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Tofas vs Dijon Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Nov 2020
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 81-87 (OT)
19-19 9-9 20-19 20-21 13-19
Position#18
Record1-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game85.0
vs
Dijon 🏆
Position#6
Record2-0
FormWWWWL
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game70.0
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 3
European cup2020
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dijon winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
94-85
94
85
+9
H03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Afyon Belediye
#9
W
89-75
89
75
+14
A11/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#3
L
78-88
78
88
-10
H17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#10
L
70-83
70
83
-13
A24/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#2
L
103-104
103
104
-1
H31/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Keravnos
#32
W
84-74
84
74
+10
A03/11
Champions League
Galatasaray
#11
W
91-79
91
79
+12
A08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Nymburk
#4
L
93-96 OT
93
96
-3
H10/11
Champions League
OGM Ormanspor
#16
W
99-82
99
82
+17
H14/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
14-26
25-18
20-18
25-16
25-28
27-18
17-23
26-18
24-17
23-17
16-23
19-30
18-24
21-14
20-20
27-22
15-18
14-21
14-22
28-24
23-26
15-23
37-31
17-22
18-17
29-14
20-21
22-19
20-21
20-18
29-21
17-29
23-16
27-15
14-21
24-28
28-15
24-15
23-24
172.4Avg total
87.4Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)88.585.0173.5+3.550%
Season at home (1)93.096.0189.0-3.00%
Season away (1)84.074.0158.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.485.0172.4+2.450%
Last 5 (5)94.087.0181.0+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)90.592.8183.2-2.225%
vs Similar ◀ (4)72.580.8153.2-8.20%
vs Weaker (21)88.878.3167.1+10.476%
This opponent (Dijon) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DijonLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orleans
#11
W
90-71
90
71
+19
H29/02
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
67-80
67
80
-13
A07/03
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#1
W
81-74
81
74
+7
H25/09
LNB
Le Portel
#13
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A09/10
LNB
Pau-Orthez
#11
W
87-71
87
71
+16
H17/10
LNB
Keravnos
#32
W
91-79 OT
91
79
+12
H20/10
Champions League
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
81-67
81
67
+14
A24/10
LNB
Chalons-Reims
#12
W
87-72
87
72
+15
H27/10
LNB
Nymburk
#4
W
85-61
85
61
+24
H03/11
Champions League
Monaco
#3
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A14/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
18-15
21-28
27-14
12-22
21-19
20-24
14-15
17-18
6-12
30-24
28-20
22-12
10-21
18-21
23-11
18-22
17-13
28-17
24-19
8-25
22-9
17-25
25-13
19-14
15-16
23-16
24-21
25-23
17-6
20-20
25-23
21-23
29-18
17-9
18-11
19-15
10-23
19-18
14-14
151.4Avg total
80.4Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)88.070.0158.0+18.0100%
Season at home (2)88.070.0158.0+18.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.471.0151.4+9.480%
Last 5 (5)81.269.8151.0+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)83.067.5150.5+15.5100%
vs Similar ◀ (4)69.276.0145.2-6.825%
vs Weaker (23)86.473.3159.7+13.296%
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +6.1+6.1
TofasDijon
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Afyon Belediye
#9
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A11/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#3
L
37-54
37
54
-17
H17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#10
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A24/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#2
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H31/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Keravnos
#32
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A03/11
Champions League
Galatasaray
#11
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Nymburk
#4
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H10/11
Champions League
OGM Ormanspor
#16
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H14/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
86.5Avg total
42.7Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.883.7+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.342.488.7+3.967%-
Last 30 away (15)39.439.278.6+0.253%-
Last 10 (10)42.743.886.5-1.160%-
Last 5 (5)44.043.487.4+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)44.048.892.8-4.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)33.842.276.0-8.50%-
vs Weaker (21)44.238.382.5+5.976%-
This opponent (Dijon) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DijonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orleans
#11
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H29/02
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A07/03
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#1
L
23-30
23
30
-7
H25/09
LNB
Le Portel
#13
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A09/10
LNB
Pau-Orthez
#11
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H17/10
LNB
Keravnos
#32
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H20/10
Champions League
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A24/10
LNB
Chalons-Reims
#12
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H27/10
LNB
Nymburk
#4
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H03/11
Champions League
Monaco
#3
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A14/11
LNB
69.0Avg total
35.0Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.034.074.0+6.060%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.032.172.1+7.971%-
Last 30 away (16)40.035.675.6+4.450%-
Last 10 (10)35.034.069.0+1.040%-
Last 5 (5)37.034.471.4+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.535.572.0+1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)34.240.574.8-6.225%-
vs Weaker (23)41.132.873.9+8.365%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.225.0
56.6%
52.7%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.48.1
37.9%
35.4%24.3
🏀 Free throws16.612.2
73.5%
73.2%12.2
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dijontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dijon: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.3 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.2 pts a game · 9% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.322.7
60.7%
52.7%45.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.7
36.4%
35.4%26.0
🏀 Free throws10.77.2
67.2%
73.2%7.2
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/6 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
WLWWLLLWWL
Dijon
LWWWWWWWLW
#18
League position
#6
+3.0
Net rating
+16.1
113.2
Offensive rating
109.9
110.2
Defensive rating
93.8
56.6%
Effective FG%
58.3%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
17.1%
Turnover %
19.9%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.17
37.9%
3-point %
36.4%
64.0%
Assist %
61.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence113.2 · 109.9Defence110.2 · 93.8Shooting56.6% · 58.3%3-point %37.9% · 36.4%Ball care17.1% · 19.9%Off. rebounds29.0% · 27.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.17Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Tofas   ■ Dijon
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tofas wins
0
Dijon wins
No previous meetings.
