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Donar Groningen vs Leuven Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 82-76
23-18 18-16 21-19 20-23
Position#14
Record5-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game85.1
vs
Position#7
Record11-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game73.2
EuropeBNXT League· MartiniPlaza
Other2024-25
Meetings · Donar Groningen v Leuven Bears
06 Oct 2026
DGR81
LEUV78
11 Nov 2025
DGR82
LEUV76
26 Jan 2025
DGR82
LEUV76
02 Apr 2022
DGR68
LEUV72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Donar Groningen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leuven Bears winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Donar GroningenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGroningen
Date
Competition
Feyenoord
#17
L
80-88
80
88
-8
74avg 70
A01/12
BNXT League
Quick Lions
#12
W
99-78
99
78
+21
no box
A03/12
DBL Cup
Circus Brussels
#5
L
71-73
71
73
-2
66avg 70
H08/12
BNXT League
Spartak Pleven
#17
W
87-84
87
84
+3
76avg 70
H11/12
ENBL
Zwolle
#15
W
83-65
83
65
+18
86avg 70
A22/12
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
77-74
77
74
+3
70avg 70
A27/12
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
78-112
78
112
-34
70avg 70
H11/01
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
79-124
79
124
-45
63avg 70
A17/01
BNXT League
Tartu Ulikool
#14
L
70-89
70
89
-19
62avg 70
H21/01
ENBL
Den Bosch
#8
L
98-102
98
102
-4
85avg 70
H23/01
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
16-23
16-25
25-20
22-13
28-20
27-17
22-28
21-14
14-19
16-23
20-17
26-20
24-24
24-19
13-21
22-13
26-13
22-21
13-18
23-11
13-30
25-19
16-14
22-32
17-27
21-23
18-30
19-30
20-29
19-32
21-33
12-19
25-21
22-23
11-26
16-25
19-20
30-27
33-30
171.1Avg total
82.2Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)76.685.1161.6-8.529%
Season at home (8)76.985.5162.4-8.625%
Season away (9)76.384.7161.0-8.333%
Last 10 (10)82.288.9171.1-6.740%
Last 5 (5)80.4100.2180.6-19.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)76.689.2165.8-12.67%
vs Similar (7)83.684.0167.6-0.443%
vs Weaker (7)76.975.4152.3+1.471%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
LWD Basket
#10
L
81-97
81
97
-16
70avg 73
A16/11
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
73-69
73
69
+4
67avg 73
H01/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
60-70
60
70
-10
52avg 73
H07/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
93-85
93
85
+8
99avg 73
A15/12
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
90-85
90
85
+5
81avg 73
H20/12
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
74-57
74
57
+17
69avg 73
H26/12
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
86-82
86
82
+4
no box
A03/01
Belgian Cup
Mechelen
#8
W
78-73
78
73
+5
no box
H05/01
Belgian Cup
Den Helder
#16
W
91-65
91
65
+26
88avg 73
A11/01
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
104-77
104
77
+27
113avg 73
H18/01
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-31
15-26
22-17
15-23
14-24
20-20
17-7
22-18
21-15
12-21
12-19
15-15
26-23
26-18
14-17
27-27
13-18
20-18
25-24
32-25
21-10
16-15
21-15
16-17
19-24
17-15
30-18
20-25
17-17
28-15
11-26
22-15
19-14
19-12
20-21
33-18
25-23
26-22
25-19
28-13
159.0Avg total
83.0Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)80.473.2153.6+7.261%
Season at home (9)82.170.2152.3+11.978%
Season away (9)78.776.2154.9+2.444%
Last 10 (10)83.076.0159.0+7.080%
Last 5 (5)86.670.8157.4+15.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.084.7154.7-14.70%
vs Similar (8)75.877.8153.5-2.038%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)82.770.0152.7+12.783%
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +3.4+3.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +3.4+3.4
Donar GroningenLeuven Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Donar GroningenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Feyenoord
#17
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A01/12
BNXT League
Quick Lions
#12
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A03/12
DBL Cup
Circus Brussels
#5
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H08/12
BNXT League
Spartak Pleven
#17
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H11/12
ENBL
Zwolle
#15
W
48-26
48
26
+22
A22/12
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A27/12
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
39-59
39
59
-20
H11/01
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
39-59
39
59
-20
A17/01
BNXT League
Tartu Ulikool
#14
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H21/01
ENBL
Den Bosch
#8
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H23/01
BNXT League
83.1Avg total
40.8Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.542.281.7-2.643%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.541.982.4-1.457%-
