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Panathinaikos vs PAOK Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 15:15
Final 100-81
28-21 20-17 29-25 23-18
Position#1
Record12-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.9
Allowed / game74.5
vs
Position#6
Record7-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game81.2
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 13· O.A.C.A. Olympic Indoor Hall
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Panathinaikos v PAOK
11 Apr 2027
PAO v PAK
upcoming
28 May 2026
PAO114
PAK102
05 Oct 2025
PAO93
PAK83
05 Jan 2025
PAO100
PAK81
16 May 2024
PAO84
PAK66
10 Dec 2023
PAO97
PAK85
27 Nov 2022
PAO87
PAK63
26 Mar 2022
PAO77
PAK67
08 Nov 2020
PAO96
PAK67
27 Jan 2020
PAO117
PAK79
07 Apr 2019
PAO89
PAK51
26 May 2018
PAO84
PAK67
24 May 2018
PAO92
PAK79
15 Oct 2017
PAO89
PAK74
13 Apr 2017
PAO102
PAK58
05 Oct 2016
PAO88
PAK69
28 May 2015
PAO75
PAK61
26 May 2015
PAO83
PAK58
08 Mar 2015
PAO83
PAK69
15 May 2014
PAO83
PAK77
13 May 2014
PAO89
PAK83
29 Dec 2013
PAO81
PAK61
20 Jan 2013
PAO71
PAK61
03 Mar 2012
PAO85
PAK65
23 May 2011
PAO105
PAK65
19 May 2011
PAO95
PAK52
23 Oct 2010
PAO108
PAK61
06 Dec 2009
PAO83
PAK78
25 Apr 2009
PAO97
PAK54
20 Dec 2008
PAO107
PAK97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
PAOK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Partizan
#12
L
73-91
73
91
-18
66avg 83
A05/12
Euroleague
Panionios
#8
W
85-83
85
83
+2
85avg 83
A08/12
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
67-93
67
93
-26
50avg 83
A13/12
Euroleague
Lavrio
#12
W
85-68
85
68
+17
89avg 83
A15/12
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
103-74
103
74
+29
107avg 83
H17/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#14
W
104-69
104
69
+35
104avg 83
H19/12
Euroleague
Aris
#7
W
126-74
126
74
+52
136avg 83
H22/12
Basket League
Bayern
#7
W
80-69
80
69
+11
71avg 83
A27/12
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#4
W
96-72
96
72
+24
96avg 83
H29/12
Basket League
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
111-90
111
90
+21
118avg 83
H03/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
17-24
12-20
24-27
17-23
27-19
18-21
23-20
15-20
19-25
12-23
21-25
20-20
25-17
18-15
22-16
38-15
24-25
17-20
24-14
33-12
20-23
23-20
28-14
33-24
24-15
36-18
33-17
13-16
19-20
23-17
25-16
27-20
29-9
22-25
18-18
30-23
24-19
25-24
32-24
171.3Avg total
93.0Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)93.974.5168.4+19.4100%
Season at home (6)102.071.5173.5+30.5100%
Season away (6)85.877.5163.3+8.3100%
Last 10 (10)93.078.3171.3+14.780%
Last 5 (5)103.474.8178.2+28.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)81.385.6166.9-4.340%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)94.276.0170.2+18.295%
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#12
L
71-96
71
96
-25
60avg 72
A09/11
Basket League
Szolnoki Olaj
#38
W
92-69
92
69
+23
96avg 72
A13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Olympiacos
#2
L
60-90
60
90
-30
43avg 72
H17/11
Basket League
Aris
#7
L
82-88
82
88
-6
75avg 72
A01/12
Basket League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#17
W
79-71
79
71
+8
71avg 72
A04/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Promitheas
#5
W
86-73
86
73
+13
80avg 72
H09/12
Basket League
CSM Oradea
#6
W
73-68
73
68
+5
68avg 72
H12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
94-70
94
70
+24
95avg 72
H15/12
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
W
84-81
84
81
+3
81avg 72
A21/12
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
84-74
84
74
+10
81avg 72
H29/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-21
17-20
22-27
25-28
17-15
22-19
20-15
33-20
13-29
13-24
17-24
17-13
30-26
18-21
9-17
25-24
21-28
18-14
17-15
23-14
28-32
21-4
16-27
21-10
22-14
18-17
16-14
17-23
22-24
26-10
19-20
27-16
21-19
21-21
24-19
18-22
26-19
23-20
22-23
13-12
158.5Avg total
80.5Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.381.2161.6-0.958%
Season at home (6)84.080.8164.8+3.267%
Season away (6)76.781.7158.3-5.050%
Last 10 (10)80.578.0158.5+2.570%
Last 5 (5)84.273.2157.4+11.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)80.987.2168.1-6.438%
vs Similar (16)79.978.0157.9+1.962%
vs Weaker (6)83.373.3156.7+10.083%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +5.9+5.9Q4: +3.7+3.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +5.9+5.9Q4: +3.7+3.7
PanathinaikosPAOK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#12
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A05/12
Euroleague
Panionios
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A08/12
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A13/12
Euroleague
Lavrio
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A15/12
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
62-40
62
40
+22
H17/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#14
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H19/12
