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FMP Beograd vs Dubai Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 86-84
23-17 16-25 23-19 24-23
Position#11
Record4-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game83.4
vs
Position#4
Record7-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game80.2
EuropeABA LeagueRound 10· Belgrade
Domestic2024
Meetings · FMP Beograd v Dubai
17 Nov 2025
FBE91
DUB107
29 Nov 2024
FBE86
DUB84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dubai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
74-67
74
67
+7
69avg 77
H06/10
ABA League
Manisa
#25
L
97-101
97
101
-4
91avg 77
H09/10
Champions League
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
86-93
86
93
-7
78avg 77
A14/10
ABA League
Cibona
#16
W
89-84
89
84
+5
89avg 77
H18/10
ABA League
Murcia
#7
L
50-86
50
86
-36
30avg 77
A22/10
Champions League
Studentski Centar
#12
L
76-82
76
82
-6
73avg 77
A28/10
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
64-91
64
91
-27
43avg 77
H04/11
ABA League
Murcia
#7
L
78-83
78
83
-5
62avg 77
H06/11
Champions League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
109-106 OT
109
106
+3
99avg 77
A11/11
ABA League
Zadar
#10
L
67-83
67
83
-16
56avg 77
H17/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
19-12
20-20
16-13
20-17
24-31
26-21
27-32
19-26
21-29
21-20
25-18
27-28
17-24
23-15
22-17
10-27
14-16
13-28
13-15
16-21
28-19
19-20
13-22
17-29
11-26
20-15
16-21
22-21
21-12
17-24
18-26
28-21
24-20
13-19
21-26
14-17
21-27
13-15
19-24
166.6Avg total
79.0Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.083.4163.4-3.444%
Season at home (5)73.877.4151.2-3.660%
Season away (4)87.891.0178.8-3.225%
Last 10 (10)79.087.6166.6-8.630%
Last 5 (5)78.889.0167.8-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)74.084.4158.4-10.424%
vs Similar (8)86.280.8167.0+5.575%
vs Weaker (4)92.577.8170.2+14.8100%
This opponent (Dubai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubaiLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDubai
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#5
W
86-84
86
84
+2
78avg 80
H22/09
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
92-84
92
84
+8
95avg 80
A29/09
ABA League
Mega Basket
#9
L
80-83
80
83
-3
72avg 80
H05/10
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
87-74
87
74
+13
82avg 80
A13/10
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
W
80-79
80
79
+1
73avg 80
H20/10
ABA League
Cibona
#16
W
102-74
102
74
+28
104avg 80
A26/10
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
W
87-86
87
86
+1
86avg 80
A02/11
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
61-82
61
82
-21
47avg 80
A10/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
91-76
91
76
+15
82avg 80
H17/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-16
22-25
16-22
20-21
29-17
34-25
20-18
9-24
24-18
21-18
18-24
17-23
24-23
23-13
24-27
16-11
23-25
28-16
10-18
19-20
35-17
23-19
23-16
21-22
22-16
23-20
19-26
23-24
19-16
8-19
17-19
17-28
24-23
21-15
25-19
21-19
165.3Avg total
85.1Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.180.2165.3+4.978%
Season at home (4)84.280.5164.8+3.875%
Season away (5)85.880.0165.8+5.880%
Last 10 (9)85.180.2165.3+4.978%
Last 5 (5)84.279.4163.6+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)61.082.0143.0-21.00%
vs Similar (2)89.084.0173.0+5.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)87.878.7166.5+9.283%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +6.3+6.3Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -3.2-3.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +6.3+6.3Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -3.2-3.2
FMP BeogradDubai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H06/10
ABA League
Manisa
#25
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H09/10
Champions League
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A14/10
ABA League
Cibona
#16
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H18/10
ABA League
Murcia
#7
L
24-43
24
43
-19
A22/10
Champions League
Studentski Centar
#12
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A28/10
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
28-55
28
55
-27
H04/11
ABA League
Murcia
#7
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H06/11
Champions League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A11/11
ABA League
Zadar
#10
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H17/11
ABA League
83.7Avg total
39.2Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.441.480.8-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.241.781.9-1.547%-
