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Dubai vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 104-66
30-21 26-11 20-25 28-9
Position#4
Record8-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game79.2
Dubai 🏆
vs
Position#17
Record1-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game92.8
EuropeABA LeagueRound 12· Coca-Cola Arena
Domestic2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dubai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DubaiLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDubai
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
92-84
92
84
+8
95avg 78
A29/09
ABA League
Mega Basket
#9
L
80-83
80
83
-3
72avg 78
H05/10
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
87-74
87
74
+13
82avg 78
A13/10
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
W
80-79
80
79
+1
73avg 78
H20/10
ABA League
Cibona
#16
W
102-74
102
74
+28
104avg 78
A26/10
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
W
87-86
87
86
+1
86avg 78
A02/11
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
61-82
61
82
-21
47avg 78
A10/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
91-76
91
76
+15
82avg 78
H17/11
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
L
84-86
84
86
-2
82avg 78
A29/11
ABA League
Zadar
#10
W
71-63
71
63
+8
62avg 78
A06/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-17
34-25
20-18
9-24
24-18
21-18
18-24
17-23
24-23
23-13
24-27
16-11
23-25
28-16
10-18
19-20
35-17
23-19
23-16
21-22
22-16
23-20
19-26
23-24
19-16
8-19
17-19
17-28
24-23
21-15
25-19
21-19
17-23
25-16
19-23
23-24
23-21
11-16
17-16
20-10
162.2Avg total
83.5Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)83.779.2162.9+4.573%
Season at home (4)84.280.5164.8+3.875%
Season away (7)83.478.4161.9+5.071%
Last 10 (10)83.578.7162.2+4.870%
Last 5 (5)78.878.6157.4+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)61.082.0143.0-21.00%
vs Similar (2)89.084.0173.0+5.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)85.277.6162.9+7.675%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
72-91
72
91
-19
69avg 69
A28/09
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
82-92
82
92
-10
66avg 69
H05/10
ABA League
Mega Basket
#9
L
59-84
59
84
-25
44avg 69
A13/10
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
90-98 OT
90
98
-8
74avg 69
H19/10
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
64-85
64
85
-21
50avg 69
A27/10
ABA League
Cibona
#16
W
92-85
92
85
+7
81avg 69
H04/11
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
L
91-99
91
99
-8
84avg 69
A11/11
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
78-105
78
105
-27
66avg 69
H17/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
L
90-103
90
103
-13
76avg 69
A29/11
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
L
76-81
76
81
-5
55avg 69
H08/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
27-23
17-22
14-24
23-25
20-21
18-27
21-19
14-23
13-21
21-19
11-21
20-17
18-26
23-21
26-23
14-27
21-20
13-15
16-23
34-24
19-19
11-25
28-17
17-23
15-25
30-27
29-24
16-28
14-21
26-29
22-27
15-25
20-31
34-25
21-22
13-15
23-28
18-21
22-17
171.7Avg total
79.4Scored
92.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.892.8169.6-16.09%
Season at home (6)78.293.2171.3-15.017%
Season away (5)75.292.4167.6-17.20%
Last 10 (10)79.492.3171.7-12.910%
Last 5 (5)85.494.6180.0-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)80.092.5172.4-12.521%
vs Similar (1)72.079.0151.0-7.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Dubai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -0.7-0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -0.7-0.7
DubaiMornar Bar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DubaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
63-42
63
42
+21
A29/09
ABA League
Mega Basket
#9
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H05/10
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A13/10
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H20/10
ABA League
Cibona
#16
W
58-36
58
36
+22
A26/10
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A02/11
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A10/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H17/11
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A29/11
ABA League
Zadar
#10
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A06/12
ABA League
83.3Avg total
45.7Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (11)46.137.984.0+8.282%-
Last 30 at home (4)47.839.086.8+8.8100%-
Last 30 away (7)45.137.382.4+7.971%-
Last 10 (10)45.737.683.3+8.180%-
Last 5 (5)38.637.075.6+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)27.035.062.0-8.00%-
