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Diamond Valley vs Melbourne Tigers Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 08 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 62-78
26-18 15-19 11-18 10-23
Position#19
Record1-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game100.3
vs
Position#4
Record1-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game77.0
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Diamond Valley v Melbourne Tigers
08 Apr 2025
DIAM62
MELB78
21 Apr 2024
DIAM79
MELB89
01 May 2021
DIAM97
MELB73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Diamond Valley winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne Tigers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Diamond ValleyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood
#17
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H22/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
L
78-93
78
93
-15
A28/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
L
76-99
76
99
-23
A29/06
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
L
93-112
93
112
-19
A05/07
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
106-91
106
91
+15
A06/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
L
72-83
72
83
-11
H13/07
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
L
79-80
79
80
-1
H14/07
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
L
82-97
82
97
-15
H29/03
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
105-100
105
100
+5
A30/03
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
73-104
73
104
-31
H05/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
25-9
11-25
28-24
21-24
20-27
16-22
21-20
14-23
26-27
20-29
16-20
19-29
11-31
28-27
35-25
22-25
25-15
32-26
27-25
21-23
15-14
13-25
23-21
19-26
17-25
20-16
23-13
11-26
24-21
24-16
23-34
19-28
29-19
23-29
34-24
16-16
15-36
14-28
28-24
177.9Avg total
84.6Scored
93.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)86.7100.3187.0-13.733%
Season at home (2)77.5100.5178.0-23.00%
Season away (1)105.0100.0205.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.693.3177.9-8.730%
Last 5 (5)82.292.8175.0-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)84.996.8181.7-12.027%
vs Similar (8)86.990.1177.0-3.238%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne TigersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong
#11
L
66-72
66
72
-6
A15/06
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
77-86
77
86
-9
H16/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
L
44-77
44
77
-33
A22/06
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
L
73-91
73
91
-18
H28/06
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
81-87
81
87
-6
A29/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
W
91-86
91
86
+5
A06/07
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
W
88-71
88
71
+17
H11/07
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A13/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
100-69
100
69
+31
H30/03
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
L
77-85
77
85
-8
H04/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
21-18
19-18
6-17
17-31
22-20
23-20
15-15
11-14
11-23
10-21
12-19
18-34
27-14
11-24
17-19
29-21
14-22
26-21
12-23
34-29
16-16
18-17
23-24
20-25
26-12
27-18
15-16
21-16
24-27
15-12
13-16
35-8
31-22
20-18
14-21
24-19
17-27
11-17
25-22
156.5Avg total
77.0Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)88.577.0165.5+11.550%
Season at home (2)88.577.0165.5+11.550%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.079.5156.5-2.540%
Last 5 (5)85.876.4162.2+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)79.683.2162.8-3.650%
vs Similar (11)76.080.2156.2-4.227%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)82.376.3158.7+6.0100%
This opponent (Diamond Valley) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -4.0-4.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -4.0-4.0
Diamond ValleyMelbourne Tigers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Diamond ValleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood
#17
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H22/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A28/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A29/06
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
L
30-60
30
60
-30
A05/07
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A06/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H13/07
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H14/07
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H29/03
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A30/03
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
31-52
31
52
-21
H05/04
NBL1 South
84.7Avg total
38.7Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.248.489.6-7.220%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.845.684.5-6.88%-
Last 30 away (17)43.050.693.6-7.629%-
Last 10 (10)38.746.084.7-7.330%-
Last 5 (5)37.246.884.0-9.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)40.249.389.5-9.114%-
vs Similar (8)44.046.190.1-2.138%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong
#11
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A15/06
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H16/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A22/06
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H28/06
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A29/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A06/07
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H11/07
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A13/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
66-30
66
30
+36
H30/03
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H04/04
NBL1 South
85.5Avg total
43.8Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.741.782.4-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.342.983.2-2.624%-
Last 30 away (13)41.240.281.4+1.162%-
Last 10 (10)43.841.785.5+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)49.640.289.8+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)39.842.682.4-2.838%-
vs Similar (11)42.240.582.7+1.645%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)40.041.081.0-1.033%-
This opponent (Diamond Valley) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Diamond Valley wins
2
Melbourne Tigers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25HKnox73-104
30/03/25ADandenong105-100
29/03/25HKeilor Thunder82-97
14/07/24HKilsyth79-80
13/07/24HGeelong72-83
06/07/24ACasey Cavaliers106-91
05/07/24AKeilor Thunder93-112
29/06/24AHobart Chargers76-99
28/06/24ANW Tasmania78-93
22/06/24HRingwood82-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/25HKilsyth77-85
30/03/25HSandringham Sabres100-69
13/07/24ACasey Cavaliers73-71
11/07/24HWaverley88-71
06/07/24AMt Gambier91-86
29/06/24ABallarat81-87
28/06/24HBendigo Braves73-91
22/06/24AKilsyth44-77
16/06/24HFrankston77-86
15/06/24AGeelong66-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Diamond Valley
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeLL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%0%100%
Points / game86.777.5105.0
Allowed / game100.3100.5100.0
Point differential-13.7-23.0+5.0
Avg total187.0178.0205.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Melbourne Tigers
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeWL50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game88.588.5-
Allowed / game77.077.0-
Point differential+11.5+11.5-
Avg total165.5165.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox220100%96.078.5+17.5
2 Ringwood220100%88.573.0+15.5
3 Waverley220100%101.085.5+15.5
4 Hobart Chargers220100%79.075.5+3.5
5 Mt Gambier32167%96.071.7+24.3
6 Kilsyth32167%80.377.3+3.0
7 Casey Cavaliers32167%81.079.3+1.7
8 Melbourne Tigers21150%88.577.0+11.5
9 Eltham21150%83.077.0+6.0
10 Ballarat21150%90.586.5+4.0
11 Frankston21150%88.587.5+1.0
12 NW Tasmania21150%89.092.5-3.5
13 Geelong21150%78.090.0-12.0
14 Keilor Thunder31233%81.389.7-8.3
15 Bendigo Braves31233%81.090.0-9.0
16 Diamond Valley31233%86.7100.3-13.7
17 Nunawading2020%75.085.0-10.0
18 Dandenong3030%84.095.3-11.3
19 Sandringham Sabres3030%75.094.3-19.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Diamond Valley2615111062
Melbourne Tigers1819182378
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