Melbourne Tigers vs Kilsyth Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Jul 2023

Tip-off: 10:30

Final 87-91

22-28 29-19 14-23 22-21

Position#12

Record9-10

FormWWWWL

Points / game82.9

Allowed / game85.9

Melbourne Tigers

Kilsyth 🏆

Position#14

Record8-11

FormWWLLW

Points / game88.1

Allowed / game89.6

NBL1 South

Other2023

Meetings · Melbourne Tigers v Kilsyth

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne Tigers winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Kilsyth winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne Tigers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Knox

80-93

-13

H14/05

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

75-89

-14

H21/05

NBL1 South

Nunawading

64-103

103

-39

A27/05

NBL1 South

Ballarat

#11

106-88

106

+18

H04/06

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

74-99

-25

A08/06

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#15

100-85

100

+15

H18/06

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

#13

83-82 OT

A23/06

NBL1 South

Frankston

98-86 OT

+12

H25/06

NBL1 South

Geelong

#10

72-71

A30/06

NBL1 South

Waverley

73-82

-9

A02/07

NBL1 South

26-25

13-26

12-29

29-13

20-25

31-17

15-18

9-29

19-33

19-19

15-26

11-25

28-14

27-26

23-27

28-21

18-29

17-25

22-23

17-22

23-23

22-22

21-20

34-20

25-21

15-13

13-21

20-18

22-26

11-20

30-21

20-16

23-22

21-17

12-20

16-12

13-26

22-21

16-17

22-18

170.3Avg total

82.5Scored

87.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	82.9	85.9	168.9	-3.0	47%
Season at home (8)	91.1	85.9	177.0	+5.2	62%
Season away (11)	77.0	86.0	163.0	-9.0	36%
Last 10 (10)	82.5	87.8	170.3	-5.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	85.2	81.2	166.4	+4.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	77.2	86.4	163.6	-9.2	39%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	82.6	82.9	165.4	-0.3	44%
vs Weaker (3)	79.7	78.3	158.0	+1.3	67%

This opponent (Kilsyth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Kilsyth

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Casey Cavaliers

#19

64-72

-8

H20/05

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

83-78

H21/05

NBL1 South

Dandenong

#18

73-107

107

-34

A27/05

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

80-102

102

-22

A02/06

NBL1 South

Waverley

90-93

-3

A04/06

NBL1 South

Nunawading

90-85

H17/06

NBL1 South

NW Tasmania

#17

93-68

+25

H18/06

NBL1 South

Ballarat

#11

96-97

-1

H24/06

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

77-87

-10

A01/07

NBL1 South

Frankston

98-90

A02/07

NBL1 South

15-18

24-22

11-13

14-19

23-26

14-21

28-13

18-18

31-31

17-28

13-27

12-21

23-24

18-28

22-23

17-27

24-25

22-26

21-27

23-15

22-24

24-27

19-24

25-10

28-9

27-15

19-16

19-28

26-25

22-23

25-25

23-24

27-23

27-20

13-23

10-21

25-14

26-31

31-26

16-19

172.3Avg total

84.4Scored

87.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	88.1	89.6	177.7	-1.5	42%
Season at home (9)	89.8	82.9	172.7	+6.9	67%
Season away (10)	86.6	95.7	182.3	-9.1	20%
Last 10 (10)	84.4	87.9	172.3	-3.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	90.8	85.4	176.2	+5.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	90.0	90.3	180.3	-0.3	56%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	89.7	88.4	178.1	+1.4	55%
vs Weaker (10)	84.7	79.0	163.7	+5.7	60%

