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AEK Athens vs PAOK Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 15:15
Final 91-68
27-17 19-15 25-20 20-16
Position#3
Record7-7
FormWWWLL
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game83.1
vs
Position#6
Record7-7
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game84.3
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 15· Ano Liosia Olympic Hall
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · AEK Athens v PAOK
16 Jan 2027
AAT v PAK
upcoming
09 Nov 2025
AAT76
PAK78
27 Apr 2025
AAT89
PAK85
05 Apr 2025
AAT89
PAK76
19 Jan 2025
AAT91
PAK68
21 Apr 2024
AAT99
PAK91
25 Nov 2023
AAT90
PAK70
27 Dec 2022
AAT71
PAK83
22 Jan 2022
AAT72
PAK67
16 May 2021
AAT87
PAK81
11 May 2021
AAT102
PAK89
27 Jan 2021
AAT76
PAK56
05 Dec 2020
AAT85
PAK84
28 Mar 2020
AAT v PAK
upcoming
13 Mar 2019
AAT62
PAK63
13 Oct 2018
AAT91
PAK71
19 May 2018
AAT88
PAK93
11 Apr 2018
AAT72
PAK81
25 Feb 2017
AAT77
PAK71
06 May 2015
AAT85
PAK93
13 Feb 2011
AAT73
PAK80
17 Apr 2010
AAT73
PAK90
04 Apr 2009
AAT93
PAK85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
PAOK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#5
L
76-84
76
84
-8
72avg 77
A16/11
Basket League
Panionios
#8
W
75-71 OT
75
71
+4
67avg 77
H30/11
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
L
82-89
82
89
-7
60avg 77
A07/12
Basket League
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#28
L
84-95
84
95
-11
77avg 77
A10/12
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
W
83-81
83
81
+2
81avg 77
A14/12
Basket League
Bonn
#8
W
96-65
96
65
+31
96avg 77
H17/12
Champions League
Lavrio
#12
W
97-86
97
86
+11
89avg 77
H21/12
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
102-89
102
89
+13
100avg 77
H28/12
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
L
83-85
83
85
-2
81avg 77
A04/01
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
80-103
80
103
-23
71avg 77
H12/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
23-15
18-32
21-17
15-17
14-16
20-15
15-16
26-16
18-25
21-27
17-21
26-26
18-18
25-23
15-28
26-18
17-26
19-19
21-18
24-12
26-7
20-19
26-27
29-28
18-19
29-20
21-19
23-18
31-24
22-28
26-19
23-24
27-24
19-17
14-20
22-32
23-18
15-26
20-27
170.6Avg total
85.8Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)83.183.1166.2-0.150%
Season at home (7)87.683.6171.1+4.071%
Season away (7)78.682.7161.3-4.129%
Last 10 (10)85.884.8170.6+1.050%
Last 5 (5)91.685.6177.2+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.597.7176.2-19.20%
vs Similar (5)82.080.4162.4+1.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)85.279.3164.4+5.963%
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#17
W
79-71
79
71
+8
71avg 74
A04/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Promitheas
#5
W
86-73
86
73
+13
80avg 74
H09/12
Basket League
CSM Oradea
#6
W
73-68
73
68
+5
68avg 74
H12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
94-70
94
70
+24
95avg 74
H15/12
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
W
84-81
84
81
+3
81avg 74
A21/12
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
84-74
84
74
+10
81avg 74
H29/12
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
81-100
81
100
-19
69avg 74
A05/01
Basket League
Dijon
#5
W
95-81
95
81
+14
92avg 74
H08/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Panionios
#8
L
98-105 OT
98
105
-7
88avg 74
H11/01
Basket League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#17
W
87-85
87
85
+2
80avg 74
H15/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
18-14
17-15
23-14
28-32
21-4
16-27
21-10
22-14
18-17
16-14
17-23
22-24
26-10
19-20
27-16
21-19
21-21
24-19
18-22
26-19
23-20
22-23
13-12
21-28
17-20
25-29
18-23
20-25
22-21
25-14
28-21
25-29
19-15
18-23
24-19
24-12
23-22
15-21
25-30
166.9Avg total
86.1Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)81.684.3165.9-2.650%
Season at home (7)86.084.3170.3+1.757%
Season away (7)77.384.3161.6-7.043%
Last 10 (10)86.180.8166.9+5.380%
Last 5 (5)89.089.0178.0+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)82.387.9170.2-5.640%
vs Similar (15)81.178.8159.9+2.367%
vs Weaker (5)82.675.4158.0+7.280%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +2.4+2.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +2.4+2.4
AEK AthensPAOK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#5
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A16/11
Basket League
Panionios
#8
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H30/11
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A07/12
Basket League
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#28
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A10/12
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A14/12
Basket League
Bonn
#8
W
50-19
50
19
+31
H17/12
Champions League
Lavrio
#12
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H21/12
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H28/12
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A04/01
