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Duke vs NC State Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 88-69
38-36 50-33
Position#19
Record19-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game69.0
Duke 🏆
USA
vs
NC State
USA
Position#119
Record14-10
FormLWLLW
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game69.5
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Duke v NC State
27 Jan 2025
DUKE74
NC S64
31 Mar 2024
DUKE64
NC S76
14 Mar 2024
DUKE69
NC S74
28 Feb 2023
DUKE71
NC S67
15 Jan 2022
DUKE88
NC S73
12 Mar 2020
DUKE v NC S
upcoming
02 Mar 2020
DUKE88
NC S69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NC State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#222
W
79-67
79
67
+12
H29/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#165
W
97-88
97
88
+9
A02/02
NCAA
Boston College
#295
W
63-55
63
55
+8
A05/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#288
W
98-96 OT
98
96
+2
A08/02
NCAA
Florida State
#12
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H11/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#117
W
94-60
94
60
+34
H15/02
NCAA
NC State
#119
L
66-88
66
88
-22
A20/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#258
W
88-64
88
64
+24
H23/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#257
L
101-113 OT
101
113
-12
A26/02
NCAA
Virginia
#43
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A29/02
NCAA
1H
2H
45-34
34-33
40-36
57-52
21-24
42-31
35-44
49-40
33-32
37-33
42-32
52-28
29-44
37-44
51-25
37-39
39-39
40-40
25-25
25-27
155.4Avg total
80.6Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)81.869.0150.8+12.876%
Season at home (13)83.064.4147.4+18.685%
Season away (12)80.573.9154.4+6.667%
Last 10 (10)80.674.8155.4+5.870%
Last 5 (5)79.875.4155.2+4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)80.873.8154.5+7.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)82.068.0150.0+14.076%
This opponent (NC State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#168
L
58-64
58
64
-6
A25/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#288
L
65-75
65
75
-10
H28/01
NCAA
Louisville
#41
L
57-77
57
77
-20
H01/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#254
W
83-72
83
72
+11
A06/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#165
W
79-74
79
74
+5
A12/02
NCAA
Boston College
#295
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A16/02
NCAA
Duke
#19
W
88-66
88
66
+22
H20/02
NCAA
Florida State
#12
L
61-67
61
67
-6
H22/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#288
L
79-85
79
85
-6
A26/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#222
W
77-73
77
73
+4
H29/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-31
26-33
35-39
30-36
26-41
31-36
44-32
39-40
39-35
40-39
33-40
35-31
44-29
44-37
32-27
29-40
37-40
42-45
30-31
47-42
143.9Avg total
71.5Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)72.069.5141.6+2.558%
Season at home (12)71.664.8136.4+6.875%
Season away (12)72.574.2146.8-1.842%
Last 10 (10)71.572.4143.9-0.940%
Last 5 (5)74.672.4147.0+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)71.571.8143.2-0.250%
vs Similar (14)71.969.3141.2+2.664%
vs Weaker (8)75.972.9148.8+3.050%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +2.5+2.51st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: +4.3+4.32nd half: -1.6-1.6
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +2.5+2.51st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: +4.3+4.32nd half: -1.6-1.6
DukeNC State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#222
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H29/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#165
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A02/02
NCAA
Boston College
#295
L
21-24
21
24
-3
A05/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#288
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A08/02
NCAA
Florida State
#12
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H11/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#117
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H15/02
NCAA
NC State
#119
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A20/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#258
W
51-25
51
25
+26
H23/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#257
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A26/02
NCAA
Virginia
#43
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A29/02
NCAA
69.5Avg total
36.0Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)39.032.171.0+6.964%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.530.371.8+11.285%-
Last 30 away (12)36.234.070.2+2.242%-
Last 10 (10)36.033.569.5+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.233.070.2+4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)41.234.075.2+7.2100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)38.531.770.2+6.857%-
This opponent (NC State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#168
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A25/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#288
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H28/01
NCAA
Louisville
#41
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H01/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#254
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A06/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#165
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A12/02
NCAA
Boston College
#295
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A16/02
NCAA
Duke
#19
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H20/02
NCAA
Florida State
#12
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H22/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#288
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A26/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#222
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H29/02
NCAA
69.7Avg total
35.2Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)36.334.270.5+2.156%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.031.567.5+4.560%-
Last 30 away (12)36.737.674.2-0.950%-
Last 10 (10)35.234.569.7+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)35.233.468.6+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)35.033.568.5+1.575%-
vs Similar (14)35.833.969.6+1.957%-
vs Weaker (8)37.534.271.8+3.250%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Duke wins
1
NC State wins
DateGameScore
20/02/20NC State v Duke88-66
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/02/20AVirginia50-52
26/02/20AWake Forest101-113 OT
23/02/20HVirginia Tech88-64
20/02/20ANC State66-88
15/02/20HNotre Dame94-60
11/02/20HFlorida State70-65
08/02/20ANorth Carolina98-96 OT
05/02/20ABoston College63-55
02/02/20ASyracuse97-88
29/01/20HPittsburgh79-67
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/02/20HPittsburgh77-73
26/02/20ANorth Carolina79-85
22/02/20HFlorida State61-67
20/02/20HDuke88-66
16/02/20ABoston College68-71
12/02/20ASyracuse79-74
06/02/20AMiami (FL)83-72
01/02/20HLouisville57-77
28/01/20HNorth Carolina65-75
25/01/20AGeorgia Tech58-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL76%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayWWLLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %76%85%67%
Points / game81.883.080.5
Allowed / game69.064.473.9
Point differential+12.8+18.6+6.6
Avg total150.8147.4154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%69%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %12%8%17%
NC State
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW58%
HomeLLWLW75%
AwayLWWLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %58%75%42%
Points / game72.071.672.5
Allowed / game69.564.874.2
Point differential+2.5+6.8-1.8
Avg total141.6136.4146.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida State2521484%75.666.5+9.1
2 Duke2519676%81.869.0+12.8
3 Louisville2519676%72.964.7+8.2
4 Virginia2417771%57.254.5+2.8
5 Stanford2415962%68.962.3+6.5
6 SMU Mustangs2415962%74.270.1+4.0
7 Notre Dame24141058%74.571.2+3.2
8 NC State24141058%72.069.5+2.5
9 Syracuse25131252%75.372.0+3.3
10 Georgia Tech26131350%67.866.8+1.1
11 Clemson24121250%65.264.3+0.9
12 Pittsburgh25121348%65.465.6-0.2
13 Wake Forest24111346%73.374.0-0.8
14 Miami (FL)23101343%71.776.1-4.4
15 Virginia Tech24101442%67.268.8-1.7
16 Boston College2491538%62.970.2-7.3
17 California2591636%61.869.5-7.6
18 North Carolina2581732%71.173.8-2.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke385088
NC State363369
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