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Duke vs Syracuse Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 101-64
40-24 61-40
Position#8
Record23-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game63.1
Duke 🏆
USA
vs
Syracuse
USA
Position#236
Record15-11
FormWLLWW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game72.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Duke v Syracuse
16 Feb 2026
DUKE101
SYRA64
02 Jan 2024
DUKE86
SYRA66
10 Mar 2022
DUKE88
SYRA79
22 Jan 2022
DUKE79
SYRA59
22 Feb 2021
DUKE85
SYRA71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Syracuse winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H10/01
NCAA
California
#79
W
71-56
71
56
+15
A15/01
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
80-50
80
50
+30
A17/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
90-69
90
69
+21
H24/01
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
83-52
83
52
+31
H27/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
72-58
72
58
+14
A31/01
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
67-49
67
49
+18
H04/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A07/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
70-54
70
54
+16
A11/02
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
41-35
41-40
37-30
34-26
35-19
45-31
42-31
48-38
38-28
45-24
40-31
32-27
42-27
25-22
41-29
27-42
35-29
35-25
31-26
36-28
133.8Avg total
75.0Scored
58.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)82.263.1145.4+19.192%
Season at home (15)84.062.6146.6+21.493%
Season away (10)79.663.9143.5+15.790%
Last 10 (10)75.058.8133.8+16.290%
Last 5 (5)68.857.2126.0+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)67.066.0133.0+1.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)83.664.0147.5+19.690%
This opponent (Syracuse) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SyracuseUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#167
W
94-86
94
86
+8
H14/01
NCAA
Boston College
#308
L
73-81 OT
73
81
-8
A17/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H22/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
76-85
76
85
-9
H24/01
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
68-88
68
88
-20
A28/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H31/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
77-87
77
87
-10
A03/02
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
59-72
59
72
-13
A07/02
NCAA
California
#79
W
107-100 OT
107
100
+7
H12/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
79-78
79
78
+1
H14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
43-40
51-46
33-28
31-36
37-30
37-46
36-41
40-44
37-41
31-47
40-31
46-41
32-46
45-41
35-38
24-34
35-35
43-43
35-39
44-39
161.8Avg total
79.3Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)76.572.2148.7+4.358%
Season at home (16)79.369.4148.7+9.975%
Season away (10)72.076.6148.6-4.630%
Last 10 (10)79.382.5161.8-3.240%
Last 5 (5)81.681.8163.4-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)67.475.7143.1-8.421%
vs Similar (11)82.770.2152.9+12.591%
vs Weaker (5)82.865.2148.0+17.680%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.7+9.71st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: +6.5+6.52nd half: -2.5-2.5
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.7+9.71st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: +6.5+6.52nd half: -2.5-2.5
DukeSyracuse
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H10/01
NCAA
California
#79
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A15/01
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
35-19
35
19
+16
A17/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H24/01
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H27/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A31/01
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H04/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A07/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A11/02
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H14/02
NCAA
66.7Avg total
38.2Scored
28.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.631.473.0+10.283%-
Last 30 at home (20)43.030.873.8+12.290%-
Last 30 away (10)38.932.671.5+6.370%-
Last 10 (10)38.228.566.7+9.7100%-
Last 5 (5)37.828.466.2+9.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)36.024.060.0+12.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)41.831.773.5+10.283%-
This opponent (Syracuse) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SyracuseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#167
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H14/01
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A17/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H22/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H24/01
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A28/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H31/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A03/02
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A07/02
NCAA
California
#79
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H12/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H14/02
NCAA
73.2Avg total
36.3Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.332.168.4+4.263%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.930.167.0+6.876%-
Last 30 away (13)35.534.770.2+0.846%-
Last 10 (10)36.336.973.2-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)35.437.873.2-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)33.435.669.0-2.329%-
vs Similar (11)39.231.370.5+7.991%-
vs Weaker (5)38.024.062.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Duke wins
0
Syracuse wins
DateGameScore
06/02/25Syracuse v Duke54-83
03/01/24Duke v Syracuse86-66
18/02/23Syracuse v Duke55-77
10/03/22Duke v Syracuse88-79
26/02/22Syracuse v Duke72-97
22/01/22Duke v Syracuse79-59
23/02/21Duke v Syracuse85-71
02/02/20Syracuse v Duke88-97
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26HClemson67-54
11/02/26APittsburgh70-54
07/02/26ANorth Carolina68-71
04/02/26HBoston College67-49
31/01/26AVirginia Tech72-58
27/01/26HLouisville83-52
24/01/26HWake Forest90-69
17/01/26AStanford80-50
15/01/26ACalifornia71-56
10/01/26HSMU Mustangs82-75
Syracuselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26HSMU Mustangs79-78
12/02/26HCalifornia107-100 OT
07/02/26AVirginia59-72
03/02/26ANorth Carolina77-87
31/01/26HNotre Dame86-72
28/01/26ANC State68-88
24/01/26HMiami (FL)76-85
22/01/26HVirginia Tech74-76
17/01/26ABoston College73-81 OT
14/01/26HFlorida State94-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW92%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWWLW90%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251510
Win %92%93%90%
Points / game82.284.079.6
Allowed / game63.162.663.9
Point differential+19.1+21.4+15.7
Avg total145.4146.6143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+68%73%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Syracuse
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW58%
HomeLLWWW75%
AwayWLLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261610
Win %58%75%30%
Points / game76.579.372.0
Allowed / game72.269.476.6
Point differential+4.3+9.9-4.6
Avg total148.7148.7148.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%31%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (6)0% (1)
Overtime %12%6%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2523292%82.263.1+19.1
2 Virginia2622485%80.368.9+11.5
3 Miami (FL)2520580%83.670.1+13.5
4 North Carolina2520580%81.870.4+11.4
5 Clemson2620677%74.864.7+10.1
6 Louisville2519676%86.970.9+16.0
7 NC State2618869%85.074.4+10.6
8 California2618869%79.073.0+6.0
9 SMU Mustangs2517868%86.277.6+8.6
10 Virginia Tech2617965%79.274.7+4.4
11 Stanford26161062%75.472.5+2.9
12 Syracuse26151158%76.572.2+4.3
13 Wake Forest25131252%79.777.0+2.7
14 Florida State25121348%80.478.4+2.0
15 Notre Dame26121446%74.773.4+1.2
16 Georgia Tech26111542%74.576.3-1.8
17 Boston College2591636%67.469.3-1.9
18 Pittsburgh2691735%69.971.8-1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke4061101
Syracuse244064
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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