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H12/01
Basket League
84.6Avg total
44.3Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.840.483.1+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.639.584.1+5.156%-
Last 30 away (14)40.641.482.0-0.757%-
Last 10 (10)44.340.384.6+4.050%-
Last 5 (5)49.241.290.4+8.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.548.790.2-7.217%-
vs Similar (5)41.437.278.6+4.280%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.538.682.1+4.963%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#17
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A04/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Promitheas
#5
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H09/12
Basket League
CSM Oradea
#6
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H15/12
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A21/12
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H29/12
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A05/01
Basket League
Dijon
#5
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H08/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Panionios
#8
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H11/01
Basket League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#17
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H15/01
FIBA Europe Cup
83.2Avg total
43.8Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.740.080.7+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.339.382.6+4.065%-
Last 30 away (13)37.241.078.2-3.838%-
Last 10 (10)43.839.483.2+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.042.286.2+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)41.345.586.8-4.220%-
vs Similar (15)41.137.678.7+3.573%-
vs Weaker (5)38.036.474.4+1.660%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.522.3
56.5%
53.5%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.4
36.2%
34.8%25.2
🏀 Free throws21.316.0
75.1%
73.3%16.0
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.9
50.7%
53.5%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.810.2
38.1%
34.8%30.6
🏀 Free throws22.317.1
76.7%
73.3%17.1
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
LLWWWWLLWL
PAOK
WLWLWWWWWW
#3
League position
#6
-0.4
Net rating
+8.2
114.1
Offensive rating
115.2
114.5
Defensive rating
107.0
55.7%
Effective FG%
53.4%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
15.8%
Turnover %
17.4%
24.6%
Off. rebound %
34.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.35
36.2%
3-point %
38.1%
67.4%
Assist %
59.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence114.1 · 115.2Defence114.5 · 107.0Shooting55.7% · 53.4%3-point %36.2% · 38.1%Ball care15.8% · 17.4%Off. rebounds24.6% · 34.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ AEK Athens   ■ PAOK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
AEK Athens wins
5
PAOK wins
DateGameScore
26/10/24PAOK v AEK Athens87-82
21/04/24AEK Athens v PAOK99-91
02/03/24PAOK v AEK Athens85-94
25/11/23AEK Athens v PAOK90-70
01/04/23PAOK v AEK Athens78-72
27/12/22AEK Athens v PAOK71-83
14/05/22PAOK v AEK Athens96-72
22/01/22AEK Athens v PAOK72-67
16/05/21AEK Athens v PAOK87-81
13/05/21PAOK v AEK Athens81-73
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/25HPanathinaikos80-103
04/01/25AAS Karditsas83-85
28/12/24HAris102-89
21/12/24HLavrio97-86
17/12/24HBonn96-65
14/12/24AMaroussi83-81
10/12/24AMaccabi Ironi Ramat Gan84-95
07/12/24APeristeri82-89
30/11/24HPanionios75-71 OT
16/11/24APromitheas76-84
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/25HBC Kalev/Cramo87-85
11/01/25HPanionios98-105 OT
08/01/25HDijon95-81
05/01/25APanathinaikos81-100
29/12/24HPeristeri84-74
21/12/24AAS Karditsas84-81
15/12/24HKolossos Rhodes94-70
12/12/24HCSM Oradea73-68
09/12/24HPromitheas86-73
04/12/24ABC Kalev/Cramo79-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayLLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %50%71%29%
Points / game83.187.678.6
Allowed / game83.183.682.7
Point differential-0.1+4.0-4.1
Avg total166.2171.1161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%57%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %7%14%0%
PAOK
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeLWWWL57%
AwayWLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %50%57%43%
Points / game81.686.077.3
Allowed / game84.384.384.3
Point differential-2.6+1.7-7.0
Avg total165.9170.3161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos14140100%95.075.4+19.6
2 Olympiacos1413193%90.474.1+16.2
3 Promitheas148657%81.783.2-1.5
4 AEK Athens147750%83.183.1-0.1
5 AS Karditsas147750%78.480.1-1.8
6 PAOK147750%81.684.3-2.6
7 Panionios157847%77.275.8+1.4
8 Peristeri156940%76.480.6-4.2
9 Lavrio1551033%81.084.5-3.5
10 Maroussi1551033%74.982.1-7.2
11 Aris1551033%78.288.1-9.9
12 Kolossos Rhodes1531220%76.781.2-4.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens2719252091
PAOK1715201668
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