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Dijon vs PAOK Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 97-93
30-20 22-23 26-23 19-27
Position#5
Record9-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game79.2
Dijon 🏆
vs
Position#9
Record9-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game76.2
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 6· Palais des Sports Jean-Michel Geoffroy
European cup2024
Meetings · Dijon v PAOK
05 Feb 2025
DIJ97
PAK93
20 Dec 2022
DIJ69
PAK74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dijon winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
PAOK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DijonLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDijon
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#12
L
91-94
91
94
-3
105avg 90
H20/12
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
W
84-83
84
83
+1
96avg 90
A27/12
LNB
PAOK
#9
L
81-95
81
95
-14
74avg 90
A08/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
W
92-71
92
71
+21
113avg 90
H12/01
LNB
CSM Oradea
#6
W
87-86 OT
87
86
+1
81avg 90
H15/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Le Portel
#15
W
90-82
90
82
+8
109avg 90
H18/01
LNB
Le Portel
#43
W
91-82
91
82
+9
94avg 90
H20/01
French Cup
Nancy
#9
W
104-85
104
85
+19
122avg 90
A25/01
LNB
BC Kalev/Cramo
#17
W
76-70
76
70
+6
77avg 90
A29/01
FIBA Europe Cup
La Rochelle
#16
L
90-92
90
92
-2
101avg 90
A01/02
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
22-17
24-24
29-28
17-23
16-20
33-23
18-17
25-20
21-22
14-25
21-28
19-20
26-16
24-22
23-13
24-24
13-19
18-16
20-16
31-22
22-26
16-17
21-17
25-15
24-15
19-28
23-24
19-19
29-16
28-20
28-30
13-15
12-19
26-17
25-19
24-19
23-25
15-23
28-25
172.6Avg total
88.6Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)90.379.2169.5+11.269%
Season at home (6)98.277.3175.5+20.883%
Season away (7)83.680.7164.3+2.957%
Last 10 (10)88.684.0172.6+4.670%
Last 5 (5)90.282.2172.4+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.286.0168.2-3.840%
vs Similar (11)85.488.3173.6-2.936%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)91.779.3171.0+12.469%
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
AS Karditsas
#4
W
84-81
84
81
+3
81avg 74
A21/12
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
84-74
84
74
+10
81avg 74
H29/12
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
81-100
81
100
-19
69avg 74
A05/01
Basket League
Dijon
#5
W
95-81
95
81
+14
92avg 74
H08/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Panionios
#8
L
98-105 OT
98
105
-7
88avg 74
H11/01
Basket League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#17
W
87-85
87
85
+2
80avg 74
H15/01
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Athens
#3
L
68-91
68
91
-23
56avg 74
A19/01
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
93-84
93
84
+9
89avg 74
H25/01
Basket League
CSM Oradea
#6
L
74-83
74
83
-9
61avg 74
A29/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Lavrio
#12
L
69-74
69
74
-5
56avg 74
H01/02
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
21-21
24-19
18-22
26-19
23-20
22-23
13-12
21-28
17-20
25-29
18-23
20-25
22-21
25-14
28-21
25-29
19-15
18-23
24-19
24-12
23-22
15-21
25-30
17-27
15-19
20-25
16-20
19-24
20-21
24-24
30-15
20-22
20-20
18-19
16-22
17-17
17-22
17-18
18-17
169.1Avg total
83.3Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)82.176.2158.3+5.982%
Season at home (6)86.774.3161.0+12.3100%
Season away (5)76.678.4155.0-1.860%
Last 10 (10)83.385.8169.1-2.550%
Last 5 (5)78.283.4161.6-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)79.185.7164.8-6.644%
vs Similar (15)82.180.3162.4+1.967%
vs Weaker (6)80.375.2155.5+5.267%
This opponent (Dijon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +0.5+0.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +0.5+0.5
DijonPAOK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DijonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#12
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H20/12
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A27/12
LNB
PAOK
#9
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A08/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H12/01
LNB
CSM Oradea
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H15/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Le Portel
#15
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H18/01
LNB
Le Portel
#43
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H20/01
French Cup
Nancy
#9
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A25/01
LNB
BC Kalev/Cramo
#17
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A29/01
FIBA Europe Cup
La Rochelle
#16
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A01/02
LNB
81.8Avg total
42.1Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.340.683.9+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.941.688.4+5.357%-
Last 30 away (16)40.139.879.9+0.362%-
Last 10 (10)42.139.781.8+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.438.282.6+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.041.880.8-2.840%-
vs Similar (11)40.543.583.9-3.045%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)46.838.685.5+8.277%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AS Karditsas
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A21/12
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H29/12
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A05/01
