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Detroit Pistons vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 108-105
23-32 33-31 33-27 19-15
Position#3
Record28-10
FormLWWWL
Points / game117.8
Allowed / game111.2
vs
Position#16
Record24-15
FormLWWWL
Points / game115.5
Allowed / game111.5
USANBA· Little Caesars Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Detroit Pistons v Phoenix Suns
16 Dec 2026
DET v PHX
upcoming
15 Jan 2026
DET108
PHX105
18 Jan 2025
DET121
PHX125
05 Nov 2023
DET106
PHX120
04 Feb 2023
DET100
PHX116
16 Jan 2022
DET108
PHX135
08 Jan 2021
DET110
PHX105
05 Feb 2020
DET116
PHX108
25 Nov 2018
DET118
PHX107
29 Nov 2017
DET131
PHX107
19 Mar 2017
DET112
PHX95
02 Dec 2015
DET127
PHX122
19 Nov 2014
DET86
PHX88
11 Jan 2014
DET110
PHX108
28 Nov 2012
DET117
PHX77
22 Jan 2011
DET75
PHX74
02 Apr 2010
DET94
PHX109
08 Feb 2009
DET97
PHX107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Detroit Pistons winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Detroit PistonsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistons
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
110-102
110
102
+8
97avg 109
A23/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
136-127
136
127
+9
134avg 109
A24/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
129-131
129
131
-2
128avg 109
A27/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
99-112
99
112
-13
89avg 109
A29/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
128-106
128
106
+22
130avg 109
A31/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
112-118
112
118
-6
107avg 109
H02/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
114-110
114
110
+4
103avg 109
A04/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
121-90
121
90
+31
117avg 109
H06/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
108-93
108
93
+15
105avg 109
H08/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
92-98
92
98
-6
82avg 109
H11/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-26
31-25
34-27
15-24
37-24
38-34
40-39
21-30
36-33
32-34
35-44
26-20
20-33
22-27
27-32
30-20
36-30
34-35
26-23
32-18
26-33
28-30
27-31
31-24
19-28
47-28
21-26
27-28
30-29
34-25
25-15
32-21
30-24
22-26
24-27
32-16
28-14
27-27
21-27
16-30
223.6Avg total
114.9Scored
108.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)117.8111.2229.1+6.674%
Season at home (19)117.3108.5225.7+8.879%
Season away (19)118.4114.0232.4+4.468%
Last 10 (10)114.9108.7223.6+6.260%
Last 5 (5)109.4101.8211.2+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)114.899.5214.2+15.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)119.0113.0232.0+6.073%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
123-114
123
114
+9
116avg 107
A28/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
115-101
115
101
+14
103avg 107
A30/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
113-129
113
129
-16
98avg 107
A31/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
129-102
129
102
+27
123avg 107
H03/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
108-105
108
105
+3
103avg 107
H05/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
97-100
97
100
-3
85avg 107
A06/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
117-98
117
98
+19
113avg 107
A08/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
112-107
112
107
+5
101avg 107
H10/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
112-93
112
93
+19
108avg 107
H12/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
121-127
121
127
-6
106avg 107
A14/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-33
33-22
28-30
30-29
22-23
39-31
26-25
28-22
21-37
33-30
35-29
24-33
32-29
30-27
35-27
32-19
20-26
22-23
32-24
34-32
29-25
31-29
18-24
19-22
30-23
35-24
26-21
26-30
28-23
34-37
32-26
18-21
32-28
33-22
31-17
16-26
28-36
26-35
38-21
29-35
222.3Avg total
114.7Scored
107.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)115.5111.5227.0+4.062%
Season at home (19)116.2108.1224.3+8.174%
Season away (20)114.8114.7229.6+0.150%
Last 10 (10)114.7107.6222.3+7.170%
Last 5 (5)111.8105.0216.8+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)112.5109.2221.8+3.275%
vs Similar (16)112.8113.8226.6-1.144%
vs Weaker (10)120.0102.6222.6+17.4100%
This opponent (Detroit Pistons) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -1.3-1.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -1.3-1.3
Detroit PistonsPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Detroit PistonsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
61-51
61
51
+10
A23/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
75-58
75
58
+17
A24/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
68-67
68
67
+1
A27/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
42-60
42
60
-18
A29/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
70-65
70
65
+5
A31/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
54-63
54
63
-9
H02/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
66-56
66
56
+10
A04/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H06/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H08/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H11/01
NBA
117.2Avg total
60.7Scored
56.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.255.8117.0+5.480%-
Last 30 at home (14)60.153.4113.6+6.786%-
Last 30 away (16)62.157.8119.9+4.375%-
Last 10 (10)60.756.5117.2+4.280%-
Last 5 (5)58.252.8111.0+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)57.553.2110.8+4.275%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)61.856.2117.9+5.681%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A28/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
