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Real Madrid vs Breogan Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 May 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 97-101
18-15 28-28 21-28 30-30
Position#2
Record26-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game94.1
Allowed / game84.3
Real Madrid
Spain
vs
Breogan 🏆
Spain
Position#11
Record12-17
FormLLWWL
Points / game89.9
Allowed / game93.6
SpainACBRound 30· Movistar Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Real Madrid v Breogan
18 Apr 2027
MAD v BRE
upcoming
10 May 2026
MAD97
BRE101
15 Dec 2024
MAD106
BRE69
03 Dec 2023
MAD91
BRE58
22 Jan 2023
MAD91
BRE73
17 Apr 2022
MAD90
BRE65
17 Feb 2022
MAD73
BRE67
27 Apr 2019
MAD94
BRE89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Breogan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#4
W
74-69
74
69
+5
73avg 85
A09/04
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
94-78
94
78
+16
98avg 85
A12/04
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
103-82
103
82
+21
106avg 85
H16/04
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
L
90-95
90
95
-5
82avg 85
H19/04
ACB
Valencia
#1
W
96-82
96
82
+14
94avg 85
A25/04
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
86-82
86
82
+4
81avg 85
H29/04
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
102-75
102
75
+27
99avg 85
H01/05
Euroleague
Murcia
#4
W
131-123 OT
131
123
+8
125avg 85
H03/05
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
69-76
69
76
-7
60avg 85
A05/05
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
87-81
87
81
+6
91avg 85
A07/05
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
21-13
14-24
20-11
25-20
18-19
23-18
28-21
27-25
29-19
21-19
26-19
21-26
20-19
19-23
30-27
22-19
23-22
30-22
21-19
27-18
21-15
22-22
16-27
24-21
16-21
33-20
29-13
25-29
25-34
31-29
33-22
21-18
15-16
10-21
23-21
23-21
23-15
17-17
24-28
177.5Avg total
93.2Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)94.184.3178.5+9.890%
Season at home (14)95.984.4180.3+11.686%
Season away (15)92.584.3176.8+8.193%
Last 10 (10)93.284.3177.5+8.980%
Last 5 (5)95.087.4182.4+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)96.082.0178.0+14.0100%
vs Similar (12)90.584.6175.1+5.967%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)91.984.2176.1+7.676%
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#8
L
81-90
81
90
-9
68avg 78
A14/02
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
78-109
78
109
-31
44avg 78
H08/03
ACB
Bilbao
#7
L
90-100
90
100
-10
79avg 78
A14/03
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
W
83-75
83
75
+8
71avg 78
A22/03
ACB
Manresa
#10
W
91-78
91
78
+13
84avg 78
H28/03
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
88-105
88
105
-17
84avg 78
A05/04
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
97-99
97
99
-2
89avg 78
H11/04
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
99-94
99
94
+5
95avg 78
A19/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
93-86
93
86
+7
90avg 78
H26/04
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
84-112
84
112
-28
74avg 78
A03/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
27-22
16-23
20-22
13-27
18-30
11-26
36-26
25-23
17-26
27-22
21-29
30-24
13-20
26-13
14-18
15-26
24-17
23-20
29-15
25-31
16-20
32-33
15-21
20-19
28-26
29-21
20-33
21-21
29-22
20-26
29-25
22-19
16-19
29-20
26-28
24-27
16-25
22-28
22-32
183.2Avg total
88.4Scored
94.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)89.993.6183.5-3.741%
Season at home (14)93.195.0188.1-1.943%
Season away (15)86.992.3179.2-5.540%
Last 10 (10)88.494.8183.2-6.440%
Last 5 (5)92.299.2191.4-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)85.8100.9186.8-15.117%
vs Similar (14)93.193.1186.2+0.150%
vs Weaker (4)83.577.2160.8+6.275%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -1.7-1.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -1.7-1.7
Real MadridBreogan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#4
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A09/04
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A12/04
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H16/04
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H19/04
ACB
Valencia
#1
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A25/04
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H29/04
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H01/05
Euroleague
Murcia
#4
L
50-63
50
63
-13
H03/05
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A05/05
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A07/05
Euroleague
85.6Avg total
44.5Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.240.585.7+4.877%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.540.186.6+6.471%-
Last 30 away (16)44.140.884.9+3.381%-
