25AMechelen79-78
26/04/25ALeuven Bears75-90
18/04/25ALimburg66-80
12/04/25HZwolle80-87
02/04/25HAntwerp Giants82-85
29/03/25AFeyenoord80-74 OT
23/03/25HSpirou Charleroi72-89
21/03/25AOostende76-84
15/03/25HCircus Brussels68-82
12/03/25AKortrijk63-91
BAL Weertlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/25HOostende64-97
27/04/25AFeyenoord68-80
21/04/25HLimburg78-90
18/04/25AAntwerp Giants73-88
15/04/25HDonar Groningen71-92
12/04/25HCircus Brussels67-61
05/04/25ALeiden81-85
03/04/25ADen Helder68-65
29/03/25HBelfius Mons66-94
15/03/25HKortrijk58-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Okapi Aalst
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW45%
HomeLLLLL47%
AwayLWLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %45%47%44%
Points / game80.081.878.1
Allowed / game80.279.980.6
Point differential-0.2+1.9-2.5
Avg total160.2161.7158.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%24%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)40% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %9%0%19%
BAL Weert
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL18%
HomeLWLLL18%
AwayWWLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %18%18%18%
Points / game70.369.970.7
Allowed / game84.383.884.7
Point differential-13.9-13.9-14.0
Avg total154.6153.8155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%0%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende3425974%86.575.2+11.3
2 Kortrijk35251071%93.277.9+15.3
3 Limburg35251071%81.375.4+5.9
4 Mechelen34241071%81.575.3+6.2
5 Circus Brussels34231168%78.375.9+2.4
6 Antwerp Giants35221363%84.081.0+3.0
7 Leuven Bears34201459%79.973.9+6.0
8 Den Bosch34191556%83.681.2+2.4
9 Spirou Charleroi35191654%79.975.2+4.7
10 Belfius Mons34181653%79.878.6+1.2
11 LWD Basket34181653%82.183.3-1.3
12 Leiden34171750%77.480.3-2.9
13 Okapi Aalst33151845%80.080.2-0.2
14 Zwolle33122136%82.084.9-2.9
15 Den Helder34122235%73.683.1-9.5
16 Donar Groningen33112233%76.984.1-7.1
17 Feyenoord3592626%77.987.1-9.1
18 BAL Weert3462818%70.384.3-13.9
19 QSTA Utd3443012%76.288.5-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Okapi Aalst32322313100
BAL Weert1625231478
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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