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Duke vs Miami (FL) Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 68-66
38-38 30-28
Position#39
Record13-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game63.4
Duke 🏆
USA
vs
Miami (FL)
USA
Position#122
Record22-14
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game72.3
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Duke v Miami (FL)
14 Jan 2025
DUKE89
MIAM54
21 Jan 2023
DUKE68
MIAM66
11 Mar 2022
DUKE80
MIAM76
08 Jan 2022
DUKE74
MIAM76
21 Jan 2020
DUKE89
MIAM59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami (FL) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio State
#235
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H01/12
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
75-59
75
59
+16
H03/12
NCAA
Iowa
#134
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H07/12
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#130
W
82-55
82
55
+27
H10/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A20/12
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
86-67
86
67
+19
H31/12
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
60-84
60
84
-24
A05/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
65-64
65
64
+1
A07/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H12/01
NCAA
Clemson
#60
L
64-72
64
72
-8
A14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-29
42-43
35-23
40-36
37-31
37-31
39-21
43-34
30-39
40-42
42-25
44-42
22-44
38-40
37-33
28-31
32-43
45-26
34-30
30-42
141.9Avg total
73.4Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)72.263.4135.6+8.872%
Season at home (10)79.658.1137.7+21.5100%
Season away (8)63.070.0133.0-7.038%
Last 10 (10)73.468.5141.9+4.970%
Last 5 (5)70.471.2141.6-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)68.071.0139.0-3.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)78.066.0144.0+12.082%
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (FL)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#302
W
76-65
76
65
+11
A30/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
L
56-68
56
68
-12
A04/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A05/01
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
66-69
66
69
-3
H07/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#231
W
91-80
91
80
+11
H11/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
88-72
88
72
+16
H12/01
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
81-83 OT
81
83
-2
A14/01
NCAA
Ball State
#103
L
61-75
61
75
-14
A14/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
82-78
82
78
+4
H17/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-34
43-31
29-26
27-42
35-39
35-37
31-32
35-37
37-34
54-46
43-28
45-44
32-42
41-31
30-47
31-28
34-38
48-40
40-39
37-42
149.5Avg total
74.8Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)76.672.3148.8+4.361%
Season at home (24)79.471.6151.0+7.871%
Season away (12)70.973.6144.5-2.742%
Last 10 (10)74.874.7149.5+0.140%
Last 5 (5)77.877.8155.6+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)68.083.2151.2-15.220%
vs Similar (12)76.279.0155.2-2.858%
vs Weaker (13)79.866.1145.9+13.877%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.9+2.91st half: -1.5-1.52nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: +1.8+1.8
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.9+2.91st half: -1.5-1.52nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: +1.8+1.8
DukeMiami (FL)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio State
#235
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H01/12
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H03/12
NCAA
Iowa
#134
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H07/12
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#130
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H10/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A20/12
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H31/12
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
22-44
22
44
-22
A05/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A07/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H12/01
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A14/01
NCAA
66.5Avg total
34.7Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.832.369.1+4.570%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.531.870.3+6.774%-
Last 30 away (11)33.933.167.0+0.864%-
Last 10 (10)34.731.866.5+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)33.435.068.4-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)32.236.869.0-4.538%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)38.530.669.1+7.882%-
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (FL)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#302
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A30/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A04/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A05/01
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H07/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#231
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H11/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H12/01
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A14/01
NCAA
Ball State
#103
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A14/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H17/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H18/01
NCAA
70.3Avg total
34.4Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.835.772.5+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.535.774.3+2.853%-
Last 30 away (11)33.935.669.5-1.745%-
Last 10 (10)34.435.970.3-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)35.838.874.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)31.243.875.0-12.60%-
vs Similar (12)35.938.474.3-2.542%-
vs Weaker (13)39.830.169.9+9.877%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Duke wins
2
Miami (FL) wins
DateGameScore
12/03/22Duke v Miami (FL)80-76
09/01/22Duke v Miami (FL)74-76
02/02/21Miami (FL) v Duke77-75
22/01/20Duke v Miami (FL)89-59
05/01/20Miami (FL) v Duke62-95
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/23AClemson64-72
12/01/23HPittsburgh77-69
07/01/23ABoston College65-64
05/01/23ANC State60-84
31/12/22HFlorida State86-67
20/12/22AWake Forest70-81
10/12/22HMd.-East. Shore82-55
07/12/22HIowa74-62
03/12/22HBoston College75-59
01/12/22HOhio State81-72
Miami (FL)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/23HNorthern Illinois77-81
17/01/23HSyracuse82-78
14/01/23ABall State61-75
14/01/23ANC State81-83 OT
12/01/23HBoston College88-72
11/01/23HBuffalo91-80
07/01/23HKent State66-69
05/01/23AGeorgia Tech70-76
04/01/23ACentral Michigan56-68
30/12/22ANotre Dame76-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL72%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %72%100%38%
Points / game72.279.663.0
Allowed / game63.458.170.0
Point differential+8.8+21.5-7.0
Avg total135.6137.7133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miami (FL)
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL61%
HomeLWWWL71%
AwayWLLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games362412
Win %61%71%42%
Points / game76.679.470.9
Allowed / game72.371.673.6
Point differential+4.3+7.8-2.7
Avg total148.8151.0144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %3%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia1714382%70.059.9+10.1
2 NC State1915479%79.568.4+11.1
3 Clemson1915479%75.767.8+7.9
4 Wake Forest1914574%77.972.1+5.8
5 Duke1813572%72.263.4+8.8
6 North Carolina1913668%79.672.4+7.2
7 Pittsburgh1913668%74.667.5+7.2
8 Syracuse1912763%75.470.3+5.1
9 Virginia Tech1811761%73.866.4+7.4
10 Miami (FL)36221461%76.672.3+4.3
11 Notre Dame1991047%69.870.7-0.9
12 Georgia Tech1881044%70.269.9+0.3
13 Boston College1981142%64.969.6-4.6
14 SMU Mustangs1971237%68.672.6-4.0
15 Stanford1861233%67.766.3+1.4
16 Florida State1961332%69.573.8-4.3
17 California1931616%61.668.4-6.8
18 Louisville1921711%62.475.2-12.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke383068
Miami (FL)382866
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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