Euroleague
Aris
#7
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H22/12
Basket League
Bayern
#7
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A27/12
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#4
W
56-29
56
29
+27
H29/12
Basket League
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H03/01
Euroleague
86.3Avg total
47.4Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.339.283.5+5.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.536.984.5+10.673%-
Last 30 away (15)41.141.582.6-0.547%-
Last 10 (10)47.438.986.3+8.570%-
Last 5 (5)50.436.286.6+14.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)40.643.283.8-2.620%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.137.283.4+8.980%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#12
L
24-41
24
41
-17
A09/11
Basket League
Szolnoki Olaj
#38
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Olympiacos
#2
L
26-53
26
53
-27
H17/11
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A01/12
Basket League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#17
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A04/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Promitheas
#5
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H09/12
Basket League
CSM Oradea
#6
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H15/12
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A21/12
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H29/12
Basket League
80.1Avg total
40.4Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.439.680.0+0.857%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.738.481.1+4.275%-
Last 30 away (14)37.841.078.8-3.236%-
Last 10 (10)40.439.780.1+0.770%-
Last 5 (5)45.636.081.6+9.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)41.645.186.8-3.525%-
vs Similar (16)40.337.878.1+2.569%-
vs Weaker (6)39.037.276.2+1.867%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 92.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.421.6
59.3%
53.5%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.611.0
39.9%
34.8%33.0
🏀 Free throws21.716.1
74.2%
73.3%16.1
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.417.1
48.3%
53.5%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.1
36.3%
34.8%30.3
🏀 Free throws19.515.0
76.9%
73.3%15.0
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WWWWWWWLWL
PAOK
WWWWWWLLWL
#1
League position
#6
+20.9
Net rating
+3.4
128.5
Offensive rating
107.3
107.6
Defensive rating
104.0
59.5%
Effective FG%
51.0%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
14.0%
Turnover %
18.8%
36.7%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
39.9%
3-point %
36.3%
71.8%
Assist %
63.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence128.5 · 107.3Defence107.6 · 104.0Shooting59.5% · 51.0%3-point %39.9% · 36.3%Ball care14.0% · 18.8%Off. rebounds36.7% · 32.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ PAOK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Panathinaikos wins
1
PAOK wins
DateGameScore
12/10/24PAOK v Panathinaikos93-96
18/05/24PAOK v Panathinaikos96-99 OT
16/05/24Panathinaikos v PAOK84-66
17/03/24PAOK v Panathinaikos73-89
10/12/23Panathinaikos v PAOK97-85
29/09/23PAOK v Panathinaikos64-77
13/03/23PAOK v Panathinaikos81-73
27/11/22Panathinaikos v PAOK87-63
26/03/22Panathinaikos v PAOK77-67
07/11/21PAOK v Panathinaikos64-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/25HVirtus Bologna111-90
29/12/24HAS Karditsas96-72
27/12/24ABayern80-69
22/12/24HAris126-74
19/12/24HBaskonia104-69
17/12/24HOlimpia Milano103-74
15/12/24ALavrio85-68
13/12/24AAnadolu Efes67-93
08/12/24APanionios85-83
05/12/24APartizan73-91
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24HPeristeri84-74
21/12/24AAS Karditsas84-81
15/12/24HKolossos Rhodes94-70
12/12/24HCSM Oradea73-68
09/12/24HPromitheas86-73
04/12/24ABC Kalev/Cramo79-71
01/12/24AAris82-88
17/11/24HOlympiacos60-90
13/11/24ASzolnoki Olaj92-69
09/11/24ALavrio71-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.9102.085.8
Allowed / game74.571.577.5
Point differential+19.4+30.5+8.3
Avg total168.4173.5163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
PAOK
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW58%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game80.384.076.7
Allowed / game81.280.881.7
Point differential-0.9+3.2-5.0
Avg total161.6164.8158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos12120100%93.974.5+19.4
2 Olympiacos1312192%90.274.3+15.8
3 PAOK127558%80.381.2-0.9
4 AEK Athens137654%83.381.6+1.7
5 AS Karditsas137654%78.879.2-0.3
6 Promitheas137654%79.882.2-2.4
7 Panionios136746%76.174.9+1.2
8 Peristeri135838%76.681.5-4.8
9 Lavrio134931%80.885.8-4.9
10 Aris134931%76.587.8-11.4
11 Kolossos Rhodes1331023%76.579.6-3.2
12 Maroussi1331023%74.883.5-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos28202923100
PAOK2117251881
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