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Dubrava vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 03 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 69-95
13-24 23-26 17-19 16-26
Position#9
Record10-16
FormLLLWL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game85.5
vs
Zadar 🏆
Croatia
Position#1
Record23-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game63.9
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 23· Sportska dvorana Dubrava
Other2024-25
Meetings · Dubrava v Zadar
13 Nov 2026
DUBR v ZAD
upcoming
20 Mar 2026
DUBR92
ZAD81
14 Jan 2026
DUBR80
ZAD85
03 Apr 2025
DUBR69
ZAD95
29 Dec 2024
DUBR68
ZAD61
05 May 2024
DUBR78
ZAD90
03 Mar 2024
DUBR71
ZAD87
06 May 2023
DUBR66
ZAD76
20 Jan 2023
DUBR73
ZAD85
17 Dec 2021
DUBR70
ZAD99
09 Mar 2021
DUBR77
ZAD94
05 Nov 2020
DUBR67
ZAD82
12 Jan 2020
DUBR76
ZAD113
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dubrava winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DubravaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDubrava
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#4
L
75-106
75
106
-31
59avg 72
H17/01
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
W
102-90
102
90
+12
107avg 72
A22/01
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
L
67-83
67
83
-16
60avg 72
H24/01
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
71-97
71
97
-26
61avg 72
A03/02
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
W
100-81
100
81
+19
101avg 72
H09/02
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
85-94
85
94
-9
81avg 72
A28/02
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
82-100
82
100
-18
77avg 72
H12/03
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
L
92-96
92
96
-4
88avg 72
A14/03
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
W
91-88 OT
91
88
+3
74avg 72
H22/03
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
72-107
72
107
-35
65avg 72
A27/03
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
22-27
20-19
13-38
24-25
34-25
26-19
18-21
17-26
21-22
14-18
15-17
13-21
16-28
21-23
21-25
24-20
24-19
24-22
28-20
24-24
20-26
14-26
27-18
26-28
29-20
13-24
14-28
20-21
24-29
21-17
27-29
26-20
17-25
17-21
22-16
20-32
21-25
11-24
20-26
177.9Avg total
83.7Scored
94.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)79.285.5164.7-6.438%
Season at home (13)80.181.2161.2-1.154%
Season away (13)78.289.9168.2-11.723%
Last 10 (10)83.794.2177.9-10.530%
Last 5 (5)84.497.0181.4-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)76.189.9166.0-13.816%
vs Similar (8)82.475.4157.8+7.075%
vs Weaker (2)93.080.0173.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#4
L
68-79
68
79
-11
55avg 74
A28/02
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
76-87
76
87
-11
72avg 74
A02/03
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
72-63
72
63
+9
68avg 74
H06/03
ABA League
Osijek
#12
W
91-71
91
71
+20
85avg 74
A09/03
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
75-65
75
65
+10
68avg 74
H14/03
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
75-80 OT
75
80
-5
69avg 74
A16/03
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
99-71
99
71
+28
98avg 74
H21/03
ABA League
Alkar
#7
W
63-44
63
44
+19
68avg 74
A23/03
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
W
94-62
94
62
+32
91avg 74
H27/03
Premijer liga
Mega Basket
#9
L
74-75
74
75
-1
71avg 74
A30/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-10
18-28
22-19
15-22
10-20
31-19
13-19
22-29
13-8
16-21
16-14
27-20
26-16
17-21
23-16
25-18
25-10
21-19
20-20
9-16
10-15
25-16
15-17
16-18
27-22
24-13
25-16
23-20
13-14
18-15
20-8
12-7
28-15
21-25
22-9
23-13
25-24
18-19
15-14
16-18
148.4Avg total
78.7Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)78.363.9142.2+14.488%
Season at home (13)84.664.2148.8+20.4100%
Season away (13)72.063.5135.5+8.577%
Last 10 (10)78.769.7148.4+9.060%
Last 5 (5)81.066.4147.4+14.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.090.3166.3-14.30%
vs Similar (7)73.471.1144.6+2.343%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)78.365.5143.8+12.884%
This opponent (Dubrava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +0.7+0.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +0.7+0.7
DubravaZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DubravaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#4
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H17/01
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
W
58-50
58
50
+8
A22/01
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H24/01
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A03/02
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H09/02
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A28/02
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H12/03
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A14/03
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H22/03
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A27/03
Premijer liga
92.7Avg total
44.2Scored
