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Dubrava vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 68-61
12-16 17-15 13-18 26-12
Position#9
Record5-8
FormWLLWL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game81.7
Dubrava 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#1
Record13-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game62.2
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 14· Sportska dvorana Dubrava
Other2024-25
Meetings · Dubrava v Zadar
13 Nov 2026
DUBR v ZAD
upcoming
20 Mar 2026
DUBR92
ZAD81
14 Jan 2026
DUBR80
ZAD85
03 Apr 2025
DUBR69
ZAD95
29 Dec 2024
DUBR68
ZAD61
05 May 2024
DUBR78
ZAD90
03 Mar 2024
DUBR71
ZAD87
06 May 2023
DUBR66
ZAD76
20 Jan 2023
DUBR73
ZAD85
17 Dec 2021
DUBR70
ZAD99
09 Mar 2021
DUBR77
ZAD94
05 Nov 2020
DUBR67
ZAD82
12 Jan 2020
DUBR76
ZAD113
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dubrava winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DubravaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDubrava
Date
Competition
Zabok
#8
L
71-78
71
78
-7
70avg 70
A26/10
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#4
L
70-98
70
98
-28
56avg 70
A29/10
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
W
84-70
84
70
+14
78avg 70
H02/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
L
80-90
80
90
-10
71avg 70
A12/11
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
78-87
78
87
-9
75avg 70
H17/11
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
W
83-76
83
76
+7
76avg 70
A30/11
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
73-89
73
89
-16
66avg 70
H07/12
Premijer liga
Cibona
#4
L
72-81
72
81
-9
62avg 70
A11/12
Croatian Cup
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
73-63
73
63
+10
66avg 70
H14/12
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
67-84
67
84
-17
55avg 70
A20/12
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
15-26
21-13
16-25
20-20
18-29
24-25
8-24
24-14
17-15
19-17
24-24
12-21
23-19
16-26
29-24
27-24
22-25
11-17
18-21
22-25
23-21
13-19
25-11
14-27
17-23
16-23
26-16
19-28
24-22
21-17
8-14
18-29
22-5
13-19
20-10
24-24
10-20
15-21
18-19
156.7Avg total
75.1Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)75.881.7157.5-5.938%
Season at home (6)76.876.3153.2+0.550%
Season away (7)74.986.3161.1-11.429%
Last 10 (10)75.181.6156.7-6.530%
Last 5 (5)73.678.6152.2-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)74.687.4162.0-12.912%
vs Similar (10)75.670.5146.1+5.180%
vs Weaker (3)98.387.7186.0+10.7100%
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
64-58
64
58
+6
53avg 77
A29/11
Premijer liga
Mega Basket
#9
L
65-68
65
68
-3
54avg 77
H02/12
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
63-71
63
71
-8
55avg 77
H06/12
ABA League
Kvarner
#4
W
77-63
77
63
+14
72avg 77
H08/12
Premijer liga
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
89-67
89
67
+22
88avg 77
H12/12
ABA League
Alkar
#7
W
71-61
71
61
+10
70avg 77
A15/12
Premijer liga
Samobor
#16
W
87-55
87
55
+32
83avg 77
A16/12
Croatian Cup
Zabok
#8
W
80-53
80
53
+27
74avg 77
H20/12
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#17
W
81-55
81
55
+26
75avg 77
A23/12
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
W
76-66
76
66
+10
69avg 77
H27/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-12
11-18
22-19
14-9
19-21
25-19
12-11
9-17
21-23
16-11
16-17
10-20
25-23
23-11
11-14
18-15
21-14
18-12
26-18
24-23
18-17
24-13
15-26
14-5
20-22
26-19
26-6
15-8
16-11
22-14
20-10
22-18
13-13
27-18
23-10
18-14
25-18
18-21
12-12
21-15
137.0Avg total
75.3Scored
61.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)80.862.2143.0+18.7100%
Season at home (8)85.663.6149.2+22.0100%
Season away (5)73.259.8133.0+13.4100%
Last 10 (10)75.361.7137.0+13.680%
Last 5 (5)79.058.0137.0+21.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)66.580.2146.8-13.80%
vs Similar (6)73.072.2145.2+0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)82.763.1145.8+19.6100%
This opponent (Dubrava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.1+2.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.1+2.1
DubravaZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DubravaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zabok
#8
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A26/10
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#4
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A29/10
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H02/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A12/11
Premijer liga
Split
#2
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H17/11
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A30/11
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
31-50
31
50
-19
H07/12
Premijer liga
Cibona
#4
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A11/12
Croatian Cup
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H14/12
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A20/12
Premijer liga
82.1Avg total