This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Melbourne TigersKilsyth

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	22.8	43.8	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.1	22.6	45.6	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	23.0	42.2	-3.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	24.4	46.1	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	23.6	44.8	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	22.2	23.9	46.1	-1.8	39%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.6	22.0	40.6	-3.4	33%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.7	18.3	40.0	+3.3	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.2	21.7	45.9	+2.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.4	20.9	45.3	+3.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.1	22.5	46.6	+1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.4	21.9	46.3	+2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	19.0	44.6	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	22.2	22.6	44.8	-0.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	24.4	24.0	48.4	+0.4	45%	-
vs Weaker (10)	25.9	18.4	44.3	+7.5	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.5	40.8	-0.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	21.5	42.4	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	19.6	39.5	+0.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	20.6	40.4	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	18.6	36.8	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	19.3	20.8	40.2	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	23.6	20.1	43.7	+3.4	67%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.0	19.3	36.3	-2.3	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.3	22.6	45.8	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.4	20.3	43.7	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.1	24.9	48.0	-1.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	24.1	46.2	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	23.2	48.4	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	23.9	25.7	49.6	-1.8	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	23.4	21.7	45.1	+1.6	64%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.6	20.7	43.3	+1.9	60%	-

Melbourne TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Knox

39-51

-12

H14/05

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

51-42

H21/05

NBL1 South

Nunawading

38-52

-14

A27/05

NBL1 South

Ballarat

#11

55-40

+15

H04/06

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

35-54

-19

A08/06

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#15

45-45

H18/06

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

#13

40-34

A23/06

NBL1 South

Frankston

33-46

-13

H25/06

NBL1 South

Geelong

#10

44-39

A30/06

NBL1 South

Waverley

35-47

-12

A02/07

NBL1 South

86.5Avg total

41.5Scored

45.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	43.3	84.7	-1.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.9	44.1	88.0	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.2	42.6	81.8	-3.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	45.0	86.5	-3.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	42.2	81.6	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	41.5	44.8	86.3	-3.3	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	42.1	42.1	84.2	+0.0	44%	-
vs Weaker (3)	38.7	37.7	76.3	+1.0	67%	-

This opponent (Kilsyth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

KilsythLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Casey Cavaliers

#19

39-40

-1

H20/05

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

37-47

-10

H21/05

NBL1 South

Dandenong

#18

48-59

-11

A27/05

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

41-52

-11

A02/06

NBL1 South

Waverley

46-51

-5

A04/06

NBL1 South

Nunawading

46-51

-5

H17/06

NBL1 South

NW Tasmania

#17

55-24

+31

H18/06

NBL1 South

Ballarat

#11

48-48

H24/06

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

54-43

+11

A01/07

NBL1 South

Frankston

51-45

A02/07

NBL1 South

92.5Avg total

46.5Scored

46.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.5	44.3	91.8	+3.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	47.8	41.1	88.9	+6.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	47.2	47.4	94.6	-0.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.5	46.0	92.5	+0.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.8	42.2	93.0	+8.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	46.1	48.2	94.3	-2.1	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	47.7	45.7	93.5	+2.0	45%	-
vs Weaker (10)	48.5	39.1	87.6	+9.4	70%	-

This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	21.1	40.4	-1.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.2	21.2	41.4	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	21.0	39.6	-2.4	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	22.2	40.1	-4.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.8	38.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	18.9	21.3	40.3	-2.4	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.6	20.8	41.3	-0.2	22%	-
vs Weaker (3)	18.0	20.7	38.7	-2.7	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.4	40.6	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	18.6	39.4	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	22.1	41.7	-2.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	21.7	41.9	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	22.8	44.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	23.2	20.9	44.1	+2.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.1	21.6	41.7	-1.5	36%	-
vs Weaker (10)	17.6	18.5	36.1	-0.9	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	19.8	37.2	-2.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.3	19.4	36.7	-2.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.6	20.1	37.7	-2.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	19.4	40.0	+1.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	16.8	39.2	+5.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	15.9	20.1	36.0	-4.2	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.9	20.0	39.9	-0.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.7	17.0	36.7	+2.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	21.0	41.1	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	20.8	40.9	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	21.3	41.3	-1.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	20.2	37.9	-2.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	20.4	39.0	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.7	21.2	41.9	-0.6	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	21.0	20.5	41.5	+0.5	45%	-
vs Weaker (10)	18.6	21.4	40.0	-2.8	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.8	40.9	77.7	-4.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.5	40.6	78.1	-3.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.2	41.1	77.2	-4.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	41.6	80.1	-3.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	36.6	77.4	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	34.8	41.4	76.3	-6.6	28%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	40.4	40.8	81.2	-0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (3)	37.7	37.7	75.3	+0.0	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	41.4	81.7	-1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.9	39.4	80.3	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.7	43.4	83.1	-3.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.9	41.9	79.8	-4.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	43.2	83.2	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	43.9	42.1	86.0	+1.8	78%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	41.1	42.2	83.3	-1.1	45%	-
vs Weaker (10)	36.2	39.9	76.1	-3.7	40%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Melbourne Tigers wins