Basket League
Dijon
#5
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H08/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Panionios
#8
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H11/01
Basket League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#17
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H15/01
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Athens
#3
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A19/01
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H25/01
Basket League
CSM Oradea
#6
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A29/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Lavrio
#12
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H01/02
Basket League
83.0Avg total
40.7Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.739.979.7-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.439.581.9+2.853%-
Last 30 away (13)36.340.576.8-4.238%-
Last 10 (10)40.742.383.0-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)38.441.279.6-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)39.144.984.0-5.811%-
vs Similar (15)41.138.279.3+2.967%-
vs Weaker (6)37.336.874.2+0.550%-
This opponent (Dijon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dijontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dijon: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.320.8
57.3%
52.6%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.410.4
39.4%
34.0%31.2
🏀 Free throws17.114.8
86.5%
72.6%14.8
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.1
49.7%
52.6%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.0
33.3%
34.0%27.0
🏀 Free throws25.419.3
76.0%
72.6%19.3
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dijon
LWWWWWWLWL
PAOK
LLWLWLWLWW
#5
League position
#9
+6.0
Net rating
-2.8
118.5
Offensive rating
111.5
112.6
Defensive rating
114.3
58.1%
Effective FG%
49.8%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
16.7%
Turnover %
16.7%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
34.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.40
39.4%
3-point %
33.3%
73.1%
Assist %
58.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence118.5 · 111.5Defence112.6 · 114.3Shooting58.1% · 49.8%3-point %39.4% · 33.3%Ball care16.7% · 16.7%Off. rebounds27.7% · 34.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Dijon   ■ PAOK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Dijon wins
2
PAOK wins
DateGameScore
08/01/25PAOK v Dijon95-81
20/12/22Dijon v PAOK69-74
05/10/22PAOK v Dijon66-70
Dijonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25ALa Rochelle90-92
29/01/25ABC Kalev/Cramo76-70
25/01/25ANancy104-85
20/01/25HLe Portel91-82
18/01/25HLe Portel90-82
15/01/25HCSM Oradea87-86 OT
12/01/25HLyon-Villeurbanne92-71
08/01/25APAOK81-95
27/12/24AGravelines-Dunkerque84-83
20/12/24HStrasbourg91-94
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25HLavrio69-74
29/01/25ACSM Oradea74-83
25/01/25HMaroussi93-84
19/01/25AAEK Athens68-91
15/01/25HBC Kalev/Cramo87-85
11/01/25HPanionios98-105 OT
08/01/25HDijon95-81
05/01/25APanathinaikos81-100
29/12/24HPeristeri84-74
21/12/24AAS Karditsas84-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dijon
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW69%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayLWLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %69%83%57%
Points / game90.398.283.6
Allowed / game79.277.380.7
Point differential+11.2+20.8+2.9
Avg total169.5175.5164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %8%17%0%
PAOK
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %82%100%60%
Points / game82.186.776.6
Allowed / game76.274.378.4
Point differential+5.9+12.3-1.8
Avg total158.3161.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%67%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bilbao1413193%85.567.6+17.9
2 Ludwigsburg1211192%83.268.7+14.5
3 Cholet1110191%90.775.2+15.5
4 Tofas119282%92.683.6+9.0
5 PAOK119282%82.176.2+5.9
6 Basket Zaragoza118373%88.682.0+6.6
7 Dijon139469%90.379.2+11.2
8 CSM Oradea128467%82.074.4+7.6
9 Levice64267%85.781.2+4.5
10 Sassari117464%81.873.5+8.3
11 FC Porto117464%82.877.2+5.6
12 BC Prievidza85362%83.882.8+1.0
13 Maroussi138562%85.079.2+5.8
14 Fribourg Olympic127558%87.680.6+7.0
15 Basketball Braunschweig63350%85.881.2+4.7
16 Spojnia Stargard63350%73.370.7+2.7
17 BC Kalev/Cramo126650%80.978.7+2.2
18 Bursaspor63350%85.584.0+1.5
19 Arges Pitesti63350%71.770.3+1.3
20 Alba Fehervar84450%89.693.8-4.1
21 Spirou Charleroi147750%77.982.1-4.1
22 Caledonia Gladiators63350%58.570.8-12.3
23 Anwil Wloclawek125742%88.580.8+7.7
24 Le Portel125742%76.175.8+0.3
25 Norrkoping62433%79.085.5-6.5
26 Limburg62433%76.783.3-6.7
27 Antwerp Giants62433%80.287.7-7.5
28 Kutaisi62433%78.789.0-10.3
29 AEK Larnaca62433%71.085.7-14.7
30 Sporting CP82625%71.579.5-8.0
31 Anorthosis82625%75.884.2-8.5
32 BC Dnipro82625%66.087.1-21.1
33 Sabah Baku61517%73.878.8-5.0
34 Keravnos61517%84.590.7-6.2
35 Parnu61517%68.079.7-11.7
36 CSM Constanta81712%73.591.4-17.9
37 Starlites2020%74.584.0-9.5
38 Szolnoki Olaj6060%73.886.0-12.2
39 Rilski Sportist6060%71.387.0-15.7
40 Trepca6060%57.377.3-20.0
41 Balkan6060%69.389.8-20.5
42 Neptunas2020%62.584.5-22.0
43 Peja2020%78.0102.0-24.0
44 Dinamo Zagreb2020%70.5100.0-29.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dijon3022261997
PAOK2023232793
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