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Duke vs Indiana State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 100-62
51-32 49-30
Position#8
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game94.7
Allowed / game57.7
Duke 🏆
USA
vs
Indiana State
USA
Position#311
Record2-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game73.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#111
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H14/03
NCAA
Louisville
#26
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H16/03
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#112
W
93-49
93
49
+44
H21/03
NCAA
Baylor
#149
W
89-66
89
66
+23
H23/03
NCAA
Arizona
#88
W
100-93
100
93
+7
H28/03
NCAA
Alabama
#34
W
85-65
85
65
+20
H30/03
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
67-70
67
70
-3
H06/04
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
75-60
75
60
+15
H05/11
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
95-54
95
54
+41
H08/11
NCAA
Army
#318
W
114-59
114
59
+55
A12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
45-24
29-47
33-38
40-24
54-28
39-21
47-30
42-36
48-42
52-51
46-37
39-28
34-28
33-42
32-33
43-27
45-21
50-33
49-30
65-29
151.4Avg total
86.5Scored
64.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)94.757.7152.3+37.0100%
Season at home (2)85.057.0142.0+28.0100%
Season away (1)114.059.0173.0+55.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.564.9151.4+21.690%
Last 5 (5)87.261.6148.8+25.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)86.164.0150.1+22.193%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#107
L
73-88
73
88
-15
A12/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
W
85-76
85
76
+9
H15/02
NCAA
Evansville
#319
L
74-79
74
79
-5
H20/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A22/02
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
75-85
75
85
-10
A26/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
95-77
95
77
+18
H02/03
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
85-86
85
86
-1
A06/03
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
L
76-92
76
92
-16
A04/11
NCAA
Illinois Tech
#508
W
104-73
104
73
+31
H07/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
64-55
64
55
+9
A11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-50
35-38
40-33
45-43
36-46
38-33
28-26
47-51
40-39
35-46
52-31
43-46
43-47
42-39
37-45
39-47
59-43
45-30
32-32
32-23
159.4Avg total
80.6Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.373.3154.7+8.067%
Season at home (1)104.073.0177.0+31.0100%
Season away (2)70.073.5143.5-3.550%
Last 10 (10)80.678.8159.4+1.840%
Last 5 (5)84.876.6161.4+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)71.785.6157.2-13.911%
vs Similar (16)81.980.6162.5+1.250%
vs Weaker (5)86.467.6154.0+18.880%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-15-8+0+8+151st half1st half: +12.2+12.21st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: +9.4+9.42nd half: +0.5+0.5
-15-8+0+8+151st half1st half: +12.2+12.21st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: +9.4+9.42nd half: +0.5+0.5
DukeIndiana State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#111
W
45-24
45
24
+21
H14/03
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H16/03
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#112
W
54-28
54
28
+26
H21/03
NCAA
Baylor
#149
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H23/03
NCAA
Arizona
#88
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H28/03
NCAA
Alabama
#34
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H30/03
NCAA
Houston
#9
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H06/04
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H05/11
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H08/11
NCAA
Army
#318
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A12/11
NCAA
74.4Avg total
43.3Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.030.672.5+11.487%-
Last 30 at home (20)41.530.171.5+11.480%-
Last 30 away (10)43.031.674.6+11.4100%-
Last 10 (10)43.331.174.4+12.280%-
Last 5 (5)41.229.871.0+11.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)42.030.672.5+11.487%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#107
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A12/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H15/02
NCAA
Evansville
#319
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H20/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A22/02
NCAA
Murray State
#214
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A26/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H02/03
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A06/03
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A04/11
NCAA
Illinois Tech
#508
W
59-43
59
43
+16
H07/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A11/11
NCAA
79.7Avg total
40.5Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.439.077.4-0.537%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.534.873.3+3.654%-
Last 30 away (17)38.442.180.5-3.724%-
Last 10 (10)40.539.279.7+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)44.639.684.2+5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)33.243.076.2-9.811%-
vs Similar (16)38.737.976.6+0.844%-
vs Weaker (5)47.035.082.0+12.060%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Duke wins
0
Indiana State wins
No previous meetings.
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/25AArmy114-59
08/11/25HWestern Carolina95-54
05/11/25HTexas75-60
06/04/25HHouston67-70
30/03/25HAlabama85-65
28/03/25HArizona100-93
23/03/25HBaylor89-66
21/03/25HMount St. Mary's93-49
16/03/25HLouisville73-62
14/03/25HNorth Carolina74-71
Indiana Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/25ASiu Edwardsville64-55
07/11/25HIllinois Tech104-73
04/11/25ACharlotte76-92
06/03/25ASouthern Illinois85-86
02/03/25HSouthern Illinois95-77
26/02/25AMurray State75-85
22/02/25ABelmont75-77
20/02/25HEvansville74-79
15/02/25HIllinois State85-76
12/02/25ANorthern Iowa73-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game94.785.0114.0
Allowed / game57.757.059.0
Point differential+37.0+28.0+55.0
Avg total152.3142.0173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Indiana State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game81.3104.070.0
Allowed / game73.373.073.5
Point differential+8.0+31.0-3.5
Avg total154.7177.0143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NC State330100%106.066.7+39.3
2 Syracuse220100%84.045.0+39.0
3 Clemson330100%89.351.0+38.3
4 Duke330100%94.757.7+37.0
5 Louisville330100%102.067.7+34.3
6 Miami (FL)330100%96.363.7+32.7
7 Notre Dame330100%89.765.0+24.7
8 Virginia Tech330100%99.775.7+24.0
9 North Carolina330100%90.067.3+22.7
10 Georgia Tech330100%66.752.3+14.3
11 SMU Mustangs330100%89.075.0+14.0
12 Stanford330100%85.771.7+14.0
13 California43175%88.272.8+15.5
14 Virginia43175%78.268.5+9.8
15 Pittsburgh43175%69.864.0+5.8
16 Florida State32167%95.072.7+22.3
17 Wake Forest32167%84.374.7+9.7
18 Boston College31233%71.063.3+7.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Iowa220100%75.557.5+18.0
2 Illinois (Chi.)32167%87.367.3+20.0
3 Southern Illinois32167%88.368.7+19.7
4 Murray State32167%94.779.7+15.0
5 Drake32167%81.767.7+14.0
6 Indiana State32167%81.373.3+8.0
7 Belmont32167%72.380.3-8.0
8 Valparaiso32167%64.377.7-13.3
9 Evansville42250%72.864.0+8.8
10 Illinois State21150%72.068.5+3.5
11 Bradley31233%71.767.0+4.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke5149100
Indiana State323062
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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