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Duke vs North Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 89-76
42-34 47-42
Position#19
Record20-6
FormLWLLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game69.0
Duke 🏆
USA
vs
North Carolina
USA
Position#288
Record9-17
FormLLWWW
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game74.2
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Duke v North Carolina
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07 Mar 2020
DUKE89
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Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
North Carolina winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syracuse
#165
W
97-88
97
88
+9
A02/02
NCAA
Boston College
#295
W
63-55
63
55
+8
A05/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#288
W
98-96 OT
98
96
+2
A08/02
NCAA
Florida State
#12
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H11/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#117
W
94-60
94
60
+34
H15/02
NCAA
NC State
#119
L
66-88
66
88
-22
A20/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#258
W
88-64
88
64
+24
H23/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#257
L
101-113 OT
101
113
-12
A26/02
NCAA
Virginia
#43
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A29/02
NCAA
NC State
#119
W
88-69
88
69
+19
H03/03
NCAA
1H
2H
40-36
57-52
21-24
42-31
35-44
49-40
33-32
37-33
42-32
52-28
29-44
37-44
51-25
37-39
39-39
40-40
25-25
25-27
38-36
50-33
156.5Avg total
81.5Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)82.069.0151.0+13.177%
Season at home (14)83.464.7148.1+18.686%
Season away (12)80.573.9154.4+6.667%
Last 10 (10)81.575.0156.5+6.570%
Last 5 (5)78.677.2155.8+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)80.873.8154.5+7.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)82.368.1150.4+14.277%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#295
L
70-71
70
71
-1
H01/02
NCAA
Florida State
#12
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A04/02
NCAA
Duke
#19
L
96-98 OT
96
98
-2
H08/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#257
L
57-74
57
74
-17
A12/02
NCAA
Virginia
#43
L
62-64
62
64
-2
H16/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#117
L
76-77
76
77
-1
A18/02
NCAA
Louisville
#41
L
55-72
55
72
-17
A22/02
NCAA
NC State
#119
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H26/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#165
W
92-79
92
79
+13
A29/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#257
W
93-83
93
83
+10
H04/03
NCAA
1H
2H
30-32
40-39
28-29
31-36
44-35
40-49
26-44
31-30
28-28
34-36
33-36
43-41
23-36
32-36
40-37
45-42
40-35
52-44
35-34
58-49
150.7Avg total
74.5Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)71.974.2146.1-2.235%
Season at home (14)75.675.8151.4-0.143%
Season away (12)67.672.2139.8-4.725%
Last 10 (10)74.576.2150.7-1.730%
Last 5 (5)80.278.0158.2+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)71.374.6145.9-3.335%
vs Similar (8)73.573.6147.1-0.138%
vs Weaker (1)70.071.0141.0-1.00%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: -1.9-1.92nd half2nd half: +5.9+5.92nd half: +0.4+0.4
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: -1.9-1.92nd half2nd half: +5.9+5.92nd half: +0.4+0.4
DukeNorth Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syracuse
#165
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A02/02
NCAA
Boston College
#295
L
21-24
21
24
-3
A05/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#288
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A08/02
NCAA
Florida State
#12
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H11/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#117
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H15/02
NCAA
NC State
#119
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A20/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#258
W
51-25
51
25
+26
H23/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#257
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A26/02
NCAA
Virginia
#43
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A29/02
NCAA
NC State
#119
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H03/03
NCAA
69.0Avg total
35.3Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)38.932.271.2+6.765%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.230.771.9+10.586%-
Last 30 away (12)36.234.070.2+2.242%-
Last 10 (10)35.333.769.0+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)36.433.870.2+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)41.234.075.2+7.2100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)38.531.970.4+6.659%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#295
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H01/02
NCAA
Florida State
#12
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A04/02
NCAA
Duke
#19
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H08/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#257
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A12/02
NCAA
Virginia
#43
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H16/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#117
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A18/02
NCAA
Louisville
#41
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A22/02
NCAA
NC State
#119
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H26/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#165
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A29/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#257
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H04/03
NCAA
67.3Avg total
32.7Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)33.933.767.6+0.254%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.332.168.4+4.171%-
Last 30 away (12)31.235.566.7-4.333%-
Last 10 (10)32.734.667.3-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)34.235.669.8-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)33.534.567.9-1.047%-
vs Similar (8)35.432.267.6+3.175%-
vs Weaker (1)30.032.062.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Duke wins
0
North Carolina wins
DateGameScore
08/02/20North Carolina v Duke96-98 OT
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/20HNC State88-69
29/02/20AVirginia50-52
26/02/20AWake Forest101-113 OT
23/02/20HVirginia Tech88-64
20/02/20ANC State66-88
15/02/20HNotre Dame94-60
11/02/20HFlorida State70-65
08/02/20ANorth Carolina98-96 OT
05/02/20ABoston College63-55
02/02/20ASyracuse97-88
North Carolinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/20HWake Forest93-83
29/02/20ASyracuse92-79
26/02/20HNC State85-79
22/02/20ALouisville55-72
18/02/20ANotre Dame76-77
16/02/20HVirginia62-64
12/02/20AWake Forest57-74
08/02/20HDuke96-98 OT
04/02/20AFlorida State59-65
01/02/20HBoston College70-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW77%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWWLLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %77%86%67%
Points / game82.083.480.5
Allowed / game69.064.773.9
Point differential+13.1+18.6+6.6
Avg total151.0148.1154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%71%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %12%7%17%
North Carolina
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW35%
HomeLLLWW43%
AwayLLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %35%43%25%
Points / game71.975.667.6
Allowed / game74.275.872.2
Point differential-2.2-0.1-4.7
Avg total146.1151.4139.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%21%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)29% (7)0% (2)
Overtime %12%14%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida State2723485%75.766.5+9.2
2 Duke2620677%82.069.0+13.1
3 Louisville2619773%72.264.4+7.8
4 Virginia2619773%56.854.1+2.7
5 Stanford25151060%68.762.6+6.2
6 SMU Mustangs25151060%73.569.8+3.8
7 Notre Dame26151158%74.070.7+3.2
8 NC State26151158%72.470.0+2.3
9 Georgia Tech28151354%67.966.2+1.7
10 Syracuse27141352%75.371.9+3.4
11 Clemson26121446%64.864.6+0.3
12 Pittsburgh26121446%65.165.9-0.8
13 Miami (FL)25111444%70.574.5-4.0
14 Virginia Tech26111542%66.868.2-1.4
15 Wake Forest26111542%73.375.2-1.8
16 North Carolina2691735%71.974.2-2.2
17 Boston College2691735%63.271.1-8.0
18 California2791833%61.470.4-9.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke424789
North Carolina344276
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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