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Real Madrid vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 May 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 83-88
29-26 17-16 20-22 17-24
Position#2
Record26-6
FormLLLWL
Points / game93.4
Allowed / game85.1
vs
Position#3
Record23-9
FormLWWWW
Points / game93.7
Allowed / game86.8
SpainACBRound 33· Movistar Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Real Madrid v Baskonia
18 Mar 2027
MAD v BAS
upcoming
07 Feb 2027
MAD v BAS
upcoming
27 May 2026
MAD83
BAS88
11 Dec 2025
MAD94
BAS87
03 Jun 2025
MAD82
BAS76
16 Mar 2025
MAD83
BAS78
23 Jan 2025
MAD90
BAS89
12 May 2024
MAD106
BAS100
25 Apr 2024
MAD101
BAS90
23 Apr 2024
MAD90
BAS74
05 Apr 2024
MAD91
BAS95
19 Mar 2023
MAD88
BAS95
07 Mar 2023
MAD81
BAS85
04 Jun 2022
MAD83
BAS71
02 Jun 2022
MAD94
BAS84
06 Mar 2022
MAD72
BAS80
14 Jan 2022
MAD89
BAS74
05 Feb 2021
MAD64
BAS84
02 Dec 2020
MAD92
BAS83
10 Feb 2019
MAD82
BAS76
19 Oct 2018
MAD97
BAS79
22 Sep 2018
MAD80
BAS73
15 Jun 2018
MAD98
BAS91
13 Jun 2018
MAD90
BAS94
03 May 2018
MAD101
BAS89
17 Jan 2018
MAD75
BAS73
09 Apr 2017
MAD86
BAS82
25 Oct 2016
MAD87
BAS91
18 May 2016
MAD93
BAS88
05 Feb 2016
MAD68
BAS77
11 Jan 2015
MAD75
BAS74
20 Oct 2013
MAD105
BAS72
28 Oct 2012
MAD83
BAS81
02 Jun 2012
MAD76
BAS69
26 May 2012
MAD73
BAS64
24 May 2012
MAD71
BAS81
22 Jan 2012
MAD84
BAS73
23 Apr 2011
MAD76
BAS71
04 Jun 2010
MAD80
BAS62
02 Jun 2010
MAD80
BAS67
01 May 2010
MAD74
BAS80
04 Jun 2009
MAD102
BAS82
14 Feb 2009
MAD81
BAS79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
86-82
86
82
+4
81avg 86
H29/04
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
102-75
102
75
+27
99avg 86
H01/05
Euroleague
Murcia
#4
W
131-123 OT
131
123
+8
125avg 86
H03/05
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
69-76
69
76
-7
60avg 86
A05/05
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
87-81
87
81
+6
91avg 86
A07/05
Euroleague
Breogan
#11
L
97-101
97
101
-4
90avg 86
H10/05
ACB
Bilbao
#7
L
82-88
82
88
-6
73avg 86
A14/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
81-89
81
89
-8
70avg 86
H17/05
ACB
Valencia
#3
W
105-90
105
90
+15
104avg 86
A22/05
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
85-92
85
92
-7
78avg 86
A24/05
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
21-15
22-22
16-27
24-21
16-21
33-20
29-13
25-29
25-34
31-29
33-22
21-18
15-16
10-21
23-21
23-21
23-15
17-17
24-28
18-15
28-28
21-28
30-30
22-24
22-16
22-20
16-28
20-15
20-23
22-21
19-30
26-28
36-28
24-17
19-17
26-19
18-27
21-15
20-31
182.2Avg total
92.5Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)93.485.1178.6+8.381%
Season at home (16)95.185.7180.8+9.475%
Season away (16)91.884.6176.4+7.288%
Last 10 (10)92.589.7182.2+2.850%
Last 5 (5)90.092.0182.0-2.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)96.082.0178.0+14.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (13)91.985.8177.7+6.269%
vs Weaker (16)90.885.1175.9+5.669%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
101-98
101
98
+3
101avg 84
H07/04
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
82-72
82
72
+10
76avg 84
A10/04
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#15
W
88-86
88
86
+2
79avg 84
H12/04
ACB
Partizan
#15
L
79-91
79
91
-12
74avg 84
A16/04
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
69-81
69
81
-12
57avg 84
A18/04
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
92-95
92
95
-3
86avg 84
H26/04
ACB
Breogan
#11
W
112-84
112
84
+28
113avg 84
H03/05
ACB
Valencia
#1
W
88-86
88
86
+2
79avg 84
A10/05
ACB
Murcia
#4
W
87-80
87
80
+7
78avg 84
H14/05
ACB
Granada
#18
W
121-85
121
85
+36
117avg 84
H17/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-36
16-17
40-19
17-26
28-21
16-18
13-14
25-19
10-20
23-20
30-24
25-22
20-26
19-18
20-22
20-25
13-16
16-22
24-14
16-29
20-26
25-21
24-21
23-27
27-24
25-16
28-22
32-22
23-26
18-15
22-17
25-28
20-18
23-15
24-20
20-27
24-14
29-20
32-22
36-29
177.7Avg total
91.9Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)93.786.8180.5+6.872%
Season at home (16)100.086.3186.3+13.788%
Season away (16)87.387.3174.6+0.056%
Last 10 (10)91.985.8177.7+6.170%
Last 5 (5)100.086.0186.0+14.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)94.298.7192.9-4.540%
vs Similar ◀ (8)85.090.4175.4-5.438%
vs Weaker (12)96.184.7180.8+11.483%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -1.5-1.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -1.5-1.5
Real MadridBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H29/04
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H01/05
Euroleague
Murcia
#4
L
50-63
50
63
-13
H03/05
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A05/05
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A07/05
Euroleague
Breogan
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H10/05
ACB
Bilbao
#7
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A14/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H17/05
ACB
Valencia
#3
W
62-56
62
56
+6
A22/05
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A24/05
Euroleague
88.7Avg total
45.6Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.941.287.2+4.777%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.640.486.9+6.271%-
Last 30 away (16)45.442.087.4+3.481%-
Last 10 (10)45.643.188.7+2.570%-
Last 5 (5)47.244.691.8+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.041.086.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)46.942.889.8+4.169%-
