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Duke vs Wake Forest Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 90-69
42-31 48-38
Position#8
Record17-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game65.1
Duke 🏆
USA
vs
Wake Forest
USA
Position#190
Record11-8
FormWLLWL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game75.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Duke v Wake Forest
24 Jan 2026
DUKE90
WAKE69
03 Mar 2025
DUKE93
WAKE60
12 Feb 2024
DUKE77
WAKE69
31 Jan 2023
DUKE75
WAKE73
15 Feb 2022
DUKE76
WAKE74
09 Jan 2021
DUKE79
WAKE68
11 Jan 2020
DUKE90
WAKE59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wake Forest winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida
#28
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H03/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
66-60
66
60
+6
A06/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
97-73
97
73
+24
H16/12
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
81-82
81
82
-1
H21/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H31/12
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
91-87
91
87
+4
A03/01
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
84-73
84
73
+11
A07/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H10/01
NCAA
California
#79
W
71-56
71
56
+15
A15/01
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
80-50
80
50
+30
A17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-24
31-42
31-34
35-26
48-45
49-28
46-36
35-46
39-43
46-36
42-42
49-45
38-47
46-26
41-35
41-40
37-30
34-26
35-19
45-31
150.5Avg total
80.4Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)85.565.1150.6+20.494%
Season at home (11)86.665.0151.6+21.691%
Season away (7)83.765.1148.9+18.6100%
Last 10 (10)80.470.1150.5+10.390%
Last 5 (5)81.668.2149.8+13.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)67.066.0133.0+1.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)86.365.7152.0+20.693%
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wake ForestUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Virginia
#147
W
75-66
75
66
+9
A06/12
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
111-73
111
73
+38
H14/12
NCAA
Longwood
#202
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H18/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
67-98
67
98
-31
H21/12
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
57-70
57
70
-13
A31/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
81-78
81
78
+3
H03/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H08/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
84-87
84
87
-3
A10/01
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
69-68
69
68
+1
A17/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
79-91
79
91
-12
H21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-34
41-32
57-39
54-34
30-34
41-34
37-54
30-44
32-36
25-34
36-32
45-46
38-39
39-42
38-49
46-38
31-34
38-34
36-45
43-46
155.1Avg total
77.1Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)80.975.8156.8+5.158%
Season at home (12)84.876.1160.8+8.767%
Season away (7)74.475.4149.9-1.043%
Last 10 (10)77.178.0155.1-0.950%
Last 5 (5)78.081.0159.0-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)74.283.9158.1-9.711%
vs Similar (19)78.869.7148.5+9.179%
vs Weaker (2)80.578.0158.5+2.550%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: -2.7-2.72nd half2nd half: +6.5+6.52nd half: +1.8+1.8
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: -2.7-2.72nd half2nd half: +6.5+6.52nd half: +1.8+1.8
DukeWake Forest
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida
#28
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H03/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A06/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H16/12
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H21/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H31/12
NCAA
Florida State
#167
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A03/01
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A07/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H10/01
NCAA
California
#79
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A15/01
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
35-19
35
19
+16
A17/01
NCAA
74.8Avg total
39.3Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.032.274.2+9.977%-
Last 30 at home (21)42.831.173.9+11.681%-
Last 30 away (9)40.334.674.9+5.867%-
Last 10 (10)39.335.574.8+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)38.634.673.2+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)36.024.060.0+12.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)42.232.474.7+9.876%-
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wake ForestLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Virginia
#147
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A06/12
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H14/12
NCAA
Longwood
#202
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H18/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
37-54
37
54
-17
H21/12
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A31/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H03/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H08/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A10/01
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A17/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H21/01
NCAA
76.5Avg total
36.9Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.335.972.2+0.437%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.634.973.5+3.650%-
Last 30 away (12)32.837.370.2-4.517%-
Last 10 (10)36.939.676.5-2.720%-
Last 5 (5)35.839.875.6-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)34.242.176.3-7.90%-
vs Similar (19)36.932.169.1+4.853%-
vs Weaker (2)39.044.083.0-5.050%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Duke wins
2
Wake Forest wins
DateGameScore
04/03/25Duke v Wake Forest93-60
25/01/25Wake Forest v Duke56-63
24/02/24Wake Forest v Duke83-79
13/02/24Duke v Wake Forest77-69
01/02/23Duke v Wake Forest75-73
20/12/22Wake Forest v Duke81-70
16/02/22Duke v Wake Forest76-74
13/01/22Wake Forest v Duke64-76
18/02/21Wake Forest v Duke60-84
09/01/21Duke v Wake Forest79-68
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26AStanford80-50
15/01/26ACalifornia71-56
10/01/26HSMU Mustangs82-75
07/01/26ALouisville84-73
03/01/26AFlorida State91-87
31/12/25HGeorgia Tech85-79
21/12/25HTexas Tech81-82
16/12/25HLipscomb97-73
06/12/25AMichigan State66-60
03/12/25HFlorida67-66
Wake Forestlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/26HSMU Mustangs79-91
17/01/26AFlorida State69-68
10/01/26ANorth Carolina84-87
08/01/26HMiami (FL)77-81
03/01/26HVirginia Tech81-78
31/12/25ANC State57-70
21/12/25HVanderbilt67-98
18/12/25HLongwood71-68
14/12/25HQueens Royals111-73
06/12/25AWest Virginia75-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW94%
HomeWWLWW91%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %94%91%100%
Points / game85.586.683.7
Allowed / game65.165.065.1
Point differential+20.4+21.6+18.6
Avg total150.6151.6148.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%64%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Wake Forest
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL58%
HomeWLWLL67%
AwayWWLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19127
Win %58%67%43%
Points / game80.984.874.4
Allowed / game75.876.175.4
Point differential+5.1+8.7-1.0
Avg total156.8160.8149.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)67% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %5%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1817194%85.565.1+20.4
2 Virginia1916384%82.469.1+13.3
3 Clemson2016480%77.165.2+11.8
4 Miami (FL)1915479%84.968.9+16.0
5 North Carolina1915479%82.469.5+12.9
6 Virginia Tech2015575%82.074.0+8.0
7 SMU Mustangs1914574%87.576.8+10.6
8 California1914574%78.870.5+8.3
9 Stanford1914574%76.572.2+4.3
10 Louisville1813572%87.969.6+18.4
11 NC State1913668%85.571.8+13.7
12 Syracuse1912763%75.668.1+7.5
13 Wake Forest1911858%80.975.8+5.1
14 Georgia Tech1911858%75.673.1+2.5
15 Notre Dame1910953%73.270.4+2.7
16 Boston College1991047%68.468.2+0.3
17 Pittsburgh1981142%72.770.7+1.9
18 Florida State1981142%81.480.4+1.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke424890
Wake Forest313869
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