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Duke vs Miami (FL) Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 89-54
50-26 39-28
Position#7
Record14-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game59.6
Duke 🏆
USA
vs
Miami (FL)
USA
Position#344
Record4-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game76.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Duke v Miami (FL)
14 Jan 2025
DUKE89
MIAM54
21 Jan 2023
DUKE68
MIAM66
11 Mar 2022
DUKE80
MIAM76
08 Jan 2022
DUKE74
MIAM76
21 Jan 2020
DUKE89
MIAM59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami (FL) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seattle
#252
W
70-48
70
48
+22
H30/11
NCAA
Auburn
#12
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H05/12
NCAA
Louisville
#26
W
76-65
76
65
+11
A08/12
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
W
72-46
72
46
+26
H11/12
NCAA
George Mason
#31
W
68-47
68
47
+21
H18/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
82-56
82
56
+26
A21/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
88-65
88
65
+23
H31/12
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
89-62
89
62
+27
A04/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
76-47
76
47
+29
H08/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-25
33-23
43-36
41-42
33-37
43-28
28-21
44-25
25-16
43-31
41-36
41-20
37-27
51-38
41-32
48-30
34-24
42-23
44-36
42-42
138.3Avg total
79.1Scored
59.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)80.459.6140.0+20.888%
Season at home (12)80.859.7140.5+21.283%
Season away (4)79.059.5138.5+19.5100%
Last 10 (10)79.159.2138.3+19.9100%
Last 5 (5)84.261.6145.8+22.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)72.559.2131.8+13.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)78.962.1141.0+16.881%
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (FL)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston Southern
#329
L
79-83
79
83
-4
H30/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
L
73-76
73
76
-3
H04/12
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
55-65
55
65
-10
H07/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
62-75
62
75
-13
A10/12
NCAA
Presbyterian
#253
W
94-75
94
75
+19
H15/12
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#112
L
74-78 OT
74
78
-4
H21/12
NCAA
Boston College
#298
L
68-78
68
78
-10
A01/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
85-86
85
86
-1
A04/01
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
65-80
65
80
-15
H09/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
78-88
78
88
-10
H11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-45
42-38
40-32
33-44
24-25
31-40
25-38
37-37
49-33
45-42
38-28
28-38
41-29
27-49
39-40
46-46
25-39
40-41
31-39
47-49
151.7Avg total
73.3Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)77.576.2153.8+1.225%
Season at home (10)81.274.4155.6+6.840%
Season away (6)71.379.3150.7-8.00%
Last 10 (10)73.378.4151.7-5.110%
Last 5 (5)74.082.0156.0-8.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)73.275.6148.8-2.425%
vs Similar (11)69.877.4147.2-7.59%
vs Weaker (3)80.768.0148.7+12.767%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +7.3+7.31st half: +0.1+0.12nd half2nd half: +12.6+12.62nd half: -4.8-4.8
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +7.3+7.31st half: +0.1+0.12nd half2nd half: +12.6+12.62nd half: -4.8-4.8
DukeMiami (FL)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seattle
#252
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H30/11
NCAA
Auburn
#12
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H05/12
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A08/12
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
W
28-21
28
21
+7
H11/12
NCAA
George Mason
#31
W
25-16
25
16
+9
H18/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A21/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H31/12
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A04/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H08/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H11/01
NCAA
65.3Avg total
36.3Scored
29.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.028.665.6+8.487%-
Last 30 at home (21)37.327.664.9+9.786%-
Last 30 away (9)36.330.867.1+5.689%-
Last 10 (10)36.329.065.3+7.390%-
Last 5 (5)39.431.070.4+8.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)33.829.062.8+4.875%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)37.528.566.0+9.088%-
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (FL)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston Southern
#329
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H30/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H04/12
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
24-25
24
25
-1
H07/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A10/12
NCAA
Presbyterian
#253
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H15/12
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#112
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H21/12
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A01/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A04/01
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H09/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H11/01
NCAA
69.7Avg total
34.9Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.735.069.7-0.240%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.533.671.1+3.962%-
Last 30 away (14)31.636.668.1-5.014%-
Last 10 (10)34.934.869.7+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)34.835.069.8-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)35.034.369.3+0.744%-
vs Similar (11)32.137.069.1-4.918%-
vs Weaker (3)43.031.074.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Duke wins
3
Miami (FL) wins
DateGameScore
22/02/24Miami (FL) v Duke55-84
11/03/23Miami (FL) v Duke78-85
07/02/23Miami (FL) v Duke81-59
21/01/23Duke v Miami (FL)68-66
12/03/22Duke v Miami (FL)80-76
09/01/22Duke v Miami (FL)74-76
02/02/21Miami (FL) v Duke77-75
22/01/20Duke v Miami (FL)89-59
05/01/20Miami (FL) v Duke62-95
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25HNotre Dame86-78
08/01/25HPittsburgh76-47
04/01/25ASMU Mustangs89-62
31/12/24HVirginia Tech88-65
21/12/24AGeorgia Tech82-56
18/12/24HGeorge Mason68-47
11/12/24HIncarnate Word72-46
08/12/24ALouisville76-65
05/12/24HAuburn84-78
30/11/24HSeattle70-48
Miami (FL)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25HWake Forest78-88
09/01/25HFlorida State65-80
04/01/25AVirginia Tech85-86
01/01/25ABoston College68-78
21/12/24HMount St. Mary's74-78 OT
15/12/24HPresbyterian94-75
10/12/24ATennessee62-75
07/12/24HClemson55-65
04/12/24HArkansas73-76
30/11/24HCharleston Southern79-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16124
Win %88%83%100%
Points / game80.480.879.0
Allowed / game59.659.759.5
Point differential+20.8+21.2+19.5
Avg total140.0140.5138.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miami (FL)
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeLWLLL40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %25%40%0%
Points / game77.581.271.3
Allowed / game76.274.479.3
Point differential+1.2+6.8-8.0
Avg total153.8155.6150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %6%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1614288%80.459.6+20.8
2 Clemson1713476%77.666.7+10.9
3 SMU Mustangs1612475%84.772.6+12.1
4 Pittsburgh1612475%81.469.7+11.7
5 Wake Forest1612475%70.265.8+4.5
6 Louisville1813572%78.269.7+8.5
7 Florida State1611569%77.869.7+8.1
8 Stanford1611569%77.170.7+6.4
9 North Carolina1711665%83.277.4+5.8
10 NC State169756%71.666.5+5.1
11 Boston College179853%70.673.1-2.5
12 California168850%77.075.5+1.5
13 Virginia168850%61.664.0-2.4
14 Notre Dame178947%75.270.8+4.4
15 Georgia Tech178947%75.673.2+2.5
16 Syracuse178947%75.078.1-3.1
17 Virginia Tech167944%70.472.9-2.6
18 Miami (FL)1641225%77.576.2+1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke503989
Miami (FL)262854
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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