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Duke vs Miami (FL) Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 74-76
32-32 42-44
Position#12
Record12-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game63.8
vs
Position#58
Record12-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game73.7
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Duke v Miami (FL)
14 Jan 2025
DUKE89
MIAM54
21 Jan 2023
DUKE68
MIAM66
11 Mar 2022
DUKE80
MIAM76
08 Jan 2022
DUKE74
MIAM76
21 Jan 2020
DUKE89
MIAM59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami (FL) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gardner Webb
#138
W
92-52
92
52
+40
H17/11
NCAA
Lafayette
#307
W
88-55
88
55
+33
H20/11
NCAA
Citadel
#254
W
107-81
107
81
+26
H23/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#6
W
84-81
84
81
+3
A27/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#114
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A01/12
NCAA
South Carolina St
#227
W
103-62
103
62
+41
H15/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
W
92-67
92
67
+25
H17/12
NCAA
Elon
#313
W
87-56
87
56
+31
H18/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H23/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
69-57
69
57
+12
H05/01
NCAA
1H
2H
47-27
45-25
35-27
53-28
52-42
55-39
45-42
39-39
43-30
23-41
60-27
43-35
50-37
42-30
44-26
43-30
32-36
44-29
35-23
34-34
151.1Avg total
86.4Scored
64.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)84.063.8147.8+20.292%
Season at home (11)85.661.6147.3+24.0100%
Season away (2)75.076.0151.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)86.464.7151.1+21.790%
Last 5 (5)85.461.4146.8+24.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)84.081.0165.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (14)74.171.6145.8+2.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)84.263.9148.1+20.380%
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (FL)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Texas
#15
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A26/11
NCAA
Alabama
#147
L
64-96
64
96
-32
A28/11
NCAA
Penn State
#234
W
63-58
63
58
+5
A02/12
NCAA
Clemson
#190
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H04/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#249
W
76-59
76
59
+17
H09/12
NCAA
Fordham
#199
W
72-66
72
66
+6
A12/12
NCAA
Stetson
#284
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H21/12
NCAA
NC State
#297
W
91-83
91
83
+8
H30/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
W
92-84
92
84
+8
H01/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
W
88-87
88
87
+1
H06/01
NCAA
1H
2H
28-40
41-23
30-33
34-63
29-23
34-35
34-40
46-35
35-26
41-33
35-37
37-29
39-26
43-46
40-41
51-42
43-38
49-46
30-44
58-43
152.0Avg total
77.7Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)77.173.7150.9+3.480%
Season at home (10)82.175.7157.8+6.480%
Season away (5)67.269.8137.0-2.680%
Last 10 (10)77.774.3152.0+3.490%
Last 5 (5)85.078.4163.4+6.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)67.375.1142.4-7.936%
vs Similar (10)70.676.3146.9-5.750%
vs Weaker (6)80.767.7148.3+13.0100%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +12.6+12.61st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: +9.1+9.12nd half: +3.9+3.9
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +12.6+12.61st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: +9.1+9.12nd half: +3.9+3.9
DukeMiami (FL)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gardner Webb
#138
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H17/11
NCAA
Lafayette
#307
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H20/11
NCAA
Citadel
#254
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H23/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#6
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A27/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#114
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A01/12
NCAA
South Carolina St
#227
W
60-27
60
27
+33
H15/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H17/12
NCAA
Elon
#313
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H18/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H23/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H05/01
NCAA
76.0Avg total
44.3Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.532.672.1+6.877%-
Last 30 at home (19)41.431.672.9+9.884%-
Last 30 away (11)36.234.570.6+1.764%-
Last 10 (10)44.331.776.0+12.690%-
Last 5 (5)44.229.874.0+14.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.042.087.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (14)35.634.169.7+1.657%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.730.773.3+12.093%-
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (FL)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Texas
#15
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A26/11
NCAA
Alabama
#147
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A28/11
NCAA
Penn State
#234
W
29-23
29
23
+6
A02/12
NCAA
Clemson
#190
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H04/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#249
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H09/12
NCAA
Fordham
#199
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A12/12
NCAA
Stetson
#284
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H21/12
NCAA
NC State
#297
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H30/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H01/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H06/01
NCAA
69.1Avg total
34.3Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.534.566.0-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.735.668.3-2.938%-
Last 30 away (14)30.133.263.3-3.129%-
Last 10 (10)34.334.869.1-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)37.437.274.6+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)29.537.466.9-7.921%-
vs Similar (10)30.332.963.2-2.630%-
vs Weaker (6)38.030.368.3+7.767%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Duke wins
1
Miami (FL) wins
DateGameScore
02/02/21Miami (FL) v Duke77-75
22/01/20Duke v Miami (FL)89-59
05/01/20Miami (FL) v Duke62-95
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/22HGeorgia Tech69-57
23/12/21HVirginia Tech76-65
18/12/21HElon87-56
17/12/21HAppalachian State92-67
15/12/21HSouth Carolina St103-62
01/12/21AOhio State66-71
27/11/21AGonzaga84-81
23/11/21HCitadel107-81
20/11/21HLafayette88-55
17/11/21HGardner Webb92-52
Miami (FL)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/22HSyracuse88-87
01/01/22HWake Forest92-84
30/12/21HNC State91-83
21/12/21HStetson82-72
12/12/21AFordham72-66
09/12/21HLipscomb76-59
04/12/21HClemson80-75
02/12/21APenn State63-58
28/11/21AAlabama64-96
26/11/21ANorth Texas69-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13112
Win %92%100%50%
Points / game84.085.675.0
Allowed / game63.861.676.0
Point differential+20.2+24.0-1.0
Avg total147.8147.3151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+77%91%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miami (FL)
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15105
Win %80%80%80%
Points / game77.182.167.2
Allowed / game73.775.769.8
Point differential+3.4+6.4-2.6
Avg total150.9157.8137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1312192%84.063.8+20.2
2 Wake Forest1613381%80.068.6+11.4
3 Miami (FL)1512380%77.173.7+3.4
4 SMU Mustangs1511473%77.168.6+8.5
5 North Carolina1511473%78.770.5+8.2
6 Louisville1410471%71.066.4+4.6
7 Clemson1510567%74.265.9+8.3
8 Stanford128467%70.569.8+0.8
9 Notre Dame149564%70.866.1+4.6
10 Virginia159660%63.358.8+4.5
11 California159660%66.662.7+3.9
12 Florida State127558%73.268.1+5.1
13 Virginia Tech148657%70.558.7+11.8
14 NC State168850%76.174.9+1.2
15 Syracuse157847%78.576.5+2.0
16 Boston College136746%67.164.5+2.6
17 Pittsburgh156940%62.464.9-2.5
18 Georgia Tech145936%67.168.7-1.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke324274
Miami (FL)324476
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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