Dubrava will host undefeated Zadar on 15 November 2026 in the Premijer liga, and the Pythia model names the Croatians as the clear favourite, rating them at 92% to win largely because of their flawless 7-0 record, 94.3 points per game and 67.0 allowed per game, while Dubrava sits 12th with a 1-6 record, 74.6 points per game and 85.0 allowed per game. Dubrava's season has been rough, with only one win in seven games and a 73.8 points per game at home, 81.5 allowed, and a 1-3 home record; their last five games included a 66-81 loss to Bristol Flyers, an 81-75 win over Zabok and an 81-95 defeat to Kvarner. Zadar, meanwhile, has gone 4-0 on the road, averaging 95.8 points per game and 67.2 allowed, and their last five games saw three wins and two losses, including a 109-80 home win over Kvarner and losses to Spartak Subotica and Dubai. In head-to-head history, Zadar leads 8-2, though Dubrava last beat them 92-81 on 20 March 2026. Pythia projects a 69-85 score, a 153.7 total, a 19.5 home line with a 63% chance the home side covers, and a 31% chance of the over on the 161.25 total, with a 2% overtime probability. The game will hinge on whether Dubrava can keep its defence tight enough to stop Zadar's high-scoring attack.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 74.6 | 85.0 | 159.6 | -10.4 | 14% |
| Season at home (4) | 73.8 | 81.5 | 155.2 | -7.8 | 25% |
| Season away (3) | 75.7 | 89.7 | 165.3 | -14.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 75.4 | 85.9 | 161.3 | -10.5 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 77.4 | 87.2 | 164.6 | -9.8 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (16) | 79.3 | 85.9 | 165.2 | -6.6 | 38% |
| vs Similar (12) | 82.7 | 84.2 | 166.9 | -1.6 | 25% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 90.0 | 81.5 | 171.5 | +8.5 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 94.3 | 67.0 | 161.3 | +27.3 | 100% |
| Season at home (3) | 92.3 | 66.7 | 159.0 | +25.7 | 100% |
| Season away (4) | 95.8 | 67.2 | 163.0 | +28.5 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 83.7 | 71.9 | 155.6 | +11.8 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 84.2 | 76.2 | 160.4 | +8.0 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (3) | 69.0 | 76.7 | 145.7 | -7.7 | 33% |
| vs Similar (4) | 71.2 | 76.8 | 148.0 | -5.5 | 25% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (23) | 87.1 | 70.4 | 157.5 | +16.7 | 78% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 81.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 38.3 | 41.7 | 80.0 | -3.4 | 23% | 33% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 38.9 | 40.4 | 79.3 | -1.6 | 29% | 29% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 37.9 | 42.8 | 80.7 | -4.9 | 19% | 38% |
| Last 10 (10) | 36.0 | 43.4 | 79.4 | -7.4 | 10% | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 34.8 | 45.8 | 80.6 | -11.0 | 20% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (16) | 37.2 | 42.8 | 80.0 | -5.5 | 19% | 38% |
| vs Similar (12) | 39.7 | 40.8 | 80.4 | -1.1 | 25% | 33% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 39.0 | 39.0 | 78.0 | +0.0 | 50% | 0% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 81.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.4 | 35.6 | 76.9 | +5.8 | 70% | 30% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 44.7 | 34.2 | 78.9 | +10.5 | 93% | 43% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 38.4 | 36.8 | 75.2 | +1.7 | 50% | 19% |
| Last 10 (10) | 42.4 | 34.2 | 76.6 | +8.2 | 70% | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 44.2 | 34.0 | 78.2 | +10.2 | 80% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (3) | 40.0 | 32.3 | 72.3 | +7.7 | 67% | 33% |
| vs Similar (4) | 32.8 | 38.2 | 71.0 | -5.5 | 25% | 0% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (23) | 43.0 | 35.5 | 78.6 | +7.5 | 78% | 35% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zadar under 91.5 | 75.3% | 1.68 | 1.75 | 1.61 | - | - | - | +22.4pp |
