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Mornar Bar vs Borac Mozzart Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 90-98 (OT)
20-17 18-26 23-21 26-23 3-11
Position#17
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game66.0
Allowed / game91.2
vs
Position#13
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game82.0
EuropeABA LeagueRound 5· Topolica Sport Hall
Domestic2024
Meetings · Mornar Bar v Borac Mozzart
19 Oct 2024
MBA90
BOR98
30 Mar 2024
MBA80
BOR78
12 Mar 2023
MBA104
BOR99
09 Oct 2021
MBA85
BOR90
30 Jan 2021
MBA86
BOR72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Borac Mozzart winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Igokea
#7
W
86-84
86
84
+2
82avg 65
H15/03
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
89-105
89
105
-16
79avg 65
A23/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
80-78
80
78
+2
68avg 65
H30/03
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
L
94-111
94
111
-17
83avg 65
A06/04
ABA League
Tivat
#5
L
79-104
79
104
-25
no box
A07/05
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#5
L
77-104
77
104
-27
no box
H10/05
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#3
L
51-98
51
98
-47
31avg 65
H21/09
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
72-91
72
91
-19
69avg 65
A28/09
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
82-92
82
92
-10
66avg 65
H05/10
ABA League
Mega Basket
#9
L
59-84
59
84
-25
44avg 65
A13/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
19-17
18-28
29-22
28-30
18-17
15-28
28-30
27-23
30-20
9-20
14-15
25-28
26-22
27-28
16-33
24-26
17-34
16-20
22-24
13-27
19-25
22-35
23-17
20-24
8-26
10-25
13-23
14-22
27-23
17-22
14-24
23-25
20-21
18-27
21-19
14-23
13-21
21-19
11-21
172.0Avg total
76.9Scored
95.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)66.091.2157.2-25.20%
Season at home (2)66.595.0161.5-28.50%
Season away (2)65.587.5153.0-22.00%
Last 10 (10)76.995.1172.0-18.220%
Last 5 (5)68.293.8162.0-25.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)77.092.3169.3-15.318%
vs Similar (1)72.079.0151.0-7.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Borac Mozzart) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Borac MozzartLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMozzart
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#13
L
78-80
78
80
-2
70avg 69
A30/03
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
101-83
101
83
+18
95avg 69
H06/04
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#6
W
95-92
95
92
+3
170avg 69
H19/04
Super League
Spartak Subotica
#6
W
95-70
95
70
+25
72avg 69
A30/04
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
L
87-90
87
90
-3
65avg 69
H04/05
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
L
90-111
90
111
-21
73avg 69
A08/05
Super League
Partizan
#2
L
66-96
66
96
-30
50avg 69
A25/09
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
80-71
80
71
+9
70avg 69
H30/09
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
L
67-74
67
74
-7
57avg 69
A06/10
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
74-87
74
87
-13
63avg 69
H13/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
20-30
20-9
15-14
29-25
27-24
16-22
29-12
29-26
26-17
22-22
18-27
23-19
25-19
25-15
22-17
21-25
16-26
29-20
21-19
22-21
25-33
24-30
19-27
19-24
17-22
12-31
18-19
17-17
20-23
22-18
21-13
22-19
12-19
20-20
13-16
23-24
13-23
27-24
11-16
168.7Avg total
83.3Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)71.882.0153.8-10.225%
Season at home (2)77.079.0156.0-2.050%
Season away (2)66.585.0151.5-18.50%
Last 10 (10)83.385.4168.7-2.140%
Last 5 (5)75.487.8163.2-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)73.687.8161.4-14.217%
vs Similar (11)83.584.3167.8-0.745%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)88.080.8168.8+7.267%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -7.9-7.9Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -7.9-7.9Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
Mornar BarBorac Mozzart
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igokea
#7
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H15/03
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A23/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H30/03
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A06/04
ABA League
Tivat
#5
L
41-60
41
60
-19
A07/05
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#5
L
32-52
32
52
-20
H10/05
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#3
L
28-50
28
50
-22
H21/09
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A28/09
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H05/10
ABA League
Mega Basket
#9
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A13/10
ABA League
87.6Avg total