vs Weaker (16)45.239.985.1+5.281%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H07/04
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A10/04
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#15
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H12/04
ACB
Partizan
#15
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A16/04
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A18/04
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H26/04
ACB
Breogan
#11
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H03/05
ACB
Valencia
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A10/05
ACB
Murcia
#4
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H14/05
ACB
Granada
#18
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H17/05
ACB
83.2Avg total
42.3Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.245.689.8-1.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.647.193.7-0.650%-
Last 30 away (14)41.543.985.4-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)42.340.983.2+1.440%-
Last 5 (5)46.839.085.8+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)47.550.798.2-3.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)42.146.188.2-4.025%-
vs Weaker (12)42.841.183.9+1.850%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 70.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀48%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.8 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers19.114.5
75.9%
50.0%29.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.711.3
35.6%
42.2%33.9
🏀 Free throws10.77.8
72.9%
74.7%7.8
They take 50.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 62% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.017.6
65.2%
50.0%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.4
36.0%
42.2%31.2
🏀 Free throws17.314.0
80.9%
74.7%14.0
They take 55.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
LWLLLWLWWW
Baskonia
WWWWLLLWWW
#2
League position
#3
-1.5
Net rating
+7.9
58.0
Offensive rating
86.1
59.5
Defensive rating
78.2
61.9%
Effective FG%
59.4%
61.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
16.3%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.6%
3-point %
36.0%
77.9%
Assist %
59.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence58.0 · 86.1Defence59.5 · 78.2Shooting61.9% · 59.4%3-point %35.6% · 36.0%Ball care16.3% · 15.6%Free throws0.21 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Real Madrid wins
3
Baskonia wins
DateGameScore
03/04/26Baskonia v Real Madrid98-96
11/12/25Real Madrid v Baskonia94-87
12/10/25Baskonia v Real Madrid105-100
06/06/25Baskonia v Real Madrid103-112
03/06/25Real Madrid v Baskonia82-76
16/03/25Real Madrid v Baskonia83-78
23/01/25Real Madrid v Baskonia90-89
06/01/25Baskonia v Real Madrid82-89
15/10/24Baskonia v Real Madrid76-72
12/05/24Real Madrid v Baskonia106-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/05/26AOlympiacos85-92
22/05/26AValencia105-90
17/05/26HJoventut Badalona81-89
14/05/26ABilbao82-88
10/05/26HBreogan97-101
07/05/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv87-81
05/05/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv69-76
03/05/26HMurcia131-123 OT
01/05/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv102-75
29/04/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv86-82
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/26HGranada121-85
14/05/26HMurcia87-80
10/05/26AValencia88-86
03/05/26HBreogan112-84
26/04/26HBarcelona92-95
18/04/26AJoventut Badalona69-81
16/04/26APartizan79-91
12/04/26HGran Canaria88-86
10/04/26AVirtus Bologna82-72
07/04/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv101-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL81%
HomeWLWLL75%
AwayWWWWL88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %81%75%88%
Points / game93.495.191.8
Allowed / game85.185.784.6
Point differential+8.3+9.4+7.2
Avg total178.6180.8176.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%56%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)0% (3)86% (7)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Baskonia
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW72%
HomeWLWWW88%
AwayLWWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %72%88%56%
Points / game93.7100.087.3
Allowed / game86.886.387.3
Point differential+6.8+13.7+0.0
Avg total180.5186.3174.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%56%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)60% (5)71% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3226681%93.485.1+8.3
2 Murcia3324973%90.884.3+6.5
3 Valencia3223972%94.183.5+10.6
4 Barcelona3223972%89.781.8+7.8
5 Baskonia3223972%93.786.8+6.8
6 Joventut Badalona33221167%85.781.3+4.4
7 Tenerife33181555%89.686.5+3.2
8 Bilbao33181555%84.886.1-1.4
9 Unicaja33171652%87.586.8+0.8
10 Breogan33151845%90.993.2-2.3
11 Manresa33151845%86.090.7-4.7
12 Basquet Girona33132039%85.889.3-3.5
13 Forca Lleida33122136%83.790.3-6.7
14 San Pablo Burgos33112233%89.192.3-3.3
15 Gran Canaria33102330%81.385.7-4.4
16 MoraBanc Andorra33102330%87.393.0-5.7
17 Basket Zaragoza3392427%86.993.4-6.5
18 Granada3362718%83.192.2-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2917201783
Baskonia2616222488
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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