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Dijon vs Tofas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 12 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 61-90
10-29 21-24 11-14 19-23
Position#6
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game78.8
vs
Tofas 🏆
Position#18
Record2-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game81.0
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 4
European cup2020
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dijon winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tofas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DijonLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
81-67
81
67
+14
A24/10
LNB
Chalons-Reims
#12
W
87-72
87
72
+15
H27/10
LNB
Nymburk
#4
W
85-61
85
61
+24
H03/11
Champions League
Monaco
#3
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A14/11
LNB
Tofas
#18
W
87-81 OT
87
81
+6
A18/11
Champions League
Cholet
#14
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A12/12
LNB
Roanne
#15
W
91-81
91
81
+10
A20/12
LNB
JL Bourg
#5
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H26/12
LNB
Nymburk
#4
L
54-94
54
94
-40
A06/01
Champions League
Nanterre
#49
W
79-65
79
65
+14
H09/01
French Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
15-16
23-16
24-21
25-23
17-6
20-20
25-23
21-23
29-18
17-9
18-11
19-15
10-23
19-18
14-14
19-19
9-9
19-20
21-20
20-20
15-20
18-20
20-23
26-12
26-20
21-22
18-27
25-12
23-22
23-14
9-23
11-25
9-24
18-21
16-24
21-6
23-23
21-19
14-17
152.4Avg total
77.9Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.278.8158.0+0.575%
Season at home (2)88.070.0158.0+18.0100%
Season away (2)70.587.5158.0-17.050%
Last 10 (10)77.974.5152.4+3.470%
Last 5 (5)75.478.8154.2-3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.376.3149.7-3.067%
vs Similar ◀ (5)74.674.2148.8+0.460%
vs Weaker (20)85.873.1158.8+12.795%
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
OGM Ormanspor
#16
W
99-82
99
82
+17
H14/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Dijon
#6
L
81-87 OT
81
87
-6
H18/11
Champions League
Besiktas
#5
L
85-94
85
94
-9
A22/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fethiye Bld.
#15
W
110-81
110
81
+29
H02/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#8
L
67-68
67
68
-1
A05/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
78-92
78
92
-14
H19/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
W
85-72
85
72
+13
A27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#6
W
78-64
78
64
+14
H02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Keravnos
#32
W
78-67
78
67
+11
H06/01
Champions League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H09/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
28-15
24-15
23-24
19-19
9-9
20-19
20-21
24-21
22-26
18-18
21-29
23-20
33-16
28-23
26-22
15-19
19-16
18-10
15-23
25-14
12-39
17-25
24-14
17-22
27-13
21-21
20-16
23-14
15-20
26-12
14-18
19-13
17-19
27-17
15-18
19-25
20-19
23-18
25-18
163.5Avg total
84.8Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.081.0165.0+3.050%
Season at home (3)84.083.3167.3+0.733%
Season away (1)84.074.0158.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.878.7163.5+6.160%
Last 5 (5)81.275.0156.2+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)91.397.3188.7-6.00%
vs Similar ◀ (6)80.381.5161.8-1.233%
vs Weaker (20)86.976.7163.6+10.270%
This opponent (Dijon) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +0.0+0.0
DijonTofas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DijonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A24/10
LNB
Chalons-Reims
#12
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H27/10
LNB
Nymburk
#4
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H03/11
Champions League
Monaco
#3
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A14/11
LNB
Tofas
#18
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A18/11
Champions League
Cholet
#14
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A12/12
LNB
Roanne
#15
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A20/12
LNB
JL Bourg
#5
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H26/12
LNB
Nymburk
#4
L
20-49
20
49
-29
A06/01
Champions League
Nanterre
#49
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H09/01
French Cup
73.2Avg total
38.2Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.134.573.6+4.657%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.431.872.2+8.677%-
Last 30 away (17)38.136.574.6+1.641%-
Last 10 (10)38.235.073.2+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)39.836.876.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.040.071.0-9.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)35.635.471.0+0.240%-
vs Weaker (20)40.633.874.4+6.960%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
OGM Ormanspor
#16
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H14/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Dijon
#6
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H18/11
Champions League
Besiktas
#5
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A22/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fethiye Bld.