40.5Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.945.485.3-5.527%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.943.684.5-2.740%-
Last 30 away (15)38.947.386.1-8.413%-
Last 10 (10)40.547.187.6-6.630%-
Last 5 (5)34.247.481.6-13.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)40.245.685.8-5.329%-
vs Similar (1)37.038.075.0-1.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Borac Mozzart) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Borac MozzartLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#13
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A30/03
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H06/04
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#6
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H19/04
Super League
Spartak Subotica
#6
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A30/04
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H04/05
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A08/05
Super League
Partizan
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A25/09
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H30/09
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A06/10
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H13/10
ABA League
89.2Avg total
42.9Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.043.884.8-2.830%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.242.184.3+0.140%-
Last 30 away (15)39.845.585.3-5.720%-
Last 10 (10)42.946.389.2-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)38.045.083.0-7.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.344.581.8-7.28%-
vs Similar (11)41.343.484.6-2.127%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)48.344.592.8+3.867%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.118.4
47.1%
54.0%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.8
33.6%
35.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.711.4
64.4%
75.6%11.4
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Borac Mozzarttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Borac Mozzart: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.322.7
52.4%
54.0%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.66.9
35.2%
35.7%20.7
🏀 Free throws21.916.2
74.0%
75.6%16.2
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
LLLLLLLWLW
Borac Mozzart
LLWLLLWWWL
#17
League position
#13
-23.0
Net rating
-3.0
97.7
Offensive rating
108.9
120.7
Defensive rating
112.0
48.4%
Effective FG%
52.5%
59.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
15.3%
Turnover %
13.9%
23.4%
Off. rebound %
22.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.35
33.6%
3-point %
35.2%
58.8%
Assist %
50.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence97.7 · 108.9Defence120.7 · 112.0Shooting48.4% · 52.5%3-point %33.6% · 35.2%Ball care15.3% · 13.9%Off. rebounds23.4% · 22.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ Borac Mozzart
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Mornar Bar wins
4
Borac Mozzart wins
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/24AMega Basket59-84
05/10/24HCedevita Olimpija82-92
28/09/24ACrvena zvezda72-91
21/09/24HBuducnost51-98
10/05/24HTivat77-104
07/05/24ATivat79-104
06/04/24AFMP Beograd94-111
30/03/24HBorac Mozzart80-78
23/03/24ACedevita Olimpija89-105
15/03/24HIgokea86-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/24HDubai74-87
06/10/24AFMP Beograd67-74
30/09/24HKK Krka Novo mesto80-71
25/09/24APartizan66-96
08/05/24AFMP Beograd90-111
04/05/24HFMP Beograd87-90
30/04/24ASpartak Subotica95-70
19/04/24HSpartak Subotica95-92
06/04/24HKK Krka Novo mesto101-83
30/03/24AMornar Bar78-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
ABA League 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game66.066.565.5
Allowed / game91.295.087.5
Point differential-25.2-28.5-22.0
Avg total157.2161.5153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Borac Mozzart
ABA League 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game71.877.066.5
Allowed / game82.079.085.0
Point differential-10.2-2.0-18.5
Avg total153.8156.0151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Buducnost440100%90.563.0+27.5
2 Partizan440100%94.571.0+23.5
3 Mega Basket440100%82.572.2+10.2
4 Dubai43175%86.281.2+5.0
5 FMP Beograd53260%80.877.8+3.0
6 Igokea53260%77.679.0-1.4
7 Crvena zvezda42250%86.077.8+8.2
8 Studentski Centar42250%74.873.2+1.5
9 Spartak Subotica42250%84.586.5-2.0
10 Cedevita Olimpija52340%78.482.8-4.4
11 KK Krka Novo mesto41325%77.280.8-3.5
12 Split41325%77.082.5-5.5
13 Borac Mozzart41325%71.882.0-10.2
14 Zadar41325%70.081.2-11.2
15 Cibona51420%76.087.8-11.8
16 Mornar Bar4040%66.091.2-25.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Mornar Bar20182326390
Borac Mozzart172621231198
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