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Denver vs Montana State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 79-78
47-33 32-45
Position#320
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game75.5
Denver 🏆
USA
vs
Position#238
Record1-2
FormWLLLW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game67.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Montana State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DenverUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota St.
#95
L
70-97
70
97
-27
A23/02
NCAA
UMKC
#200
L
69-84
69
84
-15
H01/03
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#118
L
58-83
58
83
-25
A03/03
NCAA
UMKC
#200
W
61-60
61
60
+1
A10/03
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#247
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A12/03
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#95
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A13/03
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
62-85
62
85
-23
A04/11
NCAA
Western Colorado
#447
W
97-80
97
80
+17
H08/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A13/11
NCAA
Colorado Christian
#540
W
86-63
86
63
+23
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
41-50
29-47
37-38
32-46
21-34
37-49
21-33
40-27
32-34
34-29
23-37
45-39
22-38
40-47
46-29
51-51
34-36
31-38
38-33
48-30
146.7Avg total
70.2Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.575.5153.0+2.050%
Season at home (2)91.571.5163.0+20.0100%
Season away (2)63.579.5143.0-16.00%
Last 10 (10)70.276.5146.7-6.340%
Last 5 (5)75.675.6151.2+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)74.483.6158.0-9.122%
vs Similar (16)80.183.1163.1-3.044%
vs Weaker (5)90.469.8160.2+20.6100%
This opponent (Montana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho
#313
W
62-48
62
48
+14
A01/03
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
L
104-108 OT
104
108
-4
A02/03
NCAA
Weber State
#101
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H05/03
NCAA
Weber State
#101
W
91-82
91
82
+9
A11/03
NCAA
Sacramento State
#329
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H13/03
NCAA
Montana
#65
W
85-70
85
70
+15
A14/03
NCAA
Grambling St.
#141
L
81-88 OT
81
88
-7
H20/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
67-79
67
79
-12
A08/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#147
L
69-89
69
89
-20
A10/11
NCAA
Northwest Indian
#675
W
93-35
93
35
+58
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
41-27
21-21
36-31
53-58
32-32
44-32
25-34
66-48
42-38
32-33
32-38
53-32
42-33
30-39
33-39
34-40
31-46
38-43
60-15
33-20
153.6Avg total
80.2Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)76.367.7144.0+8.733%
Season at home (1)93.035.0128.0+58.0100%
Season away (2)68.084.0152.0-16.00%
Last 10 (10)80.273.4153.6+6.860%
Last 5 (5)79.072.2151.2+6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.481.3157.7-4.940%
vs Similar (11)78.180.0158.1-1.945%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)77.063.3140.3+13.767%
This opponent (Denver) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.7-4.71st half: +4.1+4.12nd half2nd half: -1.6-1.62nd half: +3.8+3.8
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.7-4.71st half: +4.1+4.12nd half2nd half: -1.6-1.62nd half: +3.8+3.8
DenverMontana State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DenverLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota St.
#95
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A23/02
NCAA
UMKC
#200
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H01/03
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#118
L
21-34
21
34
-13
A03/03
NCAA
UMKC
#200
L
21-33
21
33
-12
A10/03
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#247
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A12/03
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#95
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A13/03
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
22-38
22
38
-16
A04/11
NCAA
Western Colorado
#447
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H08/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A13/11
NCAA
Colorado Christian
#540
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H15/11
NCAA
67.7Avg total
31.5Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.138.474.5-2.433%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.336.476.7+3.957%-
Last 30 away (16)32.440.272.6-7.812%-
Last 10 (10)31.536.267.7-4.720%-
Last 5 (5)32.634.667.2-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)33.038.971.9-5.933%-
vs Similar (16)35.140.875.9-5.812%-
vs Weaker (5)44.830.074.8+14.8100%-
This opponent (Montana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho
#313
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A01/03
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A02/03
NCAA
Weber State
#101
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H05/03
NCAA
Weber State
#101
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A11/03
NCAA
Sacramento State
#329
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H13/03
NCAA
Montana
#65
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A14/03
NCAA
Grambling St.
#141
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H20/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A08/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#147
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A10/11
NCAA
Northwest Indian
#675
W
60-15
60
15
+45
H12/11
NCAA
70.7Avg total
37.4Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.634.671.2+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.532.370.8+6.160%-
Last 30 away (15)34.736.971.6-2.347%-
Last 10 (10)37.433.370.7+4.150%-
Last 5 (5)39.634.273.8+5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)31.636.968.5-5.320%-
vs Similar (11)37.235.873.0+1.464%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)41.330.772.0+10.778%-
This opponent (Denver) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Denver wins
0
Montana State wins
No previous meetings.
Denverlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/24HColorado Christian86-63
13/11/24AColorado State65-74
08/11/24HWestern Colorado97-80
04/11/24AStanford62-85
13/03/24ASouth Dakota St.68-76
12/03/24ANebraska O.66-63
10/03/24AUMKC61-60
03/03/24ASt. Thomas (Minn.)58-83
01/03/24HUMKC69-84
23/02/24ASouth Dakota St.70-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/24HNorthwest Indian93-35
10/11/24AWichita State69-89
08/11/24AWisconsin67-79
20/03/24HGrambling St.81-88 OT
14/03/24AMontana85-70
13/03/24HSacramento State74-71
11/03/24AWeber State91-82
05/03/24HWeber State76-64
02/03/24AEast. Washington104-108 OT
01/03/24AIdaho62-48

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game77.591.563.5
Allowed / game75.571.579.5
Point differential+2.0+20.0-16.0
Avg total153.0163.0143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Montana State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game76.393.068.0
Allowed / game67.735.084.0
Point differential+8.7+58.0-16.0
Avg total144.0128.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Dakota Coyotes54180%86.074.8+11.2
2 St. Thomas (Minn.)43175%89.870.2+19.5
3 North Dakota32167%72.769.0+3.7
4 South Dakota St.32167%76.376.7-0.3
5 UMKC42250%81.866.2+15.5
6 Oral Roberts42250%81.266.5+14.8
7 North Dakota St42250%83.275.5+7.8
8 Denver42250%77.575.5+2.0
9 Nebraska O.52340%74.074.4-0.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Colorado43175%88.567.5+21.0
2 Northern Arizona43175%84.865.8+19.0
3 Portland State32167%102.786.7+16.0
4 Idaho State42250%70.564.8+5.8
5 Montana42250%72.869.0+3.8
6 Montana State31233%76.367.7+8.7
7 Weber State31233%74.766.3+8.3
8 East. Washington31233%75.382.0-6.7
9 Sacramento State41325%71.562.8+8.8
10 Idaho41325%76.881.0-4.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Denver473279
Montana State334578
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