Last 30 away (15)38.741.179.7-2.433%-
Last 10 (10)39.244.583.7-5.340%-
Last 5 (5)40.442.683.0-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)35.642.478.0-6.818%-
vs Similar (8)44.938.483.2+6.588%-
vs Weaker (4)45.843.589.2+2.250%-
This opponent (Dubai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#5
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H22/09
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
63-42
63
42
+21
A29/09
ABA League
Mega Basket
#9
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H05/10
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A13/10
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H20/10
ABA League
Cibona
#16
W
58-36
58
36
+22
A26/10
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A02/11
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A10/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H17/11
ABA League
85.8Avg total
47.9Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (9)47.937.985.8+10.089%-
Last 30 at home (4)47.839.086.8+8.8100%-
Last 30 away (5)48.037.085.0+11.080%-
Last 10 (9)47.937.985.8+10.089%-
Last 5 (5)45.237.282.4+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)27.035.062.0-8.00%-
vs Similar (2)56.541.598.0+15.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)48.537.285.7+11.3100%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.017.0
44.7%
54.0%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.9
33.3%
35.7%26.7
🏀 Free throws23.517.3
73.6%
75.6%17.3
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dubaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubai: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.419.9
54.6%
54.0%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.8
33.2%
35.7%26.3
🏀 Free throws23.317.9
76.7%
75.6%17.9
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 29 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
LWLLLLWLLW
Dubai
WLWWWWLWW
#11
League position
#4
-11.2
Net rating
+6.1
103.6
Offensive rating
109.9
114.7
Defensive rating
103.8
46.9%
Effective FG%
52.6%
56.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
16.2%
Turnover %
17.4%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.37
33.3%
3-point %
33.2%
61.8%
Assist %
61.6%
30%
Form (last 10/9)
78%

Profile

Offence103.6 · 109.9Defence114.7 · 103.8Shooting46.9% · 52.6%3-point %33.3% · 33.2%Ball care16.2% · 17.4%Off. rebounds30.5% · 30.2%Free throws0.36 · 0.37Form (last 10/9)30% · 78%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Dubai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
FMP Beograd wins
0
Dubai wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/24HZadar67-83
11/11/24AKK Krka Novo mesto109-106 OT
06/11/24HMurcia78-83
04/11/24HPartizan64-91
28/10/24AStudentski Centar76-82
22/10/24AMurcia50-86
18/10/24HCibona89-84
14/10/24ASpartak Subotica86-93
09/10/24HManisa97-101
06/10/24HBorac Mozzart74-67
Dubailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/24HKK Krka Novo mesto91-76
10/11/24APartizan61-82
02/11/24AStudentski Centar87-86
26/10/24ACibona102-74
20/10/24HSpartak Subotica80-79
13/10/24ABorac Mozzart87-74
05/10/24HMega Basket80-83
29/09/24ACedevita Olimpija92-84
22/09/24HCrvena zvezda86-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
ABA League 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL44%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%60%25%
Points / game80.073.887.8
Allowed / game83.477.491.0
Point differential-3.4-3.6-3.2
Avg total163.4151.2178.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %11%0%25%
Dubai
ABA League 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Losses (last 9)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW78%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %78%75%80%
Points / game85.184.285.8
Allowed / game80.280.580.0
Point differential+4.9+3.8+5.8
Avg total165.3164.8165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan990100%91.969.0+22.9
2 Buducnost97278%85.169.7+15.4
3 Crvena zvezda97278%86.878.7+8.1
4 Dubai97278%85.180.2+4.9
5 Spartak Subotica96367%84.179.0+5.1
6 Igokea95456%78.178.7-0.6
7 Studentski Centar94544%82.481.3+1.1
8 Mega Basket94544%77.978.1-0.2
9 Split94544%77.979.9-2.0
10 Zadar94544%74.877.4-2.7
11 FMP Beograd94544%80.083.4-3.4
12 Cedevita Olimpija93633%79.484.4-5.0
13 Borac Mozzart93633%76.984.0-7.1
14 KK Krka Novo mesto103730%82.788.1-5.4
15 Cibona92722%77.288.8-11.6
16 Mornar Bar101910%76.994.0-17.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Beograd2316232486
Dubai1725192384
← all games of the day
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