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Detroit Pistons vs Phoenix Suns Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 17 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record8-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game113.3
Allowed / game106.3
vs
Position#29
Record2-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game110.3
Allowed / game119.0
USANBA· Little Caesars Arena
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Detroit Pistons v Phoenix Suns
16 Dec 2026
DET v PHX
upcoming
05 Oct 2026
DET109
PHX107
15 Jan 2026
DET108
PHX105
18 Jan 2025
DET121
PHX125
08 Oct 2024
DET97
PHX105
05 Nov 2023
DET106
PHX120
08 Oct 2023
DET126
PHX130
04 Feb 2023
DET100
PHX116
16 Jan 2022
DET108
PHX135
08 Jan 2021
DET110
PHX105
05 Feb 2020
DET116
PHX108
25 Nov 2018
DET118
PHX107
29 Nov 2017
DET131
PHX107
19 Mar 2017
DET112
PHX95
02 Dec 2015
DET127
PHX122
19 Nov 2014
DET86
PHX88
11 Jan 2014
DET110
PHX108
28 Nov 2012
DET117
PHX77
22 Jan 2011
DET75
PHX74
02 Apr 2010
DET94
PHX109
08 Feb 2009
DET97
PHX107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Detroit Pistons win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Detroit PistonsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
109-107
109
107
+2
H05/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#11
L
108-114 OT
108
114
-6
A10/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
W
128-106
128
106
+22
A15/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
129-125
129
125
+4
H16/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#2
W
121-113
121
113
+8
H20/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
128-111
128
111
+17
A24/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#9
W
106-93
106
93
+13
A25/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#27
L
97-111
97
111
-14
A28/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
97-89
97
89
+8
H28/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
110-94
110
94
+16
A30/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-35
29-33
34-16
25-23
20-40
30-16
28-24
20-18
29-38
36-20
32-24
31-24
33-33
26-19
34-28
36-45
27-28
18-30
37-30
39-25
41-26
24-27
38-27
25-31
34-22
22-22
23-25
27-24
38-25
12-26
13-37
34-23
21-22
23-29
32-19
21-19
21-28
35-21
36-17
18-28
219.6Avg total
113.3Scored
106.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)113.3106.3219.6+7.080%
Season at home (4)114.0108.5222.5+5.5100%
Season away (6)112.8104.8217.7+8.067%
Last 10 (10)113.3106.3219.6+7.080%
Last 5 (5)107.699.6207.2+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)121.0113.0234.0+8.0100%
vs Similar (3)125.0110.3235.3+14.7100%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)108.8104.7213.5+4.262%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
122-131
122
131
-9
H28/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
107-109
107
109
-2
A05/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
L
117-124
117
124
-7
A08/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
W
102-98
102
98
+4
H11/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
L
103-123
103
123
-20
A15/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#20
L
116-119
116
119
-3
H17/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
L
83-124
83
124
-41
A22/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
W
131-122
131
122
+9
H25/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#16
L
114-125
114
125
-11
A27/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#8
L
120-127
120
127
-7
H31/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-37
34-38
31-31
24-25
35-21
33-29
16-34
23-25
40-29
24-33
26-31
27-31
35-25
23-26
27-22
17-25
23-22
26-38
26-32
28-31
30-31
35-28
30-31
21-29
12-43
27-29
27-35
17-17
22-25
35-29
45-38
29-30
27-33
26-34
32-32
29-26
37-32
30-39
26-32
27-24
231.7Avg total
111.5Scored
120.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)110.3119.0229.3-8.722%
Season at home (4)117.2116.5233.8+0.850%
Season away (5)104.8121.0225.8-16.20%
Last 10 (10)111.5120.2231.7-8.720%
Last 5 (5)112.8123.4236.2-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)109.7117.5227.1-7.820%
vs Similar (10)108.1113.5221.6-5.420%
vs Weaker (5)120.4107.8228.2+12.680%
This opponent (Detroit Pistons) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +6.0+6.0Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -2.1-2.1
Detroit PistonsPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Detroit PistonsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
50-68
50
68
-18
H05/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#11
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A10/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
W
65-58
65
58
+7
A15/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H16/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#2
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H20/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
65-53
65
53
+12
A24/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#9
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A25/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#27
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A28/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H28/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A30/10
NBA
108.0Avg total
54.0Scored
54.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.355.5111.8+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.053.9108.9+1.150%-
Last 30 away (16)57.456.9114.3+0.656%-