Last 30 away (16)38.742.481.1-3.831%-
Last 10 (10)40.842.383.1-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)37.248.886.0-11.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)36.343.179.4-6.727%-
vs Similar (7)43.344.687.9-1.343%-
vs Weaker (7)41.139.180.3+2.071%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LWD Basket
#10
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A16/11
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H01/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H07/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A15/12
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H20/12
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H26/12
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A03/01
Belgian Cup
Mechelen
#8
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H05/01
Belgian Cup
Den Helder
#16
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A11/01
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H18/01
BNXT League
78.4Avg total
40.3Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.938.177.9+1.852%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.035.676.6+5.464%-
Last 30 away (15)38.840.379.1-1.540%-
Last 10 (10)40.338.178.4+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)41.433.474.8+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.048.785.7-11.70%-
vs Similar (8)38.042.080.0-4.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)41.234.675.7+6.672%-
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Donar Groningentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donar Groningen: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.420.5
56.3%
52.6%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.5
32.0%
34.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws17.012.5
73.5%
71.9%12.5
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.9
54.3%
52.6%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.48.4
37.5%
34.1%25.2
🏀 Free throws22.814.3
62.7%
71.9%14.3
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Donar Groningen
LLLLWWWLWL
Leuven Bears
WWWWWWWLWL
#14
League position
#7
-11.1
Net rating
+6.0
105.5
Offensive rating
108.4
116.6
Defensive rating
102.4
52.8%
Effective FG%
55.0%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
19.9%
Turnover %
20.7%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.37
32.0%
3-point %
37.5%
54.8%
Assist %
63.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 108.4Defence116.6 · 102.4Shooting52.8% · 55.0%3-point %32.0% · 37.5%Ball care19.9% · 20.7%Off. rebounds29.2% · 33.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Donar Groningen   ■ Leuven Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Donar Groningen wins
2
Leuven Bears wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/25HDen Bosch98-102
21/01/25HTartu Ulikool70-89
17/01/25AKortrijk79-124
11/01/25HOostende78-112
27/12/24AQSTA Utd77-74
22/12/24AZwolle83-65
11/12/24HSpartak Pleven87-84
08/12/24HCircus Brussels71-73
03/12/24AQuick Lions99-78
01/12/24AFeyenoord80-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25HZwolle104-77
11/01/25ADen Helder91-65
05/01/25HMechelen78-73
03/01/25AMechelen86-82
26/12/24HBAL Weert74-57
20/12/24HQSTA Utd90-85
15/12/24AFeyenoord93-85
07/12/24HBelfius Mons60-70
01/12/24HSpirou Charleroi73-69
16/11/24ALWD Basket81-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Donar Groningen
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL29%
HomeWLLLL25%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %29%25%33%
Points / game76.676.976.3
Allowed / game85.185.584.7
Point differential-8.5-8.6-8.3
Avg total161.6162.4161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW61%
HomeWLWWW78%
AwayLLLWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %61%78%44%
Points / game80.482.178.7
Allowed / game73.270.276.2
Point differential+7.2+11.9+2.4
Avg total153.6152.3154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%56%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende1917289%91.377.0+14.3
2 Kortrijk1915479%97.279.0+18.2
3 Mechelen1914574%79.974.4+5.5
4 Limburg1813572%81.673.7+7.9
5 Circus Brussels1912763%76.875.7+1.1
6 Leuven Bears1811761%80.473.2+7.2
7 Okapi Aalst1911858%82.577.7+4.8
8 LWD Basket1911858%81.880.7+1.1
9 Antwerp Giants179853%78.578.8-0.3
10 Spirou Charleroi1910953%79.474.5+4.8
11 Belfius Mons1910953%80.979.7+1.2
12 Leiden1991047%76.880.1-3.3
13 Den Bosch1881044%80.382.2-1.9
14 Zwolle1971237%81.786.9-5.2
15 Donar Groningen1751229%76.685.1-8.5
16 Feyenoord1851328%80.889.4-8.6
17 Den Helder2051525%70.284.5-14.2
18 QSTA Utd1821611%77.288.4-11.2
19 BAL Weert1821611%68.883.1-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Donar Groningen2318212082
Leuven Bears1816192376
← all games of the day
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