| Zadar under 92.5 | 78.4% | 1.58 | 1.65 | 1.52 | - | - | - | +22.1pp |
| Under 164.5 | 74.3% | 1.63 | 1.67 | 1.63 | 1.60 | - | - | +19.5pp |
| Dubrava +24.5 | 78.9% | 1.45 | 1.45 | - | - | - | - | +15.9pp |
| Dubrava under 75.5 | 73.5% | 1.47 | 1.50 | 1.44 | - | - | - | +10.3pp |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 32.4 | 16.2 | 54.8% | 32.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 29.9 | 10.6 | 34.2% | 31.8 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.8 | 13.5 | 71.7% | 13.5 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.6 | 21.4 | 54.8% | 42.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 30.3 | 10.5 | 34.2% | 31.5 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 16.9 | 12.5 | 71.7% | 12.5 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 20/03/26 | Dubrava v Zadar | 92-81 |
| 14/01/26 | Dubrava v Zadar | 80-85 |
| 27/10/25 | Zadar v Dubrava | 105-74 |
| 03/04/25 | Dubrava v Zadar | 69-95 |
| 29/12/24 | Dubrava v Zadar | 68-61 |
| 14/10/24 | Zadar v Dubrava | 101-72 |
| 05/05/24 | Dubrava v Zadar | 78-90 |
| 02/05/24 | Zadar v Dubrava | 78-61 |
| 13/03/24 | Zadar v Dubrava | 92-69 |
| 03/03/24 | Dubrava v Zadar | 71-87 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | A | Bristol Flyers | 66-81 |
| 07/11/26 | H | Zabok | 81-75 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Kvarner | 81-95 |
| 28/10/26 | A | Syntainics MBC | 79-101 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Dubrovnik | 80-84 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Dinamo Zagreb | 62-85 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Split | 62-86 |
| 02/10/26 | A | Cedevita Junior | 84-89 |
| 29/09/26 | H | CIU | 87-82 |
| 26/09/26 | H | Skrljevo | 72-81 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | H | Partizan | 81-74 |
| 09/11/26 | H | Kvarner | 109-80 |
| 05/11/26 | A | Spartak Subotica | 51-67 |
| 02/11/26 | A | Dubai | 75-89 |
| 30/10/26 | A | Dubrovnik | 105-71 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Perspektiva Ilirija | 95-70 |
| 23/10/26 | H | Dinamo Zagreb | 87-61 |
| 18/10/26 | A | Split | 84-73 |
| 16/10/26 | A | Vienna Basket | 63-78 |
| 12/10/26 | A | Cedevita Junior | 87-56 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLLW | 14% |
| Home | LLLW | 25% |
| Away | LLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| Win % | 14% | 25% | 0% |
| Points / game | 74.6 | 73.8 | 75.7 |
| Allowed / game | 85.0 | 81.5 | 89.7 |
| Point differential | -10.4 | -7.8 | -14.0 |
| Avg total | 159.6 | 155.2 | 165.3 |
| Over 160 | 43% | 25% | 67% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (2) | 0% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWW | 100% |
| Home | WWW | 100% |
| Away | WWWW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 3 | 4 |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Points / game | 94.3 | 92.3 | 95.8 |
| Allowed / game | 67.0 | 66.7 | 67.2 |
| Point differential | +27.3 | +25.7 | +28.5 |
| Avg total | 161.3 | 159.0 | 163.0 |
| Over 160 | 43% | 33% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 100% | 94.3 | 67.0 | +27.3 | |
| 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 100% | 90.9 | 76.1 | +14.8 | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 81.9 | 76.1 | +5.8 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 77.2 | 81.2 | -4.0 | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 88.9 | 83.9 | +5.0 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 83.2 | 83.6 | -0.4 | |
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 79.8 | 88.9 | -9.1 | |
| 8 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 80.7 | 82.7 | -2.0 | |
| 9 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 77.6 | 83.0 | -5.4 | |
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 77.8 | 89.5 | -11.8 | |
| 11 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 74.6 | 85.0 | -10.4 | |
| 12 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 76.6 | 83.9 | -7.2 |
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