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Real Madrid vs Dubai Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 107-93
27-24 17-34 29-16 34-19
Position#2
Record10-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game84.5
vs
Position#11
Record9-9
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game87.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 19· Movistar Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Real Madrid v Dubai
29 Dec 2026
MAD v DUB
upcoming
02 Jan 2026
MAD107
DUB93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dubai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
81-75
81
75
+6
82avg 81
A04/12
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
W
71-70
71
70
+1
66avg 81
A07/12
ACB
Baskonia
#18
W
94-87
94
87
+7
91avg 81
H11/12
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#12
W
112-76
112
76
+36
110avg 81
H14/12
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
82-89
82
89
-7
68avg 81
A16/12
Euroleague
Paris
#16
W
95-90
95
90
+5
90avg 81
H18/12
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#14
W
88-81
88
81
+7
79avg 81
A20/12
ACB
Monaco
#10
L
95-100
95
100
-5
87avg 81
A26/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
W
91-82
91
82
+9
84avg 81
H28/12
ACB
Murcia
#4
W
91-80
91
80
+11
75avg 81
A30/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
20-24
23-18
21-16
18-16
15-9
16-23
22-22
24-23
18-16
29-21
23-27
28-22
31-27
27-16
26-11
21-23
18-27
21-16
22-23
24-21
25-29
21-24
25-16
28-19
18-24
20-24
22-14
20-21
23-26
27-23
25-30
27-30
19-24
25-12
20-16
22-18
19-14
26-23
24-25
173.0Avg total
90.0Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)85.884.5170.3+1.356%
Season at home (8)89.682.0171.6+7.688%
Season away (10)82.886.5169.3-3.730%
Last 10 (10)90.083.0173.0+7.080%
Last 5 (5)92.086.6178.6+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)87.485.4172.9+2.056%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)89.082.2171.2+6.881%
This opponent (Dubai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubaiLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDubai
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#7
L
82-103
82
103
-21
73avg 83
A20/11
Euroleague
Paris
#16
W
90-89
90
89
+1
88avg 83
H25/11
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
78-79
78
79
-1
72avg 83
A05/12
Euroleague
Igokea
#14
W
88-74
88
74
+14
94avg 83
A08/12
ABA League
Bayern
#14
W
89-88
89
88
+1
83avg 83
H12/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
95-97
95
97
-2
92avg 83
H16/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
80-76
80
76
+4
77avg 83
A19/12
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#16
W
80-67
80
67
+13
76avg 83
A21/12
ABA League
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
99-92
99
92
+7
92avg 83
H23/12
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
82-61
82
61
+21
89avg 83
H26/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
24-20
14-30
20-28
17-32
29-13
13-21
31-23
17-26
27-13
12-15
22-25
26-15
21-21
19-19
22-19
24-23
18-23
16-20
31-22
30-23
22-28
14-28
29-18
17-20
13-17
22-20
28-19
21-22
21-15
19-12
19-18
31-20
25-29
16-22
27-21
27-16
19-15
24-14
12-16
168.9Avg total
86.3Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)86.887.6174.4-0.850%
Season at home (9)93.289.3182.6+3.978%
Season away (9)80.385.9166.2-5.622%
Last 10 (10)86.382.6168.9+3.770%
Last 5 (5)87.278.6165.8+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)67.086.0153.0-19.00%
vs Similar (14)90.690.0180.6+0.657%
vs Weaker (15)83.974.6158.5+9.373%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +3.2+3.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +3.2+3.2
Real MadridDubai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A04/12
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A07/12
ACB
Baskonia
#18
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H11/12
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#12
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H14/12
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A16/12
Euroleague
Paris
#16
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H18/12
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#14
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A20/12
ACB
Monaco
#10
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A26/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H28/12
ACB
Murcia
#4
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A30/12
ACB
86.5Avg total
43.5Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.242.487.6+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.641.687.3+4.057%-
Last 30 away (16)44.843.087.8+1.862%-
Last 10 (10)43.543.086.5+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)45.045.290.2-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)44.041.485.4+2.656%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)45.742.888.5+3.062%-
