PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Denmark vs Spain Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 64-74
23-25 10-20 14-15 17-14
Position#79
Record2-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Spain 🏆
Position#27
Record-
FormLWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeWorld CupRound 1· Kozlovskis M.
Other2027
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denmark winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Spain winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDenmark
Date
Competition
Georgia
#21
W
75-69
75
69
+6
no box
H23/02
EuroBasket
Finland
#34
L
85-89
85
89
-4
no box
A26/02
EuroBasket
Serbia
#1
L
52-72
52
72
-20
no box
H21/11
EuroBasket
Serbia
#1
L
51-98
51
98
-47
no box
A24/11
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
L
60-62
60
62
-2
48avg 61
A21/02
EuroBasket
Finland
#34
L
77-83
77
83
-6
73avg 61
H24/02
EuroBasket
Norway
#75
W
89-71
89
71
+18
no box
H02/08
World Cup
Croatia
#5
L
71-100
71
100
-29
no box
A09/08
World Cup
Norway
#75
W
79-70
79
70
+9
no box
A13/08
World Cup
Croatia
#5
L
76-79
76
79
-3
no box
H20/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-23
16-14
22-16
25-16
27-23
31-19
14-30
13-17
6-29
13-14
16-19
17-10
17-25
11-25
11-20
12-28
21-19
4-18
20-11
15-14
25-24
22-17
23-18
7-24
25-15
20-21
20-17
24-18
14-24
29-32
16-21
12-23
15-12
22-15
18-22
24-21
21-12
17-24
19-24
19-19
150.8Avg total
71.5Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.880.0158.8-1.250%
Season at home (2)82.575.0157.5+7.550%
Season away (2)75.085.0160.0-10.050%
Last 10 (10)71.579.3150.8-7.830%
Last 5 (5)78.480.6159.0-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)66.085.9151.9-19.90%
vs Similar (10)72.673.0145.6-0.430%
vs Weaker (12)79.773.0152.7+6.767%
This opponent (Spain) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpain
Date
Competition
Belgium
#18
L
53-58
53
58
-5
no box
A25/02
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
76-72 OT
76
72
+4
no box
A22/11
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
84-71
84
71
+13
no box
H25/11
EuroBasket
Latvia
#2
L
66-83
66
83
-17
59avg 69
A20/02
EuroBasket
Belgium
#18
W
59-52
59
52
+7
55avg 69
H23/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#14
L
69-83
69
83
-14
59avg 69
A28/08
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#13
W
88-67
88
67
+21
87avg 69
H30/08
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#24
W
91-47
91
47
+44
97avg 69
H31/08
EuroBasket
Italy
#7
L
63-67
63
67
-4
53avg 69
A02/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
L
86-90
86
90
-4
74avg 69
H04/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-11
12-8
13-21
14-18
14-10
24-15
10-21
11-13
22-18
25-14
24-25
13-14
17-20
17-21
16-22
16-20
11-11
11-14
20-15
17-12
17-20
18-17
14-20
20-26
24-16
20-14
28-17
16-20
19-9
22-8
29-12
21-18
18-10
18-20
11-19
16-18
20-31
15-19
28-18
23-22
142.5Avg total
73.5Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)73.569.0142.5+4.550%
Last 5 (5)79.470.8150.2+8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)67.672.0139.6-4.420%
vs Similar (7)78.176.4154.6+1.743%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)87.673.1160.7+14.689%
This opponent (Denmark) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -1.4-1.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -1.4-1.4
DenmarkSpain
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DenmarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#21
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H23/02
EuroBasket
Finland
#34
W
58-42
58
42
+16
A26/02
EuroBasket
Serbia
#1
L
19-43
19
43
-24
H21/11
EuroBasket
Serbia
#1
L
28-50
28
50
-22
A24/11
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A21/02
EuroBasket
Finland
#34
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H24/02
EuroBasket
Norway
#75
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H02/08
World Cup
Croatia
#5
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A09/08
World Cup
Norway
#75
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A13/08
World Cup
Croatia
#5
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H20/08
World Cup
77.3Avg total
36.8Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.238.175.3-0.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.538.075.5-0.560%-
Last 30 away (15)36.838.275.0-1.440%-
Last 10 (10)36.840.577.3-3.750%-
Last 5 (5)42.039.281.2+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)33.545.078.5-11.512%-
vs Similar (10)34.235.669.8-1.440%-
vs Weaker (12)42.135.677.7+6.583%-
This opponent (Spain) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SpainLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belgium
#18
W
26-19
26
19
+7
A25/02
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A22/11
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H25/11
EuroBasket
Latvia
#2
