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Duke vs Michigan State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 02 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 69-75
33-37 36-38
Position#154
Record1-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game71.0
Duke
USA
vs
Michigan State 🏆
USA
Position#159
Record2-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game68.5
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Duke v Michigan State
10 Nov 2026
DUKE73
MICH79
20 Mar 2022
DUKE85
MICH76
01 Dec 2020
DUKE69
MICH75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#288
W
98-96 OT
98
96
+2
A08/02
NCAA
Florida State
#12
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H11/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#117
W
94-60
94
60
+34
H15/02
NCAA
NC State
#119
L
66-88
66
88
-22
A20/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#258
W
88-64
88
64
+24
H23/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#257
L
101-113 OT
101
113
-12
A26/02
NCAA
Virginia
#43
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A29/02
NCAA
NC State
#119
W
88-69
88
69
+19
H03/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#288
W
89-76
89
76
+13
H07/03
NCAA
Coppin State
#246
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H28/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-44
49-40
33-32
37-33
42-32
52-28
29-44
37-44
51-25
37-39
39-39
40-40
25-25
25-27
38-36
50-33
42-34
47-42
45-28
36-43
157.9Avg total
82.5Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)81.071.0152.0+10.0100%
Season at home (1)81.071.0152.0+10.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.575.4157.9+7.170%
Last 5 (5)81.876.2158.0+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)80.873.8154.5+7.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)82.568.5151.0+14.079%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#131
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A08/02
NCAA
Illinois
#79
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A12/02
NCAA
Maryland
#37
L
60-67
60
67
-7
H15/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#341
W
86-65
86
65
+21
A21/02
NCAA
Iowa
#90
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H26/02
NCAA
Maryland
#37
W
78-66
78
66
+12
A01/03
NCAA
Penn State
#113
W
79-71
79
71
+8
A04/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#94
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H08/03
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#289
W
83-67
83
67
+16
H25/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#236
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H29/11
NCAA
1H
2H
23-29
45-48
37-20
33-49
31-39
29-28
39-36
47-29
27-33
51-37
40-29
38-37
31-46
48-25
38-32
42-37
43-27
40-40
39-26
41-44
145.3Avg total
76.2Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)81.568.5150.0+13.0100%
Season at home (2)81.568.5150.0+13.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.269.1145.3+7.180%
Last 5 (5)80.068.6148.6+11.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (9)77.369.9147.2+7.478%
vs Weaker (20)74.464.0138.4+10.470%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +4.0+4.01st half: +3.1+3.12nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: +4.0+4.0
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +4.0+4.01st half: +3.1+3.12nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: +4.0+4.0
DukeMichigan State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#288
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A08/02
NCAA
Florida State
#12
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H11/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#117
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H15/02
NCAA
NC State
#119
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A20/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#258
W
51-25
51
25
+26
H23/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#257
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A26/02
NCAA
Virginia
#43
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A29/02
NCAA
NC State
#119
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H03/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#288
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H07/03
NCAA
Coppin State
#246
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H28/11
NCAA
71.8Avg total
37.9Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)39.232.171.4+7.168%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.530.872.2+10.888%-
Last 30 away (12)36.234.070.2+2.242%-
Last 10 (10)37.933.971.8+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)37.832.470.2+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)41.234.075.2+7.2100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)38.931.870.8+7.162%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#131
L
23-29
23
29
-6
A08/02
NCAA
Illinois
#79
W
37-20
37
20
+17
A12/02
NCAA
Maryland
#37
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H15/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#341
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A21/02
NCAA
Iowa
#90
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H26/02
NCAA
Maryland
#37
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A01/03
NCAA
Penn State
#113
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A04/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#94
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H08/03
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#289
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H25/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#236
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H29/11
NCAA
66.5Avg total
34.8Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.630.665.2+4.166%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.130.567.5+6.671%-
Last 30 away (12)31.230.761.8+0.558%-
Last 10 (10)34.831.766.5+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.232.070.2+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (9)35.830.165.9+5.778%-
vs Weaker (20)34.130.864.8+3.460%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Duke wins
0
Michigan State wins
DateGameScore
04/12/19Michigan State v Duke75-87
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/20HCoppin State81-71
07/03/20HNorth Carolina89-76
03/03/20HNC State88-69
29/02/20AVirginia50-52
26/02/20AWake Forest101-113 OT
23/02/20HVirginia Tech88-64
20/02/20ANC State66-88
15/02/20HNotre Dame94-60
11/02/20HFlorida State70-65
08/02/20ANorth Carolina98-96 OT
Michigan Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/20HNotre Dame80-70
25/11/20HEastern Michigan83-67
08/03/20HOhio State80-69
04/03/20APenn State79-71
01/03/20AMaryland78-66
26/02/20HIowa78-70
21/02/20ANebraska86-65
15/02/20HMaryland60-67
12/02/20AIllinois70-69
08/02/20AMichigan68-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game81.081.0-
Allowed / game71.071.0-
Point differential+10.0+10.0-
Avg total152.0152.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Michigan State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game81.581.5-
Allowed / game68.568.5-
Point differential+13.0+13.0-
Avg total150.0150.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wake Forest220100%91.055.5+35.5
2 NC State220100%90.556.0+34.5
3 SMU Mustangs220100%94.060.5+33.5
4 Louisville440100%77.858.0+19.8
5 Miami (FL)110100%77.059.0+18.0
6 North Carolina330100%74.758.0+16.7
7 Virginia Tech330100%78.064.3+13.7
8 Clemson220100%67.056.0+11.0
9 Duke110100%81.071.0+10.0
10 Syracuse110100%85.084.0+1.0
11 Virginia32167%75.055.3+19.7
12 California32167%69.760.3+9.3
13 Stanford21150%72.565.5+7.0
14 Pittsburgh21150%76.577.0-0.5
15 Boston College31233%76.379.0-2.7
16 Georgia Tech2020%96.5103.0-6.5
17 Notre Dame1010%70.080.0-10.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illinois330100%98.757.7+41.0
2 Iowa220100%100.071.5+28.5
3 Wisconsin330100%83.755.7+28.0
4 Maryland330100%82.060.0+22.0
5 Penn State110100%86.065.0+21.0
6 Rutgers330100%84.064.7+19.3
7 Ohio State220100%84.065.5+18.5
8 Minnesota330100%84.768.7+16.0
9 USC330100%83.367.3+16.0
10 Michigan State220100%81.568.5+13.0
11 Michigan220100%88.576.5+12.0
12 Nebraska32167%82.360.3+22.0
13 Purdue32167%80.065.0+15.0
14 Indiana32167%70.761.0+9.7
15 UCLA21150%82.585.5-3.0
16 Washington2020%47.071.5-24.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke333669
Michigan State373875
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