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Weber State vs Montana State Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 11 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 82-91
34-25 48-66
Position#101
Record20-11
FormWLWWL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game66.8
vs
Position#213
Record14-17
FormWLWLW
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game74.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Weber State v Montana State
09 Jan 2027
WEBE v MONT
upcoming
19 Feb 2026
WEBE82
MONT79
18 Jan 2025
WEBE71
MONT80
11 Mar 2024
WEBE82
MONT91
30 Dec 2023
WEBE86
MONT64
09 Feb 2023
WEBE73
MONT63
05 Feb 2022
WEBE57
MONT78
06 Feb 2021
WEBE82
MONT74
04 Feb 2021
WEBE96
MONT88
23 Jan 2020
WEBE61
MONT62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Weber State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Montana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Weber StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Arizona
#272
W
72-70
72
70
+2
A02/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
W
82-63
82
63
+19
A04/02
NCAA
Portland State
#184
W
84-72
84
72
+12
H09/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#329
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H11/02
NCAA
Idaho
#313
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A16/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
W
90-84
90
84
+6
A17/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#279
L
62-80
62
80
-18
A25/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
W
85-81 OT
85
81
+4
H01/03
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
W
85-58
85
58
+27
H02/03
NCAA
Montana State
#213
L
64-76
64
76
-12
A05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
35-27
37-43
36-30
46-33
45-26
39-46
30-22
28-31
28-30
42-39
44-33
46-51
26-32
36-48
33-36
38-35
40-34
45-24
32-32
32-44
145.8Avg total
75.2Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)75.266.8142.0+8.565%
Season at home (15)82.862.9145.7+19.987%
Season away (16)68.170.4138.5-2.244%
Last 10 (10)75.270.6145.8+4.680%
Last 5 (5)77.275.8153.0+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)61.057.0118.0+4.0100%
vs Similar (8)72.971.4144.2+1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)73.468.2141.6+5.263%
This opponent (Montana State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East. Washington
#81
W
70-60
70
60
+10
H02/02
NCAA
Idaho
#313
L
75-81
75
81
-6
H04/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
L
70-73
70
73
-3
A09/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A10/02
NCAA
Montana
#65
L
69-88
69
88
-19
A18/02
NCAA
Portland State
#184
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H23/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#329
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H25/02
NCAA
Idaho
#313
W
62-48
62
48
+14
A01/03
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
L
104-108 OT
104
108
-4
A02/03
NCAA
Weber State
#101
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
32-25
38-35
30-31
45-50
36-35
34-38
41-36
30-40
30-40
39-48
36-37
36-30
25-29
38-37
41-27
21-21
36-31
53-58
32-32
44-32
146.3Avg total
73.2Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)74.374.0148.4+0.345%
Season at home (17)76.871.0147.8+5.859%
Season away (14)71.377.7149.0-6.429%
Last 10 (10)73.273.1146.3+0.140%
Last 5 (5)75.470.6146.0+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)73.681.6155.2-8.025%
vs Similar (14)73.174.6147.8-1.550%
vs Weaker (7)75.166.3141.4+8.957%
This opponent (Weber State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.7+4.71st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: -1.1-1.1
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.7+4.71st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: -1.1-1.1
Weber StateMontana State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Weber StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Arizona
#272
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A02/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A04/02
NCAA
Portland State
#184
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H09/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#329
W
30-22
30
22
+8
H11/02
NCAA
Idaho
#313
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A16/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A17/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#279
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A25/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H01/03
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H02/03
NCAA
Montana State
#213
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A05/03
NCAA
65.1Avg total
34.9Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.331.066.2+4.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.628.768.4+10.979%-
Last 30 away (16)31.432.964.4-1.531%-
Last 10 (10)34.930.265.1+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)35.033.468.4+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)26.037.063.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (8)35.032.167.1+2.962%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)34.632.066.6+2.647%-
This opponent (Montana State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East. Washington
#81
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H02/02
NCAA
Idaho
#313
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H04/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A09/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A10/02
NCAA
Montana
#65
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A18/02
NCAA
Portland State
#184
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H23/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#329
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H25/02
NCAA
Idaho
#313
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A01/03
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A02/03
NCAA
Weber State
#101
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H05/03
NCAA
66.2Avg total
33.9Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.533.968.3+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.332.466.8+1.950%-
Last 30 away (14)34.635.570.1-0.957%-
Last 10 (10)33.932.366.2+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)34.031.265.2+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)31.436.067.4-4.625%-
vs Similar (14)34.533.467.9+1.164%-
vs Weaker (7)38.631.970.4+6.771%-
This opponent (Weber State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Weber State wins
5
Montana State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/24AMontana State64-76
02/03/24HNorthern Arizona85-58
01/03/24HNorthern Colorado85-81 OT
25/02/24AIdaho State62-80
17/02/24AEast. Washington90-84
16/02/24AIdaho70-69
11/02/24HSacramento State58-53
09/02/24HPortland State84-72
04/02/24ANorthern Colorado82-63
02/02/24ANorthern Arizona72-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/24HWeber State76-64
02/03/24AEast. Washington104-108 OT
01/03/24AIdaho62-48
25/02/24HSacramento State63-66
23/02/24HPortland State72-67
18/02/24AMontana69-88
10/02/24ANorthern Arizona71-76
09/02/24ANorthern Colorado70-73
04/02/24HIdaho75-81
02/02/24HEast. Washington70-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Weber State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL65%
HomeLWWWW87%
AwayWWWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %65%87%44%
Points / game75.282.868.1
Allowed / game66.862.970.4
Point differential+8.5+19.9-2.2
Avg total142.0145.7138.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%67%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)75% (4)50% (8)
Overtime %6%13%0%
Montana State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW45%
HomeWLWLW59%
AwayLLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %45%59%29%
Points / game74.376.871.3
Allowed / game74.071.077.7
Point differential+0.3+5.8-6.4
Avg total148.4147.8149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%29%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)60% (5)17% (6)
Overtime %10%12%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Montana31211068%77.371.3+6.0
2 East. Washington32211166%80.875.2+5.6
3 Weber State31201165%75.266.8+8.5
4 Northern Colorado32191359%80.277.8+2.4
5 Portland State31171455%71.671.4+0.3
6 Montana State31141745%74.374.0+0.3
7 Idaho State33141942%70.970.0+0.8
8 Northern Arizona33141942%68.676.6-8.0
9 Idaho32112134%67.871.2-3.4
10 Sacramento State33102330%67.070.3-3.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Weber State344882
Montana State256691
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