Diamond Valley vs Kilsyth Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Jul 2023

Tip-off: 10:00

Final 87-77

23-27 20-27 23-13 21-10

Position#7

Record10-7

FormLLWWW

Points / game87.9

Allowed / game87.5

Diamond Valley 🏆

Kilsyth

Position#14

Record7-10

FormLLWWL

Points / game88.2

Allowed / game89.8

NBL1 South

Other2023

Meetings · Diamond Valley v Kilsyth

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Diamond Valley winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Kilsyth winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Diamond Valley Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Geelong

#10

82-93

-11

H07/05

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

#14

89-80

A13/05

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

#13

107-93

107

+14

H20/05

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

#12

89-75

+14

A21/05

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

84-85

-1

H27/05

NBL1 South

Nunawading

80-105

105

-25

A03/06

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

77-91

-14

A09/06

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

96-86

+10

H17/06

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#19

96-81

+15

H18/06

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#16

91-89

A24/06

NBL1 South

18-37

18-14

22-18

24-24

24-20

18-23

30-15

17-22

32-17

21-25

30-26

24-25

25-20

17-31

18-15

29-9

24-21

16-16

19-27

25-21

24-26

12-22

20-28

24-29

22-22

13-30

21-22

21-17

21-32

29-19

25-21

21-14

21-15

24-10

30-27

21-29

23-26

27-23

23-17

18-23

176.9Avg total

89.1Scored

87.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	87.9	87.5	175.5	+0.4	59%
Season at home (9)	91.3	88.0	179.3	+3.3	56%
Season away (8)	84.1	87.0	171.1	-2.9	62%
Last 10 (10)	89.1	87.8	176.9	+1.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	88.0	90.4	178.4	-2.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	79.9	92.6	172.5	-12.7	0%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	86.0	83.4	169.4	+2.6	75%
vs Weaker (8)	91.4	85.0	176.4	+6.4	88%

This opponent (Kilsyth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Kilsyth

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Keilor Thunder

#16

89-98

-9

A06/05

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

80-89

-9

H13/05

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#19

64-72

-8

H20/05

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

83-78

H21/05

NBL1 South

Dandenong

#18

73-107

107

-34

A27/05

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

80-102

102

-22

A02/06

NBL1 South

Waverley

90-93

-3

A04/06

NBL1 South

Nunawading

90-85

H17/06

NBL1 South

NW Tasmania

#17

93-68

+25

H18/06

NBL1 South

Ballarat

#11

96-97

-1

H24/06

NBL1 South

32-19

19-25

16-22

22-32

20-24

23-18

15-30

22-17

15-18

24-22

11-13

14-19

23-26

14-21

28-13

18-18

31-31

17-28

13-27

12-21

23-24

18-28

22-23

17-27

24-25

22-26

21-27

23-15

22-24

24-27

19-24

25-10

28-9

27-15

19-16

19-28

26-25

22-23

25-25

23-24

172.7Avg total

83.8Scored

88.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	88.2	89.8	177.9	-1.6	41%
Season at home (9)	89.8	82.9	172.7	+6.9	67%
Season away (8)	86.4	97.5	183.9	-11.1	12%
Last 10 (10)	83.8	88.9	172.7	-5.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	89.8	89.0	178.8	+0.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	89.0	90.4	179.4	-1.4	50%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	91.0	88.5	179.5	+2.5	60%
vs Weaker (12)	84.2	79.6	163.8	+4.7	58%

This opponent (Diamond Valley) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Diamond ValleyKilsyth