This opponent (Dubai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#7
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A20/11
Euroleague
Paris
#16
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H25/11
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A05/12
Euroleague
Igokea
#14
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A08/12
ABA League
Bayern
#14
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H12/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H16/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A19/12
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#16
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A21/12
ABA League
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H23/12
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H26/12
ABA League
86.9Avg total
45.3Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.740.584.3+3.270%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.741.786.3+3.067%-
Last 30 away (15)42.839.482.2+3.473%-
Last 10 (10)45.341.686.9+3.780%-
Last 5 (5)45.241.086.2+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)31.043.074.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (14)46.444.190.5+2.264%-
vs Weaker (15)42.137.079.1+5.180%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.7
53.2%
60.4%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.6
36.5%
35.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws24.920.6
82.7%
78.2%20.6
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dubaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubai: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.220.4
58.0%
60.4%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.6
33.6%
35.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws23.618.7
79.2%
78.2%18.7
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWLWWLWWWW
Dubai
WWWWLWWLWL
#2
League position
#11
+8.6
Net rating
+4.8
119.6
Offensive rating
116.6
110.9
Defensive rating
111.8
53.9%
Effective FG%
54.8%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
16.2%
Turnover %
14.4%
35.4%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.39
36.5%
3-point %
33.6%
57.0%
Assist %
69.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence119.6 · 116.6Defence110.9 · 111.8Shooting53.9% · 54.8%3-point %36.5% · 33.6%Ball care16.2% · 14.4%Off. rebounds35.4% · 28.0%Free throws0.39 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Dubai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Real Madrid wins
0
Dubai wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/25AMurcia91-80
28/12/25HUnicaja91-82
26/12/25AMonaco95-100
20/12/25AForca Lleida88-81
18/12/25HParis95-90
16/12/25AOlimpia Milano82-89
14/12/25HBasquet Girona112-76
11/12/25HBaskonia94-87
07/12/25ATenerife71-70
04/12/25AAnadolu Efes81-75
Dubailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/25HKK Krka Novo mesto82-61
23/12/25HOlimpia Milano99-92
21/12/25AStudentski Centar80-67
19/12/25AAnadolu Efes80-76
16/12/25HMaccabi Tel Aviv95-97
12/12/25HBayern89-88
08/12/25AIgokea88-74
05/12/25AVirtus Bologna78-79
25/11/25HParis90-89
20/11/25APanathinaikos82-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL56%
HomeWLWWW88%
AwayLWWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %56%88%30%
Points / game85.889.682.8
Allowed / game84.582.086.5
Point differential+1.3+7.6-3.7
Avg total170.3171.6169.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dubai
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeWWWLW78%
AwayLLLLW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %50%78%22%
Points / game86.893.280.3
Allowed / game87.689.385.9
Point differential-0.8+3.9-5.6
Avg total174.4182.6166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%22%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia1913668%89.484.6+4.8
2 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1913668%88.183.3+4.7
3 Fenerbahce1812667%81.779.1+2.6
4 Monaco1912763%90.783.5+7.2
5 Panathinaikos1912763%88.485.6+2.8
6 Barcelona1912763%87.485.2+2.2
7 Olympiacos1811761%88.484.4+3.9
8 Zalgiris Kaunas1911858%87.282.0+5.2
9 Crvena zvezda1911858%85.882.4+3.4
10 Real Madrid1810856%85.884.5+1.3
11 Dubai189950%86.887.6-0.8
12 Virtus Bologna1991047%83.183.2-0.1
13 Olimpia Milano1991047%84.885.6-0.8
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv1881044%90.391.4-1.1
15 Paris1961332%90.592.8-2.3
16 Baskonia1961332%87.992.0-4.1
17 Anadolu Efes1961332%80.585.7-5.2
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne1961332%79.387.5-8.3
19 Partizan1961332%80.488.9-8.5
20 Bayern1851328%77.584.6-7.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid27172934107
Dubai2434161993
← all games of the day
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