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Lindenwood vs Morehead State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 73-65
21-30 52-35
Position#217
Record15-16
FormWWLLW
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game71.6
vs
Position#232
Record15-16
FormLLLLW
Points / game66.2
Allowed / game68.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Lindenwood v Morehead State
28 Jan 2027
LIND v MORE
upcoming
01 Jan 2026
LIND77
MORE64
05 Mar 2025
LIND73
MORE65
13 Feb 2025
LIND73
MORE60
21 Jan 2023
LIND63
MORE72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lindenwood winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Morehead State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LindenwoodUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siu Edwardsville
#93
W
65-63
65
63
+2
H31/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#295
L
70-76
70
76
-6
H01/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#263
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A07/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#188
L
76-84
76
84
-8
A08/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#232
W
73-60
73
60
+13
H14/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#322
W
81-78 OT
81
78
+3
H15/02
NCAA
UALR
#145
W
93-92 OT
93
92
+1
A21/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#94
L
58-74
58
74
-16
A22/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#296
L
81-86 OT
81
86
-5
A26/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#229
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
26-39
39-24
29-32
41-44
29-21
23-30
36-39
40-45
33-16
40-44
23-33
50-40
41-38
38-41
24-28
34-46
32-36
41-37
28-31
48-43
146.3Avg total
72.5Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)71.671.6143.2+0.048%
Season at home (15)77.365.0142.3+12.380%
Season away (16)66.277.8144.1-11.619%
Last 10 (10)72.573.8146.3-1.360%
Last 5 (5)77.880.8158.6-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)61.971.4133.3-9.633%
vs Similar ◀ (17)72.474.9147.3-2.653%
vs Weaker (3)91.352.3143.7+39.067%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Indiana
#322
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H29/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#229
L
64-72
64
72
-8
H31/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#94
L
51-80
51
80
-29
H07/02
NCAA
UALR
#145
L
62-76
62
76
-14
H08/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#217
L
60-73
60
73
-13
A14/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#296
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A15/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#93
L
62-80
62
80
-18
H21/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#295
L
62-67
62
67
-5
H22/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#188
L
55-64
55
64
-9
A28/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#263
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
35-26
31-39
26-34
38-38
22-38
29-42
34-39
28-37
16-33
44-40
33-30
34-42
30-35
32-45
25-22
37-45
22-29
33-35
24-20
35-27
130.4Avg total
60.8Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)66.268.6134.7-2.448%
Season at home (15)69.766.6136.3+3.160%
Season away (16)62.970.4133.3-7.638%
Last 10 (10)60.869.6130.4-8.820%
Last 5 (5)61.066.0127.0-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)63.770.3133.9-6.640%
vs Similar ◀ (11)64.866.1130.9-1.355%
vs Weaker (3)83.068.0151.0+15.067%
This opponent (Lindenwood) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.2-1.21st half: -3.9-3.92nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: -4.9-4.9
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.2-1.21st half: -3.9-3.92nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: -4.9-4.9
LindenwoodMorehead State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LindenwoodLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siu Edwardsville
#93
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H31/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#295
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H01/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#263
W
29-21
29
21
+8
A07/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#188
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A08/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#232
W
33-16
33
16
+17
H14/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#322
L
23-33
23
33
-10
H15/02
NCAA
UALR
#145
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A21/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#94
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A22/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#296
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A26/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#229
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A01/03
NCAA
61.4Avg total
30.1Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.032.866.8+1.133%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.430.967.3+5.553%-
Last 30 away (15)31.534.866.3-3.313%-
Last 10 (10)30.131.361.4-1.230%-
Last 5 (5)29.633.262.8-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)30.334.464.8-4.111%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)33.533.767.2-0.235%-
vs Weaker (3)42.724.066.7+18.767%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Indiana
#322
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H29/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#229
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H31/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#94
L
22-38
22
38
-16
H07/02
NCAA
UALR
#145
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H08/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#217
L
16-33
16
33
-17
A14/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#296
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A15/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#93
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H21/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#295
W
25-22
25
22
+3
H22/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#188
L
22-29
22
29
-7
A28/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#263
W
24-20
24
20
+4
A01/03
NCAA
57.3Avg total
26.7Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.630.961.6-0.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.230.361.5+0.960%-
Last 30 away (15)30.131.561.6-1.553%-
Last 10 (10)26.730.657.3-3.940%-
Last 5 (5)26.827.254.0-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)30.132.562.7-2.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)29.530.059.5-0.564%-
vs Weaker (3)32.328.060.3+4.3100%-
This opponent (Lindenwood) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Lindenwood wins
4
Morehead State wins
Lindenwoodlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25ATennessee Tech76-74
26/02/25AWestern Illinois81-86 OT
22/02/25ASoutheast Missouri State58-74
21/02/25AUALR93-92 OT
15/02/25HSouthern Indiana81-78 OT
14/02/25HMorehead State73-60
08/02/25ATennessee State76-84
07/02/25AUT Martin52-51
01/02/25HEastern Illinois70-76
31/01/25HSiu Edwardsville65-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25AUT Martin59-47
28/02/25ATennessee State55-64
22/02/25HEastern Illinois62-67
21/02/25HSiu Edwardsville62-80
15/02/25AWestern Illinois67-72
14/02/25ALindenwood60-73
08/02/25HUALR62-76
07/02/25HSoutheast Missouri State51-80
31/01/25HTennessee Tech64-72
29/01/25HSouthern Indiana66-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lindenwood
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW48%
HomeLWLWW80%
AwayLWLLW19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %48%80%19%
Points / game71.677.366.2
Allowed / game71.665.077.8
Point differential+0.0+12.3-11.6
Avg total143.2142.3144.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)100% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %13%7%19%
Morehead State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW48%
HomeLLLLL60%
AwayLLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %48%60%38%
Points / game66.269.762.9
Allowed / game68.666.670.4
Point differential-2.4+3.1-7.6
Avg total134.7136.3133.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%27%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)80% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southeast Missouri State31201165%74.767.2+7.5
2 Siu Edwardsville31201165%72.866.6+6.2
3 UALR31181358%69.266.6+2.6
4 Tennessee State31161552%78.773.9+4.7
5 Lindenwood31151648%71.671.6+0.0
6 Morehead State31151648%66.268.6-2.4
7 Tennessee Tech32151747%72.174.1-2.0
8 UT Martin32141844%74.371.6+2.7
9 Eastern Illinois31121939%66.569.0-2.5
10 Western Illinois31121939%68.771.3-2.6
11 Southern Indiana30102033%71.573.5-2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Lindenwood215273
Morehead State303565
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