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	22.9	44.6	-1.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	21.2	43.3	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	24.5	45.9	-3.2	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	23.6	47.0	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	24.2	46.4	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.1	25.8	45.9	-5.7	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	22.1	20.8	42.8	+1.3	42%	-
vs Weaker (8)	23.2	22.4	45.6	+0.9	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.7	21.6	45.3	+2.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.2	20.6	44.8	+3.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.1	22.8	45.9	+0.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.4	22.5	46.9	+1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	21.4	46.0	+3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	21.9	23.6	45.5	-1.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	24.1	24.1	48.2	+0.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (12)	24.6	18.2	42.8	+6.4	58%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	22.4	43.3	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	20.9	42.3	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	23.9	44.3	-3.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	21.3	40.8	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.8	41.8	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.9	22.4	41.3	-3.5	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	21.1	23.8	44.8	-2.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (8)	23.2	20.2	43.5	+3.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	22.6	45.5	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.4	20.8	44.1	+2.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.4	24.7	47.1	-2.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	23.3	44.3	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	23.8	46.4	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	23.6	25.0	48.6	-1.4	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	23.0	21.9	44.9	+1.1	60%	-
vs Weaker (12)	22.3	21.6	43.9	+0.8	50%	-

Diamond ValleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Geelong

#10

36-51

-15

H07/05

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

#14

42-43

-1

A13/05

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

#13

53-42

+11

H20/05

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

#12

42-51

-9

A21/05

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

40-37

H27/05

NBL1 South

Nunawading

36-48

-12

A03/06

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

35-52

-17

A09/06

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

50-51

-1

H17/06

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#19

45-25

+20

H18/06

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#16

50-49

A24/06

NBL1 South

87.8Avg total

42.9Scored

44.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.7	45.2	87.9	-2.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.6	42.1	85.7	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.7	48.4	90.1	-6.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	44.9	87.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	45.0	88.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	39.0	48.2	87.2	-9.2	10%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	43.2	44.5	87.7	-1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (8)	46.5	42.6	89.1	+3.9	62%	-

This opponent (Kilsyth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

KilsythLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Keilor Thunder

#16

51-44

A06/05

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

43-42

H13/05

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#19

39-40

-1

H20/05

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

37-47

-10

H21/05

NBL1 South

Dandenong

#18

48-59

-11

A27/05

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

41-52

-11

A02/06

NBL1 South

Waverley

46-51

-5

A04/06

NBL1 South

Nunawading

46-51

-5

H17/06

NBL1 South

NW Tasmania

#17

55-24

+31

H18/06

NBL1 South

Ballarat

#11

48-48

H24/06

NBL1 South

91.2Avg total

45.4Scored

45.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.6	44.2	90.8	+2.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	47.6	41.3	88.9	+6.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	45.5	47.5	93.0	-2.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.4	45.8	91.2	-0.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.2	45.2	92.4	+2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	45.5	48.6	94.1	-3.1	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	47.1	46.0	93.1	+1.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (12)	46.9	39.8	86.7	+7.2	58%	-

This opponent (Diamond Valley) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	20.4	42.6	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.5	21.9	45.4	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	19.0	39.7	+1.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	21.6	45.4	+2.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	23.0	46.8	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.6	20.6	40.2	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	22.7	19.3	42.0	+3.3	58%	-
vs Weaker (8)	24.5	21.9	46.4	+2.6	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.0	40.0	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	18.5	38.9	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	21.6	41.3	-2.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	22.0	40.9	-3.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	23.0	44.2	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	22.2	20.2	42.5	+2.0	62%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.8	21.5	42.3	-0.7	40%	-
vs Weaker (12)	18.0	18.5	36.5	-0.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	21.2	41.8	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	22.6	43.6	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	19.9	40.1	+0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	21.3	43.7	+1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	22.4	43.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	21.3	23.8	45.1	-2.5	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.2	19.6	39.8	+0.6	58%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.4	20.5	40.9	-0.1	38%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	21.1	41.9	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.3	20.6	40.9	-0.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.3	21.7	43.0	-0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	21.1	40.6	-1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.8	42.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	21.2	21.5	42.8	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	22.1	20.5	42.6	+1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (12)	19.3	21.3	40.7	-2.0	42%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.7	41.7	84.4	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.5	44.5	89.0	+0.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.9	38.9	79.8	+2.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.2	42.9	89.1	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	45.4	90.2	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	40.9	44.4	85.3	-3.5	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	42.8	38.9	81.8	+3.9	58%	-
vs Weaker (8)	44.9	42.4	87.2	+2.5	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	41.1	81.9	-0.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.8	39.1	79.8	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.9	43.4	84.3	-2.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	43.1	81.5	-4.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	43.8	86.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	43.5	41.8	85.2	+1.8	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	42.9	42.0	84.9	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (12)	37.3	39.8	77.2	-2.5	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Diamond Valley wins

