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Dubai vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 24 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 78-77
20-16 18-28 25-18 15-15
Position#9
Record-
FormWWWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Dubai 🏆
vs
Position#5
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeEuroleagueRound 1· Coca-Cola Arena
European cup2026
Meetings · Dubai v Real Madrid
24 Sep 2026
DUB78
MAD77
05 Feb 2026
DUB93
MAD85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dubai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DubaiLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDubai
Date
Competition
KK Bosna
#11
W
92-64
92
64
+28
90avg 85
A21/04
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
W
102-74
102
74
+28
100avg 85
H06/05
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
W
88-84
88
84
+4
79avg 85
A10/05
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
104-90
104
90
+14
108avg 85
H21/05
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
90-91
90
91
-1
83avg 85
A25/05
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
103-77
103
77
+26
108avg 85
H28/05
ABA League
Partizan
#2
W
99-93
99
93
+6
91avg 85
H04/06
ABA League
Partizan
#2
W
86-81
86
81
+5
75avg 85
H06/06
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
70-84
70
84
-14
60avg 85
A10/06
ABA League
Partizan
#2
W
83-81
83
81
+2
78avg 85
A12/06
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-12
18-19
21-16
25-17
31-22
23-19
30-18
18-15
23-26
30-21
11-11
24-26
30-16
29-20
25-31
20-23
25-25
17-21
23-31
25-14
25-18
29-21
24-19
25-19
29-24
24-20
16-22
30-27
20-24
22-18
26-24
18-15
10-23
24-24
21-20
15-17
23-21
17-18
20-20
23-22
173.6Avg total
91.7Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)91.781.9173.6+9.880%
Last 5 (5)88.283.2171.4+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)93.085.0178.0+8.0100%
vs Similar (12)88.786.6175.2+2.158%
vs Weaker (17)92.283.6175.8+8.571%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Breogan
#11
L
97-101
97
101
-4
90avg 86
H10/05
ACB
Bilbao
#7
L
82-88
82
88
-6
73avg 86
A14/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
81-89
81
89
-8
70avg 86
H17/05
ACB
Valencia
#3
W
105-90
105
90
+15
104avg 86
A22/05
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
85-92
85
92
-7
78avg 86
A24/05
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
L
83-88
83
88
-5
76avg 86
H27/05
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
87-94
87
94
-7
76avg 86
A29/05
ACB
Tenerife
#8
L
97-98
97
98
-1
88avg 86
H02/06
ACB
Tenerife
#8
W
118-83
118
83
+35
121avg 86
A04/06
ACB
Tenerife
#8
L
95-107
95
107
-12
87avg 86
H06/06
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
28-28
21-28
30-30
22-24
22-16
22-20
16-28
20-15
20-23
22-21
19-30
26-28
36-28
24-17
19-17
26-19
18-27
21-15
20-31
29-26
17-16
20-22
17-24
19-26
29-30
25-18
14-20
26-21
24-27
25-23
22-27
21-24
30-21
34-20
33-18
24-23
21-26
28-21
22-37
186.0Avg total
93.0Scored
93.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)93.093.0186.0+0.020%
Last 5 (5)96.094.0190.0+2.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)96.082.0178.0+14.0100%
vs Similar (14)91.385.9177.2+5.464%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)93.989.7183.6+4.347%
This opponent (Dubai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -5.0-5.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -5.0-5.0
DubaiReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DubaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Bosna
#11
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A21/04
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H06/05
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A10/05
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
59-36
59
36
+23
H21/05
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A25/05
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H28/05
ABA League
Partizan
#2
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H04/06
ABA League
Partizan
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H06/06
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A10/06
ABA League
Partizan
#2
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A12/06
ABA League
88.9Avg total
47.7Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.642.488.0+3.363%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.942.491.3+6.675%-
Last 30 away (14)41.942.484.2-0.550%-
Last 10 (10)47.741.288.9+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)44.642.286.8+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)37.044.081.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (12)42.842.885.6+0.158%-
vs Weaker (17)48.142.090.1+6.171%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breogan
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H10/05
ACB
Bilbao
#7
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A14/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H17/05
ACB
Valencia
#3
W
62-56
62
56
+6
A22/05
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A24/05
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H27/05
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A29/05
ACB
Tenerife
#8
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H02/06
ACB
Tenerife
#8
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A04/06
ACB
Tenerife
#8
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H06/06
ACB
93.9Avg total
47.6Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.442.688.9+3.873%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.342.188.3+4.267%-
Last 30 away (15)46.543.189.5+3.480%-
Last 10 (10)47.646.393.9+1.370%-
Last 5 (5)48.048.096.0+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.041.086.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar (14)46.942.889.6+4.171%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)46.042.588.5+3.573%-
This opponent (Dubai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dubaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubai: 90.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.321.4
57.4%
55.2%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.7
34.3%
35.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws23.718.8
79.3%
77.1%18.8
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.220.8
64.6%
55.2%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.3
32.6%
35.7%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.114.8
77.5%
77.1%14.8
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dubai
WLWWWLWWWW
Real Madrid
LWLLLLWLLL
#9
League position
#5
+11.8
Net rating
-1.0
103.8
Offensive rating
91.8
92.0
Defensive rating
92.8
54.8%
Effective FG%
57.2%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
59.2%
13.4%
Turnover %
14.3%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.3%
3-point %
32.6%
70.4%
Assist %
59.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence103.8 · 91.8Defence92.0 · 92.8Shooting54.8% · 57.2%3-point %34.3% · 32.6%Ball care13.4% · 14.3%Free throws0.36 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Dubai   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Dubai wins
1
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
05/02/26Dubai v Real Madrid93-85
02/01/26Real Madrid v Dubai107-93
Dubailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/06/26APartizan83-81
10/06/26APartizan70-84
06/06/26HPartizan86-81
04/06/26HPartizan99-93
28/05/26HBuducnost103-77
25/05/26ABuducnost90-91
21/05/26HBuducnost104-90
10/05/26ASpartak Subotica88-84
06/05/26HSpartak Subotica102-74
21/04/26AKK Bosna92-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/06/26HTenerife95-107
04/06/26ATenerife118-83
02/06/26HTenerife97-98
29/05/26AManresa87-94
27/05/26HBaskonia83-88
24/05/26AOlympiacos85-92
22/05/26AValencia105-90
17/05/26HJoventut Badalona81-89
14/05/26ABilbao82-88
10/05/26HBreogan97-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dubai
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dubai2018251578
Real Madrid1628181577
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