48.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.944.185.0-3.130%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.441.183.4+1.350%-
Last 30 away (16)39.746.786.4-7.012%-
Last 10 (10)44.248.592.7-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)45.450.095.4-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)38.946.485.3-7.411%-
vs Similar (8)43.239.082.2+4.262%-
vs Weaker (2)49.539.589.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#4
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A28/02
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#5
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A02/03
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H06/03
ABA League
Osijek
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A09/03
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H14/03
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A16/03
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H21/03
ABA League
Alkar
#7
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A23/03
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H27/03
Premijer liga
Mega Basket
#9
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A30/03
ABA League
74.9Avg total
39.9Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.535.677.1+5.977%-
Last 30 at home (11)45.333.378.5+12.091%-
Last 30 away (19)39.336.976.2+2.368%-
Last 10 (10)39.935.074.9+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)41.835.677.4+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.344.082.3-5.733%-
vs Similar (7)40.437.978.3+2.671%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)42.133.275.3+8.984%-
This opponent (Dubrava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dubravatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubrava: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.121.7
51.5%
53.5%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.09.0
39.1%
34.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws17.313.1
75.7%
73.3%13.1
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.720.7
50.9%
53.5%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.67.3
32.3%
34.6%21.9
🏀 Free throws19.114.5
75.9%
73.3%14.5
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dubrava
LWLLLWLLWL
Zadar
LWWWLWWWLL
#9
League position
#1
-12.6
Net rating
+11.9
108.8
Offensive rating
106.1
121.5
Defensive rating
94.2
54.1%
Effective FG%
50.0%
59.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
17.7%
Turnover %
18.7%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
35.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
39.1%
3-point %
32.3%
69.7%
Assist %
58.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.8 · 106.1Defence121.5 · 94.2Shooting54.1% · 50.0%3-point %39.1% · 32.3%Ball care17.7% · 18.7%Off. rebounds27.0% · 35.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Dubrava   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Dubrava wins
9
Zadar wins
DateGameScore
29/12/24Dubrava v Zadar68-61
14/10/24Zadar v Dubrava101-72
05/05/24Dubrava v Zadar78-90
02/05/24Zadar v Dubrava78-61
13/03/24Zadar v Dubrava92-69
03/03/24Dubrava v Zadar71-87
30/11/23Zadar v Dubrava83-58
06/05/23Dubrava v Zadar66-76
12/04/23Zadar v Dubrava99-67
20/01/23Dubrava v Zadar73-85
Dubravalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/25ASplit72-107
22/03/25HCedevita Junior91-88 OT
14/03/25ACibona92-96
12/03/25HDinamo Zagreb82-100
28/02/25ACedevita Junior85-94
09/02/25HDubrovnik100-81
03/02/25ASplit71-97
24/01/25HCibona67-83
22/01/25AOsijek102-90
17/01/25HKvarner75-106
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/25AMega Basket74-75
27/03/25HZabok94-62
23/03/25AAlkar63-44
21/03/25HFMP Beograd99-71
16/03/25ACedevita Olimpija75-80 OT
14/03/25HGKK Sibenka75-65
09/03/25AOsijek91-71
06/03/25HKK Krka Novo mesto72-63
02/03/25ACrvena zvezda76-87
28/02/25AKvarner68-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dubrava
Premijer liga 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL38%
HomeLLWLW54%
AwayWLLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %38%54%23%
Points / game79.280.178.2
Allowed / game85.581.289.9
Point differential-6.4-1.1-11.7
Avg total164.7161.2168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%38%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Zadar
Premijer liga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %88%100%77%
Points / game78.384.672.0
Allowed / game63.964.263.5
Point differential+14.4+20.4+8.5
Avg total142.2148.8135.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%92%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar2623388%78.363.9+14.4
2 Split2620677%88.073.3+14.7
3 Cedevita Junior2618869%84.377.0+7.3
4 Cibona26161062%84.879.7+5.2
5 Kvarner26141254%81.081.2-0.2
6 Dinamo Zagreb26131350%84.484.3+0.2
7 Zabok26111542%79.885.7-5.9
8 Dubrava26101638%79.285.5-6.4
9 Alkar26101638%69.876.3-6.4
10 GKK Sibenka2681831%74.982.8-8.0
11 Osijek2671927%75.083.4-8.4
12 Dubrovnik2662023%75.882.3-6.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dubrava1323171669
Zadar2426192695
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