Kilsyth wins

Date	Game	Score
13/05/23	Kilsyth v Diamond Valley	80-89
04/06/22	Diamond Valley v Kilsyth	89-66
22/05/21	Diamond Valley v Kilsyth	94-66
18/05/19	Kilsyth v Diamond Valley	90-98

Diamond Valleylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/06/23	A	Keilor Thunder	91-89
18/06/23	H	Casey Cavaliers	96-81
17/06/23	H	Hobart Chargers	96-86
09/06/23	A	Mt Gambier	77-91
03/06/23	A	Nunawading	80-105
27/05/23	H	Sandringham Sabres	84-85
21/05/23	A	Melbourne Tigers	89-75
20/05/23	H	Bendigo Braves	107-93
13/05/23	A	Kilsyth	89-80
07/05/23	H	Geelong	82-93

Kilsythlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/06/23	H	Ballarat	96-97
18/06/23	H	NW Tasmania	93-68
17/06/23	H	Nunawading	90-85
04/06/23	A	Waverley	90-93
02/06/23	A	Mt Gambier	80-102
27/05/23	A	Dandenong	73-107
21/05/23	H	Hobart Chargers	83-78
20/05/23	H	Casey Cavaliers	64-72
13/05/23	H	Diamond Valley	80-89
06/05/23	A	Keilor Thunder	89-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Diamond Valley

NBL1 South 2023

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	59%
Home	LWLWW	56%
Away	WWLLW	62%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	59%	56%	62%
Points / game	87.9	91.3	84.1
Allowed / game	87.5	88.0	87.0
Point differential	+0.4	+3.3	-2.9
Avg total	175.5	179.3	171.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	44%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	0% (1)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Kilsyth

NBL1 South 2023

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	41%
Home	LWWWL	67%
Away	LLLLL	12%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	41%	67%	12%
Points / game	88.2	89.8	86.4
Allowed / game	89.8	82.9	97.5
Point differential	-1.6	+6.9	-11.1
Avg total	177.9	172.7	183.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	75% (4)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Knox	17	13	4	76%	88.2	75.5	+12.7
2	Frankston	17	13	4	76%	93.1	83.8	+9.2
3	Sandringham Sabres	18	13	5	72%	92.6	85.2	+7.4
4	Mt Gambier	17	12	5	71%	95.1	86.4	+8.8
5	Nunawading	18	11	7	61%	90.7	84.6	+6.2
6	Eltham	18	11	7	61%	89.9	84.2	+5.7
7	Waverley	17	10	7	59%	86.5	85.2	+1.4
8	Diamond Valley	17	10	7	59%	87.9	87.5	+0.4
9	Melbourne Tigers	18	9	9	50%	83.5	86.2	-2.7
10	Geelong	17	8	9	47%	88.3	87.7	+0.6
11	Ballarat	18	8	10	44%	93.1	95.2	-2.1
12	Bendigo Braves	18	8	10	44%	87.0	93.2	-6.2
13	Kilsyth	17	7	10	41%	88.2	89.8	-1.6
14	Hobart Chargers	17	7	10	41%	83.6	86.9	-3.2
15	Keilor Thunder	17	7	10	41%	86.9	93.2	-6.4
16	NW Tasmania	17	7	10	41%	81.6	89.1	-7.5
17	Ringwood	19	6	13	32%	90.2	94.9	-4.7
18	Casey Cavaliers	17	3	14	18%	74.3	86.8	-12.5
19	Dandenong	18	3	15	17%	86.4	91.4	-5.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Diamond Valley	23	20	23	21	87
Kilsyth	27	27	13	10	77

← all games of the day

Diamond Valley vs Kilsyth Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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