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East Tennessee St vs Citadel Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 70-52
36-22 34-30
Position#130
Record9-7
FormWLWLW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game68.4
vs
Position#361
Record5-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.1
Allowed / game73.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · East Tennessee St v Citadel
07 Mar 2026
EAST83
CITA76
23 Jan 2026
EAST84
CITA55
11 Jan 2025
EAST70
CITA52
03 Feb 2024
EAST62
CITA60
22 Feb 2023
EAST78
CITA70
04 Mar 2022
EAST76
CITA84
22 Jan 2022
EAST73
CITA75
30 Jan 2021
EAST112
CITA84
12 Feb 2020
EAST91
CITA67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

East Tennessee St winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Citadel winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

East Tennessee StUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte
#323
W
75-55
75
55
+20
A27/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#275
W
79-57
79
57
+22
H30/11
NCAA
James Madison
#110
L
61-71
61
71
-10
A04/12
NCAA
Wichita State
#147
L
87-96
87
96
-9
A08/12
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#133
L
52-60
52
60
-8
A14/12
NCAA
Elon
#174
W
84-58
84
58
+26
H19/12
NCAA
UMKC
#288
L
66-73
66
73
-7
A21/12
NCAA
VMI
#250
W
84-69
84
69
+15
H01/01
NCAA
Wofford
#169
L
78-81
78
81
-3
H04/01
NCAA
Mercer
#264
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-36
44-19
35-28
44-29
27-37
34-34
37-54
50-42
24-36
28-24
44-26
40-32
33-35
33-38
38-38
46-31
39-34
39-47
40-32
30-36
142.4Avg total
73.6Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)75.468.4143.8+7.156%
Season at home (9)80.766.1146.8+14.678%
Season away (7)68.771.3140.0-2.629%
Last 10 (10)73.668.8142.4+4.850%
Last 5 (5)76.469.8146.2+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)72.280.2152.4-8.020%
vs Similar (14)69.665.9135.5+3.857%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)78.965.5144.5+13.482%
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
N. Carolina A&T
#348
L
73-82
73
82
-9
H17/11
NCAA
Charleston
#47
L
61-76
61
76
-15
H20/11
NCAA
St. Andrews
#627
W
100-85
100
85
+15
H27/11
NCAA
Toccoa Falls
#565
W
94-57
94
57
+37
H04/12
NCAA
Campbell
#222
L
58-86
58
86
-28
H13/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#337
L
71-73
71
73
-2
A17/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
L
53-105
53
105
-52
A19/12
NCAA
Samford
#61
L
56-86
56
86
-30
A02/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
L
68-81
68
81
-13
H04/01
NCAA
Furman
#40
L
63-67 OT
63
67
-4
H09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-36
34-46
27-41
34-35
57-48
43-37
50-26
44-31
33-39
25-47
42-47
29-26
21-49
32-56
27-41
29-45
30-42
38-39
19-30
39-28
149.5Avg total
69.7Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)71.173.5144.6-2.436%
Season at home (10)75.669.6145.2+6.050%
Season away (4)60.083.2143.2-23.20%
Last 10 (10)69.779.8149.5-10.120%
Last 5 (5)62.282.4144.6-20.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)64.880.5145.4-15.78%
vs Similar (11)68.973.2142.1-4.318%
vs Weaker (5)83.863.8147.6+20.080%
This opponent (East Tennessee St) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -0.8-0.81st half: -5.4-5.42nd half2nd half: +5.6+5.62nd half: -4.3-4.3
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -0.8-0.81st half: -5.4-5.42nd half2nd half: +5.6+5.62nd half: -4.3-4.3
East Tennessee StCitadel
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
East Tennessee StLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte
#323
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A27/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#275
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H30/11
NCAA
James Madison
#110
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A04/12
NCAA
Wichita State
#147
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A08/12
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#133
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A14/12
NCAA
Elon
#174
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H19/12
NCAA
UMKC
#288
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A21/12
NCAA
VMI
#250
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H01/01
NCAA
Wofford
#169
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H04/01
NCAA
Mercer
#264
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A09/01
NCAA
70.4Avg total
34.8Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.533.067.5+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.230.768.9+7.573%-
Last 30 away (15)30.835.466.2-4.633%-
Last 10 (10)34.835.670.4-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)38.833.071.8+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)30.440.270.6-9.820%-
vs Similar (14)32.229.962.1+2.364%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)39.333.773.0+5.555%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
N. Carolina A&T
#348
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H17/11
NCAA
Charleston
#47
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H20/11
NCAA
St. Andrews
#627
W
57-48
57
48
+9
H27/11
NCAA
Toccoa Falls
#565
W
50-26
50
26
+24
H04/12
NCAA
Campbell
#222
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H13/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#337
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A17/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
L
21-49
21
49
-28
A19/12
NCAA
Samford
#61
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A02/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H04/01
NCAA
Furman
#40
L
19-30
19
30
-11
H09/01
NCAA
74.4Avg total
34.5Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.836.269.0-3.330%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.534.669.1-0.147%-
Last 30 away (13)30.738.268.9-7.58%-
Last 10 (10)34.539.974.4-5.430%-
Last 5 (5)27.841.869.6-14.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)29.238.567.7-9.48%-
vs Similar (11)31.535.667.2-4.127%-
vs Weaker (5)44.433.878.2+10.680%-
This opponent (East Tennessee St) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
East Tennessee St wins
3
Citadel wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/25AMercer70-68
04/01/25HWofford78-81
01/01/25HVMI84-69
21/12/24AUMKC66-73
19/12/24HElon84-58
14/12/24AJacksonville Dolphins52-60
08/12/24AWichita State87-96
04/12/24AJames Madison61-71
30/11/24HAustin Peay79-57
27/11/24ACharlotte75-55
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/25HFurman63-67 OT
04/01/25HChattanooga Mocs68-81
02/01/25ASamford56-86
19/12/24AVanderbilt53-105
17/12/24ACentral Arkansas71-73
13/12/24HCampbell58-86
04/12/24HToccoa Falls94-57
27/11/24HSt. Andrews100-85
20/11/24HCharleston61-76
17/11/24HN. Carolina A&T73-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

East Tennessee St
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW56%
HomeWWWWL78%
AwayLLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %56%78%29%
Points / game75.480.768.7
Allowed / game68.466.171.3
Point differential+7.1+14.6-2.6
Avg total143.8146.8140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%78%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Citadel
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL36%
HomeWWLLL50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14104
Win %36%50%0%
Points / game71.175.660.0
Allowed / game73.569.683.2
Point differential-2.4+6.0-23.2
Avg total144.6145.2143.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %7%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman1614288%78.164.9+13.2
2 Samford1613381%88.275.3+12.9
3 NC Greensboro1610662%74.864.3+10.5
4 East Tennessee St169756%75.468.4+7.1
5 Mercer169756%81.975.4+6.5
6 Chattanooga Mocs169756%76.672.6+4.1
7 Wofford168850%74.871.0+3.8
8 VMI1661038%77.772.6+5.1
9 Citadel145936%71.173.5-2.4
10 Western Carolina1441029%69.278.1-8.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
East Tennessee St363470
Citadel223052
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