#15
W
56-36
56
36
+20
H02/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#8
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A05/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H19/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#6
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Keravnos
#32
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H06/01
Champions League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H09/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
79.7Avg total
41.0Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.340.182.4+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.039.884.8+5.269%-
Last 30 away (14)39.140.579.6-1.443%-
Last 10 (10)41.038.779.7+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.839.678.4-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.749.392.0-6.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)38.340.378.7-2.033%-
vs Weaker (20)43.138.081.1+5.270%-
This opponent (Dijon) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dijontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dijon: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.0 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.720.9
56.9%
52.7%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.9
35.0%
35.4%26.7
🏀 Free throws11.88.0
67.8%
73.2%8.0
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.125.4
53.9%
52.7%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.87.8
37.5%
35.4%23.4
🏀 Free throws14.611.0
75.3%
73.2%11.0
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dijon
WLWWLWLWWW
Tofas
WWWWLLWLLW
#6
League position
#18
+5.0
Net rating
+12.4
106.9
Offensive rating
116.1
101.8
Defensive rating
103.7
55.2%
Effective FG%
54.6%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
19.5%
Turnover %
15.5%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.22
35.0%
3-point %
37.5%
66.1%
Assist %
65.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.9 · 116.1Defence101.8 · 103.7Shooting55.2% · 54.6%3-point %35.0% · 37.5%Ball care19.5% · 15.5%Off. rebounds28.7% · 32.9%Free throws0.19 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Dijon   ■ Tofas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Dijon wins
0
Tofas wins
DateGameScore
18/11/20Tofas v Dijon81-87 OT
Dijonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/21HNanterre79-65
06/01/21ANymburk54-94
26/12/20HJL Bourg80-71
20/12/20ARoanne91-81
12/12/20ACholet73-83
18/11/20ATofas87-81 OT
14/11/20AMonaco62-70
03/11/20HNymburk85-61
27/10/20HChalons-Reims87-72
24/10/20AGravelines-Dunkerque81-67
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/21HBahcesehir Kol.87-80
06/01/21HKeravnos78-67
02/01/21HTurk Telekom78-64
27/12/20ADarussafaka85-72
19/12/20HAnadolu Efes78-92
05/12/20AGaziantep67-68
02/12/20HFethiye Bld.110-81
22/11/20ABesiktas85-94
18/11/20HDijon81-87 OT
14/11/20HOGM Ormanspor99-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dijon
Champions League 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game79.288.070.5
Allowed / game78.870.087.5
Point differential+0.5+18.0-17.0
Avg total158.0158.0158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %50%50%50%
Tofas
Champions League 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeLLW33%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%33%100%
Points / game84.084.084.0
Allowed / game81.083.374.0
Point differential+3.0+0.7+10.0
Avg total165.0167.3158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %50%67%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bamberg550100%85.272.2+13.0
2 Nymburk54180%89.874.0+15.8
3 San Pablo Burgos54180%90.676.8+13.8
4 Tenerife54180%94.882.2+12.6
5 Basket Zaragoza54180%86.684.4+2.2
6 VEF Riga43175%82.074.8+7.2
7 Strasbourg43175%78.572.8+5.8
8 Brindisi43175%87.083.8+3.2
9 Dijon43175%79.278.8+0.5
10 Turk Telekom43175%78.878.5+0.2
11 Igokea75271%74.773.6+1.1
12 Nizhny Novgorod53260%84.679.0+5.6
13 Szombathely53260%85.079.6+5.4
14 AEK Athens53260%83.880.4+3.4
15 Hapoel Holon53260%78.076.8+1.2
16 Sassari53260%86.489.6-3.2
17 Bakken Bears74357%86.381.6+4.7
18 Minsk74357%73.475.3-1.9
19 Donar Groningen21150%72.556.5+16.0
20 Hapoel Jerusalem42250%83.079.0+4.0
21 Karsiyaka42250%78.275.0+3.2
22 Tofas42250%84.081.0+3.0
23 Sporting CP21150%74.074.0+0.0
24 Belfius Mons21150%76.077.5-1.5
25 Neptunas21150%68.071.0-3.0
26 Cholet52340%77.475.8+1.6
27 Bilbao52340%73.873.2+0.6
28 Peristeri52340%80.280.4-0.2
29 Keravnos72529%73.486.0-12.6
30 Darussafaka41325%75.285.0-9.8
31 Limoges51420%74.276.6-2.4
32 Oostende51420%81.490.0-8.6
33 Galatasaray51420%82.891.8-9.0
34 Rytas51420%77.287.4-10.2
35 Iraklis1010%94.096.0-2.0
36 London Lions1010%73.077.0-4.0
37 Fribourg Olympic1010%78.084.0-6.0
38 Cluj Napoca1010%75.082.0-7.0
39 Balkan1010%65.073.0-8.0
40 Anwil Wloclawek1010%69.081.0-12.0
41 Lublin5050%70.083.2-13.2
42 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1010%71.091.0-20.0
43 Fortitudo Bologna4040%62.582.8-20.2
44 BC Dnipro1010%53.088.0-35.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dijon1021111961
Tofas2924142390
← all games of the day
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