Last 10 (10)54.054.0108.0+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)54.249.6103.8+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.058.0103.0-13.00%-
vs Similar (3)64.058.3122.3+5.7100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)55.855.1110.9+0.850%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
67-75
67
75
-8
H28/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
68-50
68
50
+18
A05/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
W
64-62
64
62
+2
A08/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H11/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
L
49-60
49
60
-11
A15/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#20
W
65-59
65
59
+6
H17/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
L
39-72
39
72
-33
A22/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H25/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#16
L
53-67
53
67
-14
A27/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#8
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H31/10
NBA
120.8Avg total
58.7Scored
62.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.859.7118.5-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (14)60.457.6117.9+2.857%-
Last 30 away (16)57.461.5118.9-4.138%-
Last 10 (10)58.762.1120.8-3.450%-
Last 5 (5)56.264.6120.8-8.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)57.861.3119.1-3.540%-
vs Similar (10)58.359.8118.1-1.540%-
vs Weaker (5)62.854.4117.2+8.480%-
This opponent (Detroit Pistons) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Detroit Pistonstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Detroit Pistons: 113.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.626.5
53.4%
54.0%53.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.113.0
35.0%
34.9%39.0
🏀 Free throws28.921.0
72.7%
76.4%21.0
They take 86.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 112.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.928.3
56.7%
54.0%56.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.913.0
34.3%
34.9%39.0
🏀 Free throws23.217.2
74.1%
76.4%17.2
They take 87.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Detroit Pistons
WWLWWWWWLW
Phoenix Suns
LLWLLLWLLL
#3
League position
#29
+2.8
Net rating
-5.8
101.9
Offensive rating
102.1
99.1
Defensive rating
107.9
53.1%
Effective FG%
54.4%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
15.4%
Turnover %
16.4%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.0%
3-point %
34.3%
66.3%
Assist %
59.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence101.9 · 102.1Defence99.1 · 107.9Shooting53.1% · 54.4%3-point %35.0% · 34.3%Ball care15.4% · 16.4%Off. rebounds27.6% · 31.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Detroit Pistons   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Detroit Pistons wins
6
Phoenix Suns wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26ABrooklyn Nets110-94
28/10/26HCharlotte Hornets97-89
28/10/26ANew York Knicks97-111
25/10/26APhiladelphia 76ers106-93
24/10/26AMiami Heat128-111
20/10/26HBoston Celtics121-113
16/10/26HToronto Raptors129-125
15/10/26AMinnesota Timberwolves128-106
10/10/26AWashington Wizards108-114 OT
05/10/26HPhoenix Suns109-107
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HDenver Nuggets120-127
27/10/26AOklahoma City Thunder114-125
25/10/26HGolden State Warriors131-122
22/10/26APortland Trail Blazers83-124
17/10/26HUtah Jazz116-119
15/10/26ASan Antonio Spurs103-123
11/10/26HSan Antonio Spurs102-98
08/10/26AChicago Bulls117-124
05/10/26ADetroit Pistons107-109
28/04/26HOklahoma City Thunder122-131

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Detroit Pistons
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game113.3114.0112.8
Allowed / game106.3108.5104.8
Point differential+7.0+5.5+8.0
Avg total219.6222.5217.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%0%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %10%0%17%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL22%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%50%0%
Points / game110.3117.2104.8
Allowed / game119.0116.5121.0
Point differential-8.7+0.8-16.2
Avg total229.3233.8225.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Memphis Grizzlies98189%117.9108.2+9.7
2 Boston Celtics87188%125.5110.9+14.6
3 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
4 Houston Rockets97278%121.3110.9+10.4
5 Portland Trail Blazers75271%120.3114.3+6.0
6 Orlando Magic85362%118.9118.1+0.8
7 Atlanta Hawks106460%120.0119.2+0.8
8 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
9 Philadelphia 76ers106460%110.6111.0-0.4
10 Golden State Warriors127558%115.2110.8+4.4
11 Washington Wizards95456%112.7111.2+1.4
12 Minnesota Timberwolves116555%119.2114.2+5.0
13 Los Angeles Lakers116555%113.2112.6+0.5
14 San Antonio Spurs105550%115.5109.4+6.1
15 Cleveland Cavaliers84450%117.2118.2-1.0
16 Oklahoma City Thunder105550%109.0110.8-1.8
17 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
18 Toronto Raptors94544%120.4112.6+7.9
19 New Orleans Pelicans94544%115.4116.6-1.1
20 Utah Jazz94544%112.8115.6-2.8
21 Dallas Mavericks94544%113.6116.9-3.3
22 Charlotte Hornets94544%98.8105.8-7.0
23 Los Angeles Clippers83538%107.4110.5-3.1
24 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
25 Indiana Pacers93633%119.3119.0+0.3
26 Brooklyn Nets93633%116.4118.9-2.4
27 New York Knicks103730%106.9116.0-9.1
28 Milwaukee Bucks103730%111.4122.0-10.6
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings100100%106.5122.2-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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