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Diamond Valley vs Melbourne Tigers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 79-89
17-30 20-18 17-26 25-15
Position#18
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game103.8
vs
Position#13
Record1-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game87.4
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2024
Meetings · Diamond Valley v Melbourne Tigers
08 Apr 2025
DIAM62
MELB78
21 Apr 2024
DIAM79
MELB89
01 May 2021
DIAM97
MELB73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Diamond Valley winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne Tigers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Diamond ValleyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox
#1
L
70-99
70
99
-29
A07/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#11
L
87-105
87
105
-18
A09/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
L
69-97
69
97
-28
A15/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
W
89-82
89
82
+7
A22/07
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
W
95-91
95
91
+4
A29/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
L
86-107
86
107
-21
A05/08
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
73-109
73
109
-36
A06/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
L
106-110
106
110
-4
H09/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
74-92
74
92
-18
A11/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
80-104
80
104
-24
H20/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-25
17-27
23-24
21-23
24-31
29-29
18-19
16-26
19-24
20-25
12-24
18-24
16-27
31-19
18-18
24-18
24-25
17-26
34-18
20-22
22-40
19-22
23-29
22-16
20-44
16-23
17-19
20-23
20-26
25-23
28-36
33-25
23-24
19-25
18-24
14-19
19-25
30-24
13-32
18-23
182.5Avg total
82.9Scored
99.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.2103.8187.0-20.50%
Season at home (2)93.0107.0200.0-14.00%
Season away (2)73.5100.5174.0-27.00%
Last 10 (10)82.999.6182.5-16.720%
Last 5 (5)83.8104.4188.2-20.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)81.796.4178.1-14.712%
vs Similar ◀ (8)90.283.8174.0+6.588%
vs Weaker (6)94.388.3182.7+6.083%
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne TigersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong
#10
W
72-71
72
71
+1
A30/06
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
L
73-82
73
82
-9
A02/07
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#14
L
87-91
87
91
-4
H07/07
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
90-79
90
79
+11
H09/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
L
74-84
74
84
-10
H16/07
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H04/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
L
74-89
74
89
-15
H07/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
L
74-80
74
80
-6
H13/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
55-87
55
87
-32
H14/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
W
94-93
94
93
+1
A20/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
21-17
12-20
16-12
13-26
22-21
16-17
22-18
22-28
29-19
14-23
22-21
16-24
18-12
16-21
40-22
18-19
18-29
25-14
13-22
24-16
19-30
19-24
20-18
18-18
21-29
21-16
14-26
14-23
16-21
20-19
24-17
6-24
15-19
21-18
13-26
29-27
17-21
25-29
23-16
161.9Avg total
77.5Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)75.887.4163.2-11.620%
Season at home (4)71.286.0157.2-14.80%
Season away (1)94.093.0187.0+1.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.584.4161.9-6.930%
Last 5 (5)75.887.4163.2-11.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)80.088.6168.6-8.644%
vs Similar ◀ (10)83.786.2169.9-2.530%
vs Weaker (4)82.278.5160.8+3.875%
This opponent (Diamond Valley) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -9.5-9.5Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +0.9+0.9
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -9.5-9.5Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +0.9+0.9
Diamond ValleyMelbourne Tigers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Diamond ValleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox
#1
L
26-52
26
52
-26
A07/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#11
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A09/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A15/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A22/07
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A29/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
L
41-62
41
62
-21
A05/08
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
36-67
36
67
-31
A06/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H09/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A11/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H20/04
NBL1 South
95.3Avg total
41.9Scored
53.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.948.291.0-5.323%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.344.290.5+2.238%-
Last 30 away (17)40.251.291.5-11.012%-
Last 10 (10)41.953.495.3-11.510%-
Last 5 (5)42.655.297.8-12.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)39.850.490.2-10.712%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)44.648.092.6-3.412%-
vs Weaker (6)48.842.391.2+6.567%-
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong
#10
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A30/06
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A02/07
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#14
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H07/07
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H09/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H16/07
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H04/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H07/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H13/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
21-43
21
43
-22
H14/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A20/04
NBL1 South
82.4Avg total
37.9Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.844.185.9-2.343%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.944.487.4-1.541%-
Last 30 away (13)40.343.884.1-3.546%-
Last 10 (10)37.944.582.4-6.620%-
Last 5 (5)35.845.681.4-9.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)41.645.887.4-4.238%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)43.844.288.0-0.450%-
vs Weaker (4)37.537.274.8+0.250%-
This opponent (Diamond Valley) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Diamond Valley wins
1
Melbourne Tigers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/24HSandringham Sabres80-104
11/04/24AFrankston74-92
09/04/24HKeilor Thunder106-110
06/04/24AEltham73-109
05/08/23ASandringham Sabres86-107
29/07/23AFrankston95-91
22/07/23ANunawading89-82
15/07/23AEltham69-97
09/07/23ABallarat87-105
07/07/23AKnox70-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/24AWaverley94-93
14/04/24HKnox55-87
13/04/24HRingwood74-80
07/04/24HNunawading74-89
04/04/24HDandenong82-88
16/07/23HSandringham Sabres74-84
09/07/23HCasey Cavaliers90-79
07/07/23HKilsyth87-91
02/07/23AWaverley73-82
30/06/23AGeelong72-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Diamond Valley
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game83.293.073.5
Allowed / game103.8107.0100.5
Point differential-20.5-14.0-27.0
Avg total187.0200.0174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Melbourne Tigers
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW20%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %20%0%100%
Points / game75.871.294.0
Allowed / game87.486.093.0
Point differential-11.6-14.8+1.0
Avg total163.2157.2187.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Eltham54180%96.077.2+18.8
2 Mt Gambier54180%88.483.6+4.8
3 Ballarat43175%98.285.5+12.8
4 Bendigo Braves43175%86.282.5+3.8
5 Dandenong64267%85.077.0+8.0
6 Ringwood64267%90.090.5-0.5
7 Knox53260%95.682.6+13.0
8 Frankston53260%92.484.6+7.8
9 Nunawading42250%84.584.8-0.2
10 Geelong42250%81.583.5-2.0
11 Hobart Chargers42250%78.080.8-2.8
12 Sandringham Sabres52340%93.889.2+4.6
13 Waverley52340%83.882.6+1.2
14 Casey Cavaliers52340%81.883.8-2.0
15 Keilor Thunder52340%92.2102.6-10.4
16 NW Tasmania41325%79.287.5-8.2
17 Melbourne Tigers51420%75.887.4-11.6
18 Kilsyth51420%77.699.0-21.4
19 Diamond Valley4040%83.2103.8-20.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Diamond Valley1720172579
Melbourne Tigers3018261589
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