61-54
61
54
+7
A30/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
54-67
54
67
-13
A31/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
62-56
62
56
+6
H03/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H05/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
60-54
60
54
+6
A06/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
65-47
65
47
+18
A08/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
62-60
62
60
+2
H10/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
65-50
65
50
+15
H12/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
54-71
54
71
-17
A14/01
NBA
115.3Avg total
59.0Scored
56.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.655.4115.0+4.267%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.554.6113.1+3.957%-
Last 30 away (16)60.656.1116.8+4.575%-
Last 10 (10)59.056.3115.3+2.770%-
Last 5 (5)61.256.4117.6+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)51.255.2106.5-4.025%-
vs Similar (16)59.358.8118.1+0.656%-
vs Weaker (10)63.550.1113.6+13.4100%-
This opponent (Detroit Pistons) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Detroit Pistonstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Detroit Pistons: 114.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.531.0
54.9%
54.8%62.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.711.7
36.9%
35.8%35.1
🏀 Free throws23.317.8
76.4%
78.1%17.8
They take 88.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 114.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.425.6
50.8%
54.8%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.316.0
37.0%
35.8%48.0
🏀 Free throws19.215.5
80.7%
78.1%15.5
They take 93.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Detroit Pistons
LWWWLWLLWW
Phoenix Suns
LWWWLWWLWW
#3
League position
#16
+6.1
Net rating
+7.1
114.0
Offensive rating
114.7
107.8
Defensive rating
107.6
55.0%
Effective FG%
52.9%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
15.2%
Turnover %
12.7%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.20
36.9%
3-point %
37.0%
66.3%
Assist %
59.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.0 · 114.7Defence107.8 · 107.6Shooting55.0% · 52.9%3-point %36.9% · 37.0%Ball care15.2% · 12.7%Off. rebounds31.1% · 31.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Detroit Pistons   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Detroit Pistons wins
8
Phoenix Suns wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26HLos Angeles Clippers92-98
08/01/26HChicago Bulls108-93
06/01/26HNew York Knicks121-90
04/01/26ACleveland Cavaliers114-110
02/01/26HMiami Heat112-118
31/12/25ALos Angeles Lakers128-106
29/12/25ALos Angeles Clippers99-112
27/12/25AUtah Jazz129-131
24/12/25ASacramento Kings136-127
23/12/25APortland Trail Blazers110-102
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26AMiami Heat121-127
12/01/26HWashington Wizards112-93
10/01/26HNew York Knicks112-107
08/01/26AMemphis Grizzlies117-98
06/01/26AHouston Rockets97-100
05/01/26HOklahoma City Thunder108-105
03/01/26HSacramento Kings129-102
31/12/25ACleveland Cavaliers113-129
30/12/25AWashington Wizards115-101
28/12/25ANew Orleans Pelicans123-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Detroit Pistons
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL74%
HomeWLWWL79%
AwayWLLWW68%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %74%79%68%
Points / game117.8117.3118.4
Allowed / game111.2108.5114.0
Point differential+6.6+8.8+4.4
Avg total229.1225.7232.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%53%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)67% (3)50% (10)
Overtime %5%5%5%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL62%
HomeWWWWW74%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391920
Win %62%74%50%
Points / game115.5116.2114.8
Allowed / game111.5108.1114.7
Point differential+4.0+8.1+0.1
Avg total227.0224.3229.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%42%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)62% (8)20% (5)
Overtime %3%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder3933685%121.2108.5+12.7
2 Detroit Pistons38281074%117.8111.2+6.6
3 Denver Nuggets41281368%122.6117.2+5.3
4 Minnesota Timberwolves41271466%120.3114.6+5.8
5 San Antonio Spurs38251366%117.4112.7+4.7
6 Los Angeles Lakers37241365%116.4116.0+0.4
7 Houston Rockets37231462%117.9110.8+7.1
8 Boston Celtics39241562%116.6110.1+6.5
9 Phoenix Suns39241562%115.5111.5+4.0
10 Toronto Raptors41251661%114.2112.0+2.2
11 New York Knicks38231561%118.7115.1+3.6
12 Orlando Magic39221756%116.2114.6+1.5
13 Philadelphia 76ers39221756%116.8115.6+1.2
14 Cleveland Cavaliers42231955%120.1117.5+2.6
15 Miami Heat39211854%119.8117.8+2.0
16 Golden State Warriors41221954%115.5113.2+2.3
17 Atlanta Hawks42202248%118.3118.9-0.6
18 Chicago Bulls40192148%117.5120.9-3.5
19 Portland Trail Blazers41192246%115.8118.9-3.0
20 Los Angeles Clippers40172342%112.2113.3-1.0
21 Memphis Grizzlies40172342%114.8116.2-1.4
22 Milwaukee Bucks40172342%112.7115.7-3.0
23 Dallas Mavericks41152637%112.9116.9-4.0
24 Charlotte Hornets40142635%116.1116.7-0.5
25 Utah Jazz40142635%119.3127.0-7.7
26 Brooklyn Nets38112729%108.8113.9-5.1
27 Sacramento Kings41113027%110.2120.7-10.5
28 Washington Wizards39102926%112.6123.9-11.3
29 New Orleans Pelicans43103323%114.9122.2-7.3
30 Indiana Pacers4193222%110.6118.3-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Detroit Pistons23333319108
Phoenix Suns32312715105
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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