PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Melbourne Tigers vs Diamond Valley Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 May 2023
Tip-off: 04:30
Final 75-89
20-25 31-17 15-18 9-29
Position#12
Record4-6
FormLWWLL
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game84.8
vs
Position#7
Record6-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game87.6
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2023
Meetings · Melbourne Tigers v Diamond Valley
11 Jul 2025
MELB87
DIAM77
21 May 2023
MELB75
DIAM89
03 Jul 2022
MELB83
DIAM84
11 May 2019
MELB81
DIAM72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne Tigers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Diamond Valley winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne TigersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat
#11
L
68-92
68
92
-24
A01/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
L
88-91
88
91
-3
H13/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A15/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
W
82-79
82
79
+3
H20/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
W
95-82
95
82
+13
A22/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
71-82
71
82
-11
A28/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
W
84-69
84
69
+15
A29/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
W
100-76
100
76
+24
H07/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
L
91-100
91
100
-9
A13/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
80-93
80
93
-13
H14/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-25
23-18
18-23
14-26
30-22
25-25
17-26
16-18
15-23
19-29
14-16
24-16
29-13
26-19
15-25
12-22
24-21
25-17
19-21
27-23
13-25
18-24
22-23
18-10
25-11
17-16
27-25
15-17
28-18
25-24
28-14
19-20
22-23
26-20
14-25
29-32
26-25
13-26
12-29
29-13
167.9Avg total
83.1Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)83.184.8167.9-1.740%
Season at home (4)87.584.8172.2+2.850%
Season away (6)80.284.8165.0-4.733%
Last 10 (10)83.184.8167.9-1.740%
Last 5 (5)85.284.0169.2+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)74.984.5159.4-9.626%
vs Similar ◀ (5)77.880.4158.2-2.640%
vs Weaker (2)78.076.5154.5+1.550%
This opponent (Diamond Valley) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Diamond ValleyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eltham
#5
L
77-87
77
87
-10
H01/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
W
108-99
108
99
+9
H14/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
W
90-89
90
89
+1
A16/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
L
78-94
78
94
-16
A22/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A25/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
L
85-93
85
93
-8
H29/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#11
W
87-75
87
75
+12
H06/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#10
L
82-93
82
93
-11
H07/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#14
W
89-80
89
80
+9
A13/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
W
107-93
107
93
+14
H20/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
16-26
20-18
16-26
34-19
20-26
25-26
29-28
18-23
16-27
31-21
25-18
17-31
25-21
23-20
13-22
18-25
20-15
20-20
21-13
25-22
21-26
21-18
18-27
17-19
18-21
28-19
24-16
18-37
18-14
22-18
24-24
24-20
18-23
30-15
17-22
32-17
21-25
30-26
24-25
175.8Avg total
88.2Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)88.287.6175.8+0.660%
Season at home (6)91.090.0181.0+1.050%
Season away (4)84.084.0168.0+0.075%
Last 10 (10)88.287.6175.8+0.660%
Last 5 (5)90.086.8176.8+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)81.390.6171.9-9.49%
vs Similar ◀ (12)85.783.0168.7+2.775%
vs Weaker (7)89.382.9172.1+6.486%
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.0-1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.0-1.0
Melbourne TigersDiamond Valley
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Melbourne TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat
#11
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A01/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H13/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A15/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H20/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A22/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A28/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A29/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H07/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A13/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H14/05
NBL1 South
86.6Avg total
44.2Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.742.782.5-3.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.344.886.1-3.543%-
Last 30 away (16)38.440.979.3-2.644%-
Last 10 (10)44.242.486.6+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)42.642.485.0+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)40.143.483.5-3.343%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)38.641.079.6-2.440%-
vs Weaker (2)38.039.577.5-1.550%-
This opponent (Diamond Valley) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Diamond ValleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eltham
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H01/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H14/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A16/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A22/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A25/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H29/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#11
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H06/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#10
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H07/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#14
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A13/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H20/05
NBL1 South
87.5Avg total
42.1Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.244.286.5-2.037%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.442.886.2+0.650%-
Last 30 away (14)40.945.986.7-5.021%-
Last 10 (10)42.145.487.5-3.320%-
Last 5 (5)42.444.887.2-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.346.585.7-7.218%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.143.286.2-0.142%-
vs Weaker (7)45.442.688.0+2.957%-
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Melbourne Tigers wins
2
Diamond Valley wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/23HKnox80-93
13/05/23AEltham91-100
07/05/23HMt Gambier100-76
29/04/23ANW Tasmania84-69
28/04/23AHobart Chargers71-82
22/04/23ADandenong95-82
20/04/23HNunawading82-79
15/04/23AKeilor Thunder72-84
13/04/23HWaverley88-91
01/04/23ABallarat68-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/05/23HBendigo Braves107-93
13/05/23AKilsyth89-80
07/05/23HGeelong82-93
06/05/23HBallarat87-75
29/04/23HKeilor Thunder85-93
25/04/23AWaverley79-73
22/04/23AFrankston78-94
16/04/23ADandenong90-89
14/04/23HRingwood108-99
01/04/23HEltham77-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne Tigers
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL40%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game83.187.580.2
Allowed / game84.884.884.8
Point differential-1.7+2.8-4.7
Avg total167.9172.2165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Diamond Valley
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeWLWLW50%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %60%50%75%
Points / game88.291.084.0
Allowed / game87.690.084.0
Point differential+0.6+1.0+0.0
Avg total175.8181.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Eltham108280%92.381.2+11.1
2 Frankston118373%93.682.9+10.7
3 Knox128467%85.477.5+7.9
4 Sandringham Sabres128467%92.686.9+5.7
5 Mt Gambier106460%95.789.6+6.1
6 Nunawading106460%88.683.4+5.2
7 Geelong106460%87.585.3+2.2
8 Diamond Valley106460%88.287.6+0.6
9 Hobart Chargers116555%83.783.6+0.1
10 Waverley116555%84.186.1-2.0
11 Kilsyth115645%88.888.5+0.3
12 Ballarat115645%92.092.9-0.9
13 Keilor Thunder94544%84.293.3-9.1
14 Melbourne Tigers104640%83.184.8-1.7
15 NW Tasmania114736%81.991.0-9.1
16 Ringwood103730%88.791.1-2.4
17 Bendigo Braves103730%86.597.6-11.1
18 Casey Cavaliers113827%76.784.5-7.8
19 Dandenong1221017%84.992.0-7.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melbourne Tigers203115975
Diamond Valley2517182989
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.