Last 10 (10)44.541.185.6+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)44.041.685.6+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.041.086.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar (12)45.740.986.6+4.875%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)44.940.185.1+4.876%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#8
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A14/02
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
31-57
31
57
-26
H08/03
ACB
Bilbao
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A14/03
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A22/03
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H28/03
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A05/04
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H11/04
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A19/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H26/04
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A03/05
ACB
88.4Avg total
41.7Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.247.289.4-5.020%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.147.092.1-1.929%-
Last 30 away (16)39.747.487.1-7.712%-
Last 10 (10)41.746.788.4-5.020%-
Last 5 (5)43.445.889.2-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)40.847.888.5-7.08%-
vs Similar (14)44.248.893.0-4.629%-
vs Weaker (4)39.540.079.5-0.525%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers23.416.8
71.8%
50.0%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.0
37.0%
42.2%30.0
🏀 Free throws12.49.8
79.0%
74.7%9.8
They take 50.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.9
54.3%
50.0%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.610.1
38.0%
42.2%30.3
🏀 Free throws17.513.4
76.6%
74.7%13.4
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WLWWWWLWWW
Breogan
LWWLLWWLLL
#2
League position
#11
+4.8
Net rating
-9.0
60.1
Offensive rating
98.9
55.2
Defensive rating
108.0
63.1%
Effective FG%
55.4%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
59.8%
17.7%
Turnover %
16.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.0%
3-point %
38.0%
75.0%
Assist %
54.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence60.1 · 98.9Defence55.2 · 108.0Shooting63.1% · 55.4%3-point %37.0% · 38.0%Ball care17.7% · 16.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Breogan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Real Madrid wins
1
Breogan wins
DateGameScore
24/01/26Breogan v Real Madrid85-103
11/05/25Breogan v Real Madrid69-79
15/12/24Real Madrid v Breogan106-69
11/02/24Breogan v Real Madrid73-80
03/12/23Real Madrid v Breogan91-58
08/04/23Breogan v Real Madrid96-72
22/01/23Real Madrid v Breogan91-73
17/04/22Real Madrid v Breogan90-65
17/02/22Real Madrid v Breogan73-67
17/10/21Breogan v Real Madrid71-79
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv87-81
05/05/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv69-76
03/05/26HMurcia131-123 OT
01/05/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv102-75
29/04/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv86-82
25/04/26AValencia96-82
19/04/26HTenerife90-95
16/04/26HCrvena zvezda103-82
12/04/26ASan Pablo Burgos94-78
09/04/26AFenerbahce74-69
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/26ABaskonia84-112
26/04/26HJoventut Badalona93-86
19/04/26ASan Pablo Burgos99-94
11/04/26HMoraBanc Andorra97-99
05/04/26AValencia88-105
28/03/26HManresa91-78
22/03/26AGran Canaria83-75
14/03/26ABilbao90-100
08/03/26HBarcelona78-109
14/02/26ATenerife81-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW90%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayWWWWW93%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %90%86%93%
Points / game94.195.992.5
Allowed / game84.384.484.3
Point differential+9.8+11.6+8.1
Avg total178.5180.3176.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%64%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)0% (2)86% (7)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Breogan
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL41%
HomeLLWLW43%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %41%43%40%
Points / game89.993.186.9
Allowed / game93.695.092.3
Point differential-3.7-1.9-5.5
Avg total183.5188.1179.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2926390%94.184.3+9.8
2 Murcia3022873%91.084.5+6.5
3 Valencia2921872%94.483.2+11.2
4 Barcelona3021970%88.980.8+8.1
5 Baskonia2920969%93.187.1+6.0
6 Joventut Badalona28171161%84.281.2+3.0
7 Tenerife29171259%88.784.6+4.1
8 Unicaja29161355%88.186.3+1.8
9 Bilbao30161453%84.786.4-1.7
10 Basquet Girona30131743%86.789.6-2.9
11 Breogan29121741%89.993.6-3.7
12 Manresa30121840%85.791.9-6.2
13 Forca Lleida30111937%83.789.3-5.6
14 San Pablo Burgos3092130%89.392.9-3.7
15 Gran Canaria3092130%81.086.1-5.1
16 Basket Zaragoza3092130%86.992.8-5.8
17 MoraBanc Andorra3092130%86.893.2-6.4
18 Granada3062420%82.190.4-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid1828213097
Breogan15282830101
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