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A20/02
EuroBasket
Belgium
#18
L
22-25
22
25
-3
H23/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#14
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A28/08
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#13
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H30/08
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#24
W
41-17
41
17
+24
H31/08
EuroBasket
Italy
#7
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A02/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H04/09
EuroBasket
66.4Avg total
35.8Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.334.875.1+5.567%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.735.876.4+4.956%-
Last 30 away (14)39.933.873.6+6.179%-
Last 10 (10)35.830.666.4+5.260%-
Last 5 (5)38.232.871.0+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.432.666.0+0.840%-
vs Similar (7)38.734.373.0+4.486%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)42.835.778.5+7.267%-
This opponent (Denmark) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denmarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denmark: 71.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.1
51.0%
-36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.87.6
27.3%
-22.8
🏀 Free throws19.212.4
64.6%
-12.4
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Spaintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spain: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.116.7
49.0%
-33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.3
29.9%
-24.9
🏀 Free throws21.114.0
66.4%
-14.0
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denmark
LWLWLLLLLW
Spain
LLWWLWLWWL
#79
League position
#27
-2.5
Net rating
+5.9
98.9
Offensive rating
99.0
101.4
Defensive rating
93.1
46.6%
Effective FG%
47.1%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
45.3%
18.9%
Turnover %
17.9%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.34
27.3%
3-point %
29.9%
62.3%
Assist %
74.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Denmark   ■ Spain
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Denmark wins
0
Spain wins
No previous meetings.
Denmarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/08/25HCroatia76-79
13/08/25ANorway79-70
09/08/25ACroatia71-100
02/08/25HNorway89-71
24/02/25HFinland77-83
21/02/25AGeorgia60-62
24/11/24ASerbia51-98
21/11/24HSerbia52-72
26/02/24AFinland85-89
23/02/24HGeorgia75-69
Spainlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/09/25HGreece86-90
02/09/25AItaly63-67
31/08/25HCyprus91-47
30/08/25HBosnia & Herzegovina88-67
28/08/25AGeorgia69-83
23/02/25HBelgium59-52
20/02/25ALatvia66-83
25/11/24HSlovakia84-71
22/11/24ASlovakia76-72 OT
25/02/24ABelgium53-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denmark
World Cup 2027
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game78.882.575.0
Allowed / game80.075.085.0
Point differential-1.2+7.5-10.0
Avg total158.8157.5160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Spain
World Cup 2027
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Croatia440100%95.567.0+28.5
2 Greece110100%91.064.0+27.0
3 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
4 Iran110100%94.068.0+26.0
5 Saudi Arabia110100%75.051.0+24.0
6 South Sudan110100%79.055.0+24.0
7 Portugal110100%83.062.0+21.0
8 Jordan110100%74.059.0+15.0
9 Tunisia110100%88.078.0+10.0
10 Cape Verde110100%82.077.0+5.0
11 Lebanon110100%75.074.0+1.0
12 Switzerland108280%75.962.3+13.6
13 Ukraine54180%81.473.2+8.2
14 Netherlands43175%78.271.8+6.5
15 Romania96367%75.774.0+1.7
16 Austria85362%89.276.2+13.0
17 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
18 Hungary42250%80.270.5+9.8
19 Denmark42250%78.880.0-1.2
20 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
21 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
22 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
23 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
24 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
25 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
26 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
27 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
28 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
29 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
30 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
31 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
32 Qatar1010%74.075.0-1.0
33 Cameroon1010%77.082.0-5.0
34 Nigeria1010%78.088.0-10.0
35 Georgia1010%79.092.0-13.0
36 Syria1010%59.074.0-15.0
37 Montenegro1010%62.083.0-21.0
38 India1010%51.075.0-24.0
39 Libya1010%55.079.0-24.0
40 Iraq1010%68.094.0-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 40 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denmark2310141764
Spain2520151474
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.