39.0Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.740.679.3-1.933%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.038.277.2+0.846%-
Last 30 away (17)38.542.581.0-3.924%-
Last 10 (10)39.043.182.1-4.120%-
Last 5 (5)38.644.883.4-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)36.243.479.6-7.119%-
vs Similar (10)39.034.573.5+4.550%-
vs Weaker (3)49.743.092.7+6.767%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A29/11
Premijer liga
Mega Basket
#9
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H02/12
ABA League
Dubai
#4
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H06/12
ABA League
Kvarner
#4
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H08/12
Premijer liga
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H12/12
ABA League
Alkar
#7
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A15/12
Premijer liga
Samobor
#16
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A16/12
Croatian Cup
Zabok
#8
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H20/12
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#17
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A23/12
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H27/12
ABA League
73.5Avg total
40.5Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.034.875.8+6.277%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.734.676.3+7.278%-
Last 30 away (12)39.935.275.2+4.775%-
Last 10 (10)40.533.073.5+7.590%-
Last 5 (5)41.833.275.0+8.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.242.277.5-7.050%-
vs Similar (6)37.738.275.8-0.567%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.031.974.9+11.184%-
This opponent (Dubrava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dubravatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubrava: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.620.6
50.7%
53.5%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.47.0
31.2%
34.6%21.0
🏀 Free throws17.411.9
68.4%
73.3%11.9
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.817.7
50.9%
53.5%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.78.8
30.7%
34.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws18.312.9
70.5%
73.3%12.9
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dubrava
LWLLWLLWLL
Zadar
WWWWWWWLLW
#9
League position
#1
-8.9
Net rating
+20.3
98.1
Offensive rating
107.0
107.0
Defensive rating
86.6
49.4%
Effective FG%
48.7%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
43.3%
18.6%
Turnover %
14.1%
23.9%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.2%
3-point %
30.7%
66.7%
Assist %
62.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence98.1 · 107.0Defence107.0 · 86.6Shooting49.4% · 48.7%3-point %31.2% · 30.7%Ball care18.6% · 14.1%Off. rebounds23.9% · 31.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Dubrava   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Dubrava wins
10
Zadar wins
DateGameScore
14/10/24Zadar v Dubrava101-72
05/05/24Dubrava v Zadar78-90
02/05/24Zadar v Dubrava78-61
13/03/24Zadar v Dubrava92-69
03/03/24Dubrava v Zadar71-87
30/11/23Zadar v Dubrava83-58
06/05/23Dubrava v Zadar66-76
12/04/23Zadar v Dubrava99-67
20/01/23Dubrava v Zadar73-85
30/10/22Zadar v Dubrava92-71
Dubravalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/24ADinamo Zagreb67-84
14/12/24HGKK Sibenka73-63
11/12/24ACibona72-81
07/12/24HCedevita Junior73-89
30/11/24ADubrovnik83-76
17/11/24HSplit78-87
12/11/24ACibona80-90
02/11/24HOsijek84-70
29/10/24AKvarner70-98
26/10/24AZabok71-78
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/24HSpartak Subotica76-66
23/12/24AMornar Bar81-55
20/12/24HZabok80-53
16/12/24ASamobor87-55
15/12/24AAlkar71-61
12/12/24HBorac Mozzart89-67
08/12/24HKvarner77-63
06/12/24HDubai63-71
02/12/24HMega Basket65-68
29/11/24ADinamo Zagreb64-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dubrava
Premijer liga 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL38%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayLLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %38%50%29%
Points / game75.876.874.9
Allowed / game81.776.386.3
Point differential-5.9+0.5-11.4
Avg total157.5153.2161.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zadar
Premijer liga 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game80.885.673.2
Allowed / game62.263.659.8
Point differential+18.7+22.0+13.4
Avg total143.0149.2133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+85%100%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar13130100%80.862.2+18.7
2 Split1210283%91.275.7+15.6
3 Cedevita Junior139469%82.874.6+8.2
4 Cibona138562%83.879.5+4.3
5 Kvarner137654%82.080.2+1.8
6 Dinamo Zagreb146843%83.985.3-1.4
7 Zabok146843%77.985.2-7.4
8 GKK Sibenka125742%75.781.7-6.0
9 Dubrava135838%75.881.7-5.9
10 Dubrovnik1331023%73.979.7-5.8
11 Alkar1331023%68.577.6-9.2
12 Osijek1331023%72.684.2-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dubrava1217132668
Zadar1615181261
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