vs Similar (2)56.541.598.0+15.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)45.937.483.2+8.588%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A28/09
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H05/10
ABA League
Mega Basket
#9
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A13/10
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H19/10
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A27/10
ABA League
Cibona
#16
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H04/11
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A11/11
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H17/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A29/11
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H08/12
ABA League
83.4Avg total
37.0Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.945.985.8-5.923%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.843.884.6-2.938%-
Last 30 away (14)38.948.387.2-9.47%-
Last 10 (10)37.046.483.4-9.410%-
Last 5 (5)37.247.885.0-10.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)40.346.086.3-5.825%-
vs Similar (1)37.038.075.0-1.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Dubai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dubaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubai: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.6
53.0%
54.0%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.9
34.0%
35.7%26.7
🏀 Free throws22.918.2
79.5%
75.6%18.2
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.119.4
48.4%
54.0%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.2
32.8%
35.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.415.2
71.0%
75.6%15.2
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dubai
WLWLWWWWLW
Mornar Bar
LLLLWLLLLL
#4
League position
#17
+5.3
Net rating
-16.2
108.7
Offensive rating
98.9
103.4
Defensive rating
115.1
52.1%
Effective FG%
48.7%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
57.3%
17.7%
Turnover %
16.7%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
24.2%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.0%
3-point %
32.8%
63.6%
Assist %
56.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence108.7 · 98.9Defence103.4 · 115.1Shooting52.1% · 48.7%3-point %34.0% · 32.8%Ball care17.7% · 16.7%Off. rebounds28.8% · 24.2%Free throws0.37 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 10%
■ Dubai   ■ Mornar Bar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Dubai wins
0
Mornar Bar wins
No previous meetings.
Dubailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/24AZadar71-63
29/11/24AFMP Beograd84-86
17/11/24HKK Krka Novo mesto91-76
10/11/24APartizan61-82
02/11/24AStudentski Centar87-86
26/10/24ACibona102-74
20/10/24HSpartak Subotica80-79
13/10/24ABorac Mozzart87-74
05/10/24HMega Basket80-83
29/09/24ACedevita Olimpija92-84
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24HFMP Beograd76-81
29/11/24AKK Krka Novo mesto90-103
17/11/24HPartizan78-105
11/11/24AStudentski Centar91-99
04/11/24HCibona92-85
27/10/24ASpartak Subotica64-85
19/10/24HBorac Mozzart90-98 OT
13/10/24AMega Basket59-84
05/10/24HCedevita Olimpija82-92
28/09/24ACrvena zvezda72-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dubai
ABA League 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW73%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWWLLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %73%75%71%
Points / game83.784.283.4
Allowed / game79.280.578.4
Point differential+4.5+3.8+5.0
Avg total162.9164.8161.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%25%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mornar Bar
ABA League 2024
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL9%
HomeLLWLL17%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %9%17%0%
Points / game76.878.275.2
Allowed / game92.893.292.4
Point differential-16.0-15.0-17.2
Avg total169.6171.3167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan11110100%94.969.5+25.4
2 Buducnost119282%87.471.6+15.7
3 Crvena zvezda119282%87.579.4+8.2
4 Dubai118373%83.779.2+4.5
5 Spartak Subotica127558%86.381.8+4.5
6 FMP Beograd127558%82.183.5-1.4
7 Igokea127558%81.182.7-1.6
8 Mega Basket126650%79.479.3+0.1
9 Cedevita Olimpija126650%81.281.8-0.6
10 Zadar125742%74.275.2-1.1
11 Split125742%78.283.8-5.5
12 Studentski Centar114736%83.985.8-1.9
13 KK Krka Novo mesto123925%82.187.4-5.3
14 Borac Mozzart123925%75.686.4-10.8
15 Cibona1221017%76.387.5-11.2
16 Mornar Bar111109%76.892.8-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dubai30262028104
Mornar Bar211125966
← all games of the day
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