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Indiana State vs Illinois State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 85-76
40-33 45-43
Position#254
Record12-14
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game79.4
Indiana State 🏆
USA
vs
Illinois State
USA
Position#141
Record15-11
FormWWWLL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game72.3
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Indiana State v Illinois State
14 Jan 2026
INDI94
ILLI89
15 Feb 2025
INDI85
ILLI76
13 Feb 2024
INDI67
ILLI80
18 Feb 2023
INDI80
ILLI64
12 Feb 2022
INDI60
ILLI57
11 Jan 2020
INDI65
ILLI52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#79
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H11/01
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
65-118
65
118
-53
A16/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
53-71
53
71
-18
H18/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
81-85
81
85
-4
A22/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
56-74
56
74
-18
H25/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H30/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
88-83
88
83
+5
A01/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H06/02
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
81-85 OT
81
85
-4
A08/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
73-88
73
88
-15
A12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-42
47-42
33-66
32-52
25-32
28-39
40-40
41-45
26-38
30-36
25-36
47-31
52-41
36-42
39-31
41-31
29-41
43-31
38-50
35-38
154.5Avg total
72.8Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)79.879.4159.2+0.346%
Season at home (12)79.870.6150.3+9.250%
Season away (14)79.887.0166.8-7.243%
Last 10 (10)72.881.7154.5-8.930%
Last 5 (5)78.877.0155.8+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.087.1160.1-14.10%
vs Similar ◀ (14)83.082.1165.1+0.964%
vs Weaker (6)86.759.8146.5+26.8100%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#107
L
84-85
84
85
-1
H12/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
62-66
62
66
-4
A16/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
74-68
74
68
+6
H18/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H22/01
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
57-61
57
61
-4
A25/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
81-78
81
78
+3
H30/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H01/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
81-79
81
79
+2
A06/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A08/02
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H13/02
NCAA
1H
2H
43-36
41-49
30-34
32-32
25-31
49-37
40-40
45-41
26-28
31-33
35-31
46-47
45-38
41-40
45-37
36-42
36-32
29-36
32-40
45-44
150.0Avg total
75.2Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)76.572.3148.8+4.358%
Season at home (15)80.971.7152.7+9.273%
Season away (11)70.573.0143.5-2.536%
Last 10 (10)75.274.8150.0+0.450%
Last 5 (5)78.077.4155.4+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)61.867.0128.8-5.20%
vs Similar ◀ (18)76.975.6152.5+1.361%
vs Weaker (7)77.462.7140.1+14.771%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -7.8-7.81st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: -0.6-0.6
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -7.8-7.81st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: -0.6-0.6
Indiana StateIllinois State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#79
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H11/01
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
33-66
33
66
-33
A16/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H18/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A22/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H25/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H30/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A01/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H06/02
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A08/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A12/02
NCAA
75.6Avg total
33.9Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.438.676.0-1.233%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.633.770.2+2.950%-
Last 30 away (14)38.444.282.6-5.914%-
Last 10 (10)33.941.775.6-7.820%-
Last 5 (5)36.639.876.4-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.242.776.9-8.520%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)37.139.976.9-2.821%-
vs Weaker (6)43.528.872.3+14.783%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#107
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H12/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A16/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H18/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H22/01
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A25/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H30/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H01/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A06/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A08/02
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H13/02
NCAA
70.4Avg total
35.7Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.533.669.1+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.432.568.9+3.965%-
Last 30 away (13)34.435.069.4-0.638%-
Last 10 (10)35.734.770.4+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)38.635.674.2+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)29.033.262.2-4.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)37.735.072.7+2.767%-
vs Weaker (7)34.730.365.0+4.457%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Indiana State wins
5
Illinois State wins
DateGameScore
22/01/25Illinois State v Indiana State85-81
14/02/24Indiana State v Illinois State67-80
18/02/23Indiana State v Illinois State80-64
05/01/23Illinois State v Indiana State67-76
04/03/22Illinois State v Indiana State58-53
26/02/22Illinois State v Indiana State86-66
12/02/22Indiana State v Illinois State60-57
17/01/21Illinois State v Indiana State68-74
16/01/21Illinois State v Indiana State65-73
09/02/20Illinois State v Indiana State74-67
Indiana Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/25ANorthern Iowa73-88
08/02/25ADrake81-85 OT
06/02/25HValparaiso80-62
01/02/25AIllinois (Chi.)88-83
30/01/25HMissouri State72-67
25/01/25HNorthern Iowa56-74
22/01/25AIllinois State81-85
18/01/25HDrake53-71
16/01/25ABradley65-118
11/01/25HBelmont79-84
Illinois Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/25HDrake77-84
08/02/25ANorthern Iowa65-68
06/02/25AIllinois (Chi.)81-79
01/02/25HValparaiso86-78
30/01/25HBelmont81-78
25/01/25ABradley57-61
22/01/25HIndiana State85-81
18/01/25HMissouri State74-68
16/01/25ADrake62-66
12/01/25HNorthern Iowa84-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL46%
HomeLLLWW50%
AwayLLWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %46%50%43%
Points / game79.879.879.8
Allowed / game79.470.687.0
Point differential+0.3+9.2-7.2
Avg total159.2150.3166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%42%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)20% (5)57% (7)
Overtime %12%8%14%
Illinois State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL58%
HomeWWWWL73%
AwayLLLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261511
Win %58%73%36%
Points / game76.580.970.5
Allowed / game72.371.773.0
Point differential+4.3+9.2-2.5
Avg total148.8152.7143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)67% (6)33% (6)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake2523292%71.759.2+12.5
2 Bradley2620677%79.269.4+9.8
3 Northern Iowa2617965%74.967.5+7.4
4 Belmont2617965%81.779.2+2.5
5 Illinois (Chi.)26151158%79.574.6+4.9
6 Illinois State26151158%76.572.3+4.3
7 Murray State26131350%72.269.0+3.2
8 Indiana State26121446%79.879.4+0.3
9 Southern Illinois26121446%72.873.5-0.7
10 Valparaiso26111542%76.475.2+1.2
11 Evansville2691735%65.870.7-4.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Indiana State404585
Illinois State334376
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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