Kilsyth wins

Date	Game	Score
25/06/22	Kilsyth v Melbourne Tigers	82-78
28/04/19	Kilsyth v Melbourne Tigers	92-72
22/07/17	Kilsyth v Melbourne Tigers	84-67
24/06/17	Melbourne Tigers v Kilsyth	66-88
23/04/16	Kilsyth v Melbourne Tigers	73-63

Melbourne Tigerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/07/23	A	Waverley	73-82
30/06/23	A	Geelong	72-71
25/06/23	H	Frankston	98-86 OT
23/06/23	A	Bendigo Braves	83-82 OT
18/06/23	H	Ringwood	100-85
08/06/23	A	Sandringham Sabres	74-99
04/06/23	H	Ballarat	106-88
27/05/23	A	Nunawading	64-103
21/05/23	H	Diamond Valley	75-89
14/05/23	H	Knox	80-93

Kilsythlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/07/23	A	Frankston	98-90
01/07/23	A	Diamond Valley	77-87
24/06/23	H	Ballarat	96-97
18/06/23	H	NW Tasmania	93-68
17/06/23	H	Nunawading	90-85
04/06/23	A	Waverley	90-93
02/06/23	A	Mt Gambier	80-102
27/05/23	A	Dandenong	73-107
21/05/23	H	Hobart Chargers	83-78
20/05/23	H	Casey Cavaliers	64-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne Tigers

NBL1 South 2023

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	47%
Home	LLWWW	62%
Away	LLWWL	36%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	8	11
Win %	47%	62%	36%
Points / game	82.9	91.1	77.0
Allowed / game	85.9	85.9	86.0
Point differential	-3.0	+5.2	-9.0
Avg total	168.9	177.0	163.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	32%	50%	18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	50% (2)	100% (2)
Overtime %	11%	12%	9%

Kilsyth

NBL1 South 2023

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	42%
Home	LWWWL	67%
Away	LLLLW	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	42%	67%	20%
Points / game	88.1	89.8	86.6
Allowed / game	89.6	82.9	95.7
Point differential	-1.5	+6.9	-9.1
Avg total	177.7	172.7	182.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	16%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	75% (4)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Knox	18	14	4	78%	88.1	75.8	+12.3
2	Mt Gambier	19	13	6	68%	94.4	86.4	+8.1
3	Frankston	19	13	6	68%	93.1	85.3	+7.8
4	Sandringham Sabres	19	13	6	68%	92.4	86.1	+6.3
5	Nunawading	19	12	7	63%	91.5	84.8	+6.6
6	Diamond Valley	19	12	7	63%	88.4	86.8	+1.5
7	Eltham	19	11	8	58%	88.7	84.1	+4.6
8	Waverley	19	11	8	58%	86.2	85.0	+1.2
9	Hobart Chargers	20	10	10	50%	86.0	86.7	-0.6
10	Geelong	19	9	10	47%	87.7	87.5	+0.2
11	Ballarat	19	9	10	47%	92.5	93.7	-1.3
12	Melbourne Tigers	19	9	10	47%	82.9	85.9	-3.0
13	Bendigo Braves	18	8	10	44%	87.0	93.2	-6.2
14	Kilsyth	19	8	11	42%	88.1	89.6	-1.5
15	Keilor Thunder	19	8	11	42%	87.3	93.0	-5.7
16	Ringwood	21	8	13	38%	89.6	93.1	-3.5
17	NW Tasmania	20	7	13	35%	81.5	89.5	-8.0
18	Casey Cavaliers	18	3	15	17%	74.6	87.3	-12.7
19	Dandenong	19	3	16	16%	85.6	91.4	-5.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Melbourne Tigers	22	29	14	22	87
Kilsyth	28	19	23	21	91

← all games of the day

Melbourne Tigers vs Kilsyth Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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