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Penn State vs Michigan State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 71-79
46-31 25-48
Position#113
Record17-9
FormWLLWL
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game69.2
Penn State
USA
vs
Michigan State 🏆
USA
Position#49
Record17-8
FormWLWWW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game65.3
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Penn State v Michigan State
13 Dec 2025
PENN72
MICH76
14 Feb 2024
PENN72
MICH80
07 Dec 2022
PENN58
MICH67
15 Feb 2022
PENN62
MICH58
03 Mar 2020
PENN71
MICH79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penn State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#149
W
64-49
64
49
+15
H30/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#341
W
76-64
76
64
+12
A02/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#49
W
75-70
75
70
+5
A05/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#179
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H08/02
NCAA
Purdue
#181
W
88-76
88
76
+12
A11/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#323
W
77-61
77
61
+16
H15/02
NCAA
Illinois
#79
L
56-62
56
62
-6
H18/02
NCAA
Indiana
#149
L
60-68
60
68
-8
A23/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#104
W
65-64
65
64
+1
H27/02
NCAA
Iowa
#90
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A29/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-28
36-21
38-33
38-31
43-37
32-33
36-22
47-55
42-30
46-46
42-28
35-33
26-30
30-32
24-37
36-31
42-24
23-40
34-35
34-42
138.0Avg total
71.2Scored
66.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)72.769.2141.8+3.565%
Season at home (15)73.764.9138.6+8.780%
Season away (11)71.474.9146.3-3.545%
Last 10 (10)71.266.8138.0+4.470%
Last 5 (5)65.266.4131.6-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)70.674.0144.6-3.460%
vs Similar (15)72.369.0141.3+3.367%
vs Weaker (10)76.866.2143.0+10.680%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#179
W
70-52
70
52
+18
A26/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#323
W
79-50
79
50
+29
H29/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#71
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A01/02
NCAA
Penn State
#113
L
70-75
70
75
-5
H05/02
NCAA
Michigan
#131
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A08/02
NCAA
Illinois
#79
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A12/02
NCAA
Maryland
#37
L
60-67
60
67
-7
H15/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#341
W
86-65
86
65
+21
A21/02
NCAA
Iowa
#90
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H26/02
NCAA
Maryland
#37
W
78-66
78
66
+12
A01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
30-22
40-30
33-22
46-28
27-43
36-21
37-43
33-32
23-29
45-48
37-20
33-49
31-39
29-28
39-36
47-29
27-33
51-37
40-29
38-37
137.7Avg total
72.2Scored
65.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)74.565.3139.8+9.268%
Season at home (14)78.465.6144.0+12.971%
Season away (11)69.564.9134.4+4.564%
Last 10 (10)72.265.5137.7+6.760%
Last 5 (5)74.467.4141.8+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)75.570.5146.0+5.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)74.263.6137.8+10.568%
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.1+5.11st half: +0.8+0.82nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +5.9+5.9
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.1+5.11st half: +0.8+0.82nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +5.9+5.9
Penn StateMichigan State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#149
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H30/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#341
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A02/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#49
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A05/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#179
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H08/02
NCAA
Purdue
#181
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A11/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#323
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H15/02
NCAA
Illinois
#79
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H18/02
NCAA
Indiana
#149
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A23/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#104
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H27/02
NCAA
Iowa
#90
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A29/02
NCAA
65.9Avg total
35.5Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.531.567.9+5.070%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.128.966.0+8.269%-
Last 30 away (14)35.734.470.1+1.371%-
Last 10 (10)35.530.465.9+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)33.630.864.4+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)33.434.267.6-0.840%-
vs Similar (15)35.331.767.1+3.667%-
vs Weaker (10)39.729.769.4+10.090%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#179
W
30-22
30
22
+8
A26/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#323
W
33-22
33
22
+11
H29/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#71
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A01/02
NCAA
Penn State
#113
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H05/02
NCAA
Michigan
#131
L
23-29
23
29
-6
A08/02
NCAA
Illinois
#79
W
37-20
37
20
+17
A12/02
NCAA
Maryland
#37
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H15/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#341
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A21/02
NCAA
Iowa
#90
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H26/02
NCAA
Maryland
#37
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A01/03
NCAA
64.0Avg total
32.4Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)34.130.264.3+3.964%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.430.967.4+5.564%-
Last 30 away (11)31.229.360.5+1.964%-
Last 10 (10)32.431.664.0+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)34.831.466.2+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)33.731.064.7+2.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)34.329.964.2+4.363%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Penn State wins
0
Michigan State wins
DateGameScore
05/02/20Michigan State v Penn State70-75
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/02/20AIowa68-77
27/02/20HRutgers65-64
23/02/20AIndiana60-68
18/02/20HIllinois56-62
15/02/20HNorthwestern77-61
11/02/20APurdue88-76
08/02/20HMinnesota83-77
05/02/20AMichigan State75-70
02/02/20ANebraska76-64
30/01/20HIndiana64-49
Michigan Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/20AMaryland78-66
26/02/20HIowa78-70
21/02/20ANebraska86-65
15/02/20HMaryland60-67
12/02/20AIllinois70-69
08/02/20AMichigan68-77
05/02/20HPenn State70-75
01/02/20AWisconsin63-64
29/01/20HNorthwestern79-50
26/01/20AMinnesota70-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penn State
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL65%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWWWLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261511
Win %65%80%45%
Points / game72.773.771.4
Allowed / game69.264.974.9
Point differential+3.5+8.7-3.5
Avg total141.8138.6146.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%40%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)80% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Michigan State
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW68%
HomeWWLLW71%
AwayLLWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %68%71%64%
Points / game74.578.469.5
Allowed / game65.365.664.9
Point differential+9.2+12.9+4.5
Avg total139.8144.0134.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%57%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Maryland2519676%70.264.8+5.4
2 Oregon2518772%74.267.7+6.5
3 Iowa2618869%77.571.5+6.0
4 Michigan State2517868%74.565.3+9.2
5 Illinois2416867%71.564.0+7.5
6 Penn State2617965%72.769.2+3.5
7 Ohio State2516964%71.763.8+7.9
8 Wisconsin2516964%66.863.3+3.6
9 USC2516964%68.866.6+2.2
10 Rutgers24141058%69.062.6+6.3
11 Michigan26151158%74.868.7+6.2
12 UCLA26151158%69.568.6+0.9
13 Indiana24131154%67.367.7-0.3
14 Purdue25131252%67.062.5+4.6
15 Minnesota24121250%70.266.4+3.8
16 Washington25101540%70.966.6+4.3
17 Northwestern2561924%65.570.6-5.1
18 Nebraska2762122%69.576.6-7.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Penn State462571
Michigan State314879
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