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/20HOGM Ormanspor99-82
10/11/20HNymburk93-96 OT
08/11/20AGalatasaray91-79
03/11/20AKeravnos84-74
31/10/20HFenerbahce103-104
24/10/20ABursaspor70-83
17/10/20HKarsiyaka78-88
11/10/20AAfyon Belediye89-75
03/10/20HBuyukcekmece94-85
27/09/20ABahcesehir Kol.73-84
Dijonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/20AMonaco62-70
03/11/20HNymburk85-61
27/10/20HChalons-Reims87-72
24/10/20AGravelines-Dunkerque81-67
20/10/20HKeravnos91-79 OT
17/10/20HPau-Orthez87-71
09/10/20ALe Portel73-65
25/09/20HLyon-Villeurbanne81-74
07/03/20AMonaco67-80
29/02/20HOrleans90-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Champions League 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game88.593.084.0
Allowed / game85.096.074.0
Point differential+3.5-3.0+10.0
Avg total173.5189.0158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %50%100%0%
Dijon
Champions League 2020
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game88.088.0-
Allowed / game70.070.0-
Point differential+18.0+18.0-
Avg total158.0158.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %50%50%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bamberg220100%88.567.0+21.5
2 Dijon220100%88.070.0+18.0
3 Sassari220100%92.578.0+14.5
4 Brindisi110100%92.081.0+11.0
5 AEK Athens330100%92.782.0+10.7
6 Karsiyaka110100%81.072.0+9.0
7 Szombathely110100%84.075.0+9.0
8 Basket Zaragoza220100%82.080.0+2.0
9 Minsk54180%74.472.6+1.8
10 Igokea43175%76.071.2+4.8
11 Tenerife32167%85.079.0+6.0
12 Donar Groningen21150%72.556.5+16.0
13 Peristeri21150%93.586.0+7.5
14 Tofas21150%88.585.0+3.5
15 Hapoel Jerusalem21150%87.586.5+1.0
16 VEF Riga21150%79.579.0+0.5
17 Bakken Bears42250%82.882.8+0.0
18 Sporting CP21150%74.074.0+0.0
19 Strasbourg21150%79.079.0+0.0
20 Limoges21150%77.578.0-0.5
21 Belfius Mons21150%76.077.5-1.5
22 Oostende21150%86.588.5-2.0
23 Darussafaka21150%80.083.0-3.0
24 Neptunas21150%68.071.0-3.0
25 Turk Telekom21150%82.085.5-3.5
26 Keravnos42250%77.281.5-4.2
27 Rytas21150%85.593.5-8.0
28 Nymburk21150%78.589.0-10.5
29 Hapoel Holon31233%79.380.7-1.3
30 Galatasaray31233%82.386.3-4.0
31 San Pablo Burgos1010%98.099.0-1.0
32 Iraklis1010%94.096.0-2.0
33 Nizhny Novgorod1010%75.078.0-3.0
34 London Lions1010%73.077.0-4.0
35 Lublin2020%80.085.0-5.0
36 Fribourg Olympic1010%78.084.0-6.0
37 Cholet3030%73.079.3-6.3
38 Cluj Napoca1010%75.082.0-7.0
39 Bilbao2020%71.579.0-7.5
40 Balkan1010%65.073.0-8.0
41 Anwil Wloclawek1010%69.081.0-12.0
42 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1010%71.091.0-20.0
43 BC Dnipro1010%53.088.0-35.0
44 Fortitudo Bologna1010%63.0100.0-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Tofas19920201381
Dijon19919211987
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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