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Keilor Thunder vs Diamond Valley Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Jun 2023
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 89-91
26-23 23-27 17-23 23-18
Position#16
Record7-8
FormLWWWL
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game93.7
vs
Position#7
Record9-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game87.4
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2023
Meetings · Keilor Thunder v Diamond Valley
05 Jul 2025
KEIL108
DIAM99
05 Jul 2024
KEIL112
DIAM93
24 Jun 2023
KEIL89
DIAM91
23 Jul 2022
KEIL76
DIAM79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keilor Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Diamond Valley winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keilor ThunderAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eltham
#5
L
66-102
66
102
-36
A30/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#14
W
98-89
98
89
+9
H06/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
L
89-125
89
125
-36
A13/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
78-81
78
81
-3
H20/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
L
88-94
88
94
-6
H21/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
L
103-106
103
106
-3
A27/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
W
92-77
92
77
+15
A28/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
W
84-81
84
81
+3
H03/06
NBL1 South
Geelong
#10
W
106-104 OT
106
104
+2
H04/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
69-103
69
103
-34
A17/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
19-29
17-25
12-23
19-32
25-19
22-16
32-22
23-30
19-31
21-29
26-35
13-15
22-25
22-19
21-22
26-20
23-24
21-25
18-25
32-24
25-29
17-29
29-24
18-16
31-24
16-27
27-10
21-16
25-20
14-16
24-29
22-25
25-22
21-22
26-25
20-27
20-27
15-21
14-28
183.5Avg total
87.3Scored
96.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)86.793.7180.3-7.047%
Season at home (8)88.287.6175.9+0.662%
Season away (7)84.9100.6185.4-15.729%
Last 10 (10)87.396.2183.5-8.940%
Last 5 (5)90.894.2185.0-3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)83.692.2175.7-8.639%
vs Similar (9)78.778.4157.1+0.244%
vs Weaker (3)73.761.7135.3+12.0100%
This opponent (Diamond Valley) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Diamond ValleyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat
#11
W
87-75
87
75
+12
H06/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#10
L
82-93
82
93
-11
H07/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#14
W
89-80
89
80
+9
A13/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
W
107-93
107
93
+14
H20/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
W
89-75
89
75
+14
A21/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
L
84-85
84
85
-1
H27/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
L
80-105
80
105
-25
A03/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
L
77-91
77
91
-14
A09/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
96-86
96
86
+10
H17/06
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
96-81
96
81
+15
H18/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
18-21
28-19
24-16
18-37
18-14
22-18
24-24
24-20
18-23
30-15
17-22
32-17
21-25
30-26
24-25
25-20
17-31
18-15
29-9
24-21
16-16
19-27
25-21
24-26
12-22
20-28
24-29
22-22
13-30
21-22
21-17
21-32
29-19
25-21
21-14
21-15
24-10
30-27
21-29
175.1Avg total
88.7Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)87.887.4175.2+0.356%
Season at home (9)91.388.0179.3+3.356%
Season away (7)83.186.7169.9-3.657%
Last 10 (10)88.786.4175.1+2.360%
Last 5 (5)86.689.6176.2-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)80.790.2170.9-9.59%
vs Similar (12)86.083.4169.4+2.675%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)91.484.4175.9+7.086%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +2.4+2.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +2.4+2.4
Keilor ThunderDiamond Valley
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keilor ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eltham
#5
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A30/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#14
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H06/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
L
42-61
42
61
-19
A13/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H20/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H21/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A27/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A28/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H03/06
NBL1 South
Geelong
#10
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H04/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A17/06
NBL1 South
92.6Avg total
44.6Scored
48.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.942.884.7-0.950%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.842.084.8+0.850%-
Last 30 away (14)41.043.784.7-2.750%-
Last 10 (10)44.648.092.6-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)47.846.093.8+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)43.747.190.8-3.444%-
vs Similar (9)40.139.379.4+0.856%-
vs Weaker (3)37.027.364.3+9.767%-
This opponent (Diamond Valley) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Diamond ValleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat
#11
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H06/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#10
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H07/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#14
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A13/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H20/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A21/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H27/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A03/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A09/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H17/06
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H18/06
NBL1 South
85.4Avg total
41.4Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.344.787.1-2.433%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.441.684.9+1.850%-
Last 30 away (14)41.148.489.5-7.214%-
Last 10 (10)41.444.085.4-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)41.242.683.8-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.146.986.0-7.818%-
vs Similar (12)43.244.587.7-1.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)46.041.787.7+4.357%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Keilor Thunder wins
1
Diamond Valley wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/06/23AKnox69-103
04/06/23HGeelong106-104 OT
03/06/23HDandenong84-81
28/05/23AWaverley92-77
27/05/23AFrankston103-106
21/05/23HRingwood88-94
20/05/23HHobart Chargers78-81
13/05/23ASandringham Sabres89-125
06/05/23HKilsyth98-89
30/04/23AEltham66-102
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/06/23HCasey Cavaliers96-81
17/06/23HHobart Chargers96-86
09/06/23AMt Gambier77-91
03/06/23ANunawading80-105
27/05/23HSandringham Sabres84-85
21/05/23AMelbourne Tigers89-75
20/05/23HBendigo Braves107-93
13/05/23AKilsyth89-80
07/05/23HGeelong82-93
06/05/23HBallarat87-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keilor Thunder
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL47%
HomeWLLWW62%
AwayLLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %47%62%29%
Points / game86.788.284.9
Allowed / game93.787.6100.6
Point differential-7.0+0.6-15.7
Avg total180.3175.9185.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%12%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %7%12%0%
Diamond Valley
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW56%
HomeLWLWW56%
AwayWWWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %56%56%57%
Points / game87.891.383.1
Allowed / game87.488.086.7
Point differential+0.3+3.3-3.6
Avg total175.2179.3169.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%44%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Frankston1512380%93.482.5+10.9
2 Knox1612475%87.376.1+11.2
3 Sandringham Sabres1612475%91.884.4+7.4
4 Mt Gambier1611569%95.287.7+7.5
5 Eltham1510567%91.581.5+9.9
6 Waverley1610662%86.184.4+1.7
7 Nunawading1710759%90.484.4+6.1
8 Diamond Valley169756%87.887.4+0.3
9 Ballarat178947%92.194.1-2.1
10 Geelong157847%88.989.2-0.3
11 Keilor Thunder157847%86.793.7-7.0
12 Melbourne Tigers167944%83.387.1-3.8
13 Bendigo Braves167944%88.293.4-5.2
14 Kilsyth1771041%88.289.8-1.6
15 Hobart Chargers1771041%83.686.9-3.2
16 NW Tasmania1771041%81.689.1-7.5
17 Ringwood1641225%88.492.9-4.5
18 Dandenong1631319%85.690.8-5.2
19 Casey Cavaliers1731418%74.386.8-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keilor Thunder2623172389
Diamond Valley2327231891
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