EBAA Aarhus vs Horsens Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Jan 2019

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 62-85

8-19 21-25 15-17 18-24

Position#2

Record2-0

FormLLWWL

Points / game87.5

Allowed / game68.0

EBAA Aarhus

Horsens 🏆

Position#1

Record1-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game111.0

Allowed / game106.0

Denmark CupDenmark Cup - Semi-finals

Other2018-19

Meetings · EBAA Aarhus v Horsens

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

EBAA Aarhus winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Horsens winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EBAA Aarhus Denmark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Stevnsgade

92-79

+13

A10/11

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

81-63

+18

H18/11

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

99-86

+13

A08/12

Basketligaen

Horsens

64-95

-31

A16/12

Basketligaen

Stevnsgade

83-78

A22/12

Basketligaen

Randers

56-82

-26

H30/12

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

75-89

-14

H04/01

Basketligaen

Herlev

87-74

+13

A06/01

Denmark Cup

Stevnsgade

88-62

+26

A13/01

Denmark Cup

Team FOG Naestved

75-87

-12

H16/01

Basketligaen

26-23

18-12

16-23

32-21

16-7

22-17

21-22

24-19

33-22

14-20

28-25

6-27

25-22

13-24

20-22

22-17

22-27

19-15

20-19

15-23

19-17

9-23

13-19

20-19

17-31

16-17

22-22

26-30

17-25

26-7

18-12

21-15

19-12

17-29

31-6

20-19

27-21

15-25

13-22

159.5Avg total

80.0Scored

79.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	87.5	68.0	155.5	+19.5	100%
Season at home	no games
Season away (2)	87.5	68.0	155.5	+19.5	100%
Last 10 (10)	80.0	79.5	159.5	+0.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	76.2	78.8	155.0	-2.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	71.8	92.4	164.2	-20.6	0%
vs Similar (4)	77.5	69.5	147.0	+8.0	75%
vs Weaker (4)	85.2	70.8	156.0	+14.5	100%

This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Horsens

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Team FOG Naestved

80-75

H15/11

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

98-110

110

-12

A23/11

Basketligaen

Svendborg

105-78

105

+27

H06/12

Basketligaen

Svendborg

106-64

106

+42

A12/12

Basketligaen

EBAA Aarhus

95-64

+31

H16/12

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

85-65

+20

H22/12

Basketligaen

Stevnsgade

98-74

+24

A29/12

Basketligaen

Svendborg

102-80

102

+22

H10/01

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

111-106 OT

111

106

A13/01

Denmark Cup

Vaerlose

101-94

101

A16/01

Basketligaen

20-19

20-23

20-14

20-19

22-28

31-26

25-32

20-24

29-16

29-17

14-31

33-14

28-12

22-25

31-14

25-13

27-6

22-25

24-13

22-20

29-25

17-16

15-13

24-11

30-21

17-24

26-14

25-15

21-22

31-16

24-18

26-24

27-23

26-23

20-24

25-28

20-23

28-21

24-27

29-23

179.1Avg total

98.1Scored

81.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	111.0	106.0	217.0	+5.0	100%
Season at home	no games
Season away (1)	111.0	106.0	217.0	+5.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	98.1	81.0	179.1	+17.1	90%
Last 5 (5)	99.4	83.8	183.2	+15.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	88.0	105.5	193.5	-17.5	0%
vs Similar (6)	74.7	83.3	158.0	-8.7	17%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	97.8	77.6	175.4	+20.2	90%

This opponent (EBAA Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EBAA AarhusHorsens

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	18.7	20.5	39.2	-1.8	56%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	16.1	18.1	34.2	-2.0	56%	-
Last 30 away (9)	21.3	22.9	44.2	-1.6	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	19.9	39.5	-0.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	21.2	41.6	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	17.5	22.5	40.0	-5.0	40%	-
vs Similar (3)	16.0	13.7	29.7	+2.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.0	18.2	40.2	+3.8	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.8	20.0	43.8	+3.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.4	18.4	40.8	+4.0	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	25.3	21.5	46.8	+3.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.3	19.5	44.8	+5.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	22.8	48.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.5	28.0	50.5	-5.5	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.3	23.8	42.2	-5.5	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	25.4	18.0	43.3	+7.4	81%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	19.7	22.9	42.6	-3.2	39%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	18.4	21.8	40.2	-3.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (9)	21.0	24.0	45.0	-3.0	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	20.6	42.5	+1.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	21.2	41.0	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	19.2	25.5	44.7	-6.3	30%	-
vs Similar (3)	23.3	20.7	44.0	+2.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.0	17.5	36.5	+1.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.5	20.7	44.2	+2.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.9	20.6	44.5	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.1	20.8	43.9	+2.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.3	21.6	45.9	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	20.0	43.8	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.5	24.5	47.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.3	22.0	41.3	-2.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	24.7	19.9	44.6	+4.9	76%	-

EBAA AarhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Stevnsgade

44-35

A10/11

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

38-24

+14

H18/11

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

57-41

+16

A08/12

Basketligaen

Horsens

31-49

-18

A16/12

Basketligaen

Stevnsgade

44-44

A22/12

Basketligaen

Randers

34-40

-6

H30/12

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

37-50

-13

H04/01

Basketligaen

Herlev

43-55

-12

A06/01

Denmark Cup

Stevnsgade

40-27

+13

A13/01

Denmark Cup

Team FOG Naestved

47-40

H16/01

Basketligaen

82.0Avg total

41.5Scored

40.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	38.4	43.4	81.8	-4.9	28%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	34.6	39.9	74.4	-5.3	22%	-
Last 30 away (9)	42.3	46.9	89.2	-4.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	40.5	82.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	42.4	82.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	36.7	48.0	84.7	-11.3	10%	-
vs Similar (3)	39.3	34.3	73.7	+5.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	41.0	35.8	76.8	+5.2	50%	-

This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Team FOG Naestved

40-42

-2

H15/11

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

53-54

-1

A23/11

Basketligaen

Svendborg

58-33

+25

H06/12

Basketligaen

Svendborg

50-37

+13

A12/12

Basketligaen

EBAA Aarhus

49-31

+18

H16/12

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

46-41

H22/12

Basketligaen

Stevnsgade

47-45

A29/12

Basketligaen

Svendborg

52-38

+14

H10/01

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

53-46

A13/01

Denmark Cup

Vaerlose

48-44

A16/01

Basketligaen

90.7Avg total

49.6Scored

41.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.4	40.7	88.0	+6.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	46.3	39.0	85.3	+7.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	48.4	42.3	90.7	+6.1	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	49.6	41.1	90.7	+8.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.2	42.8	92.0	+6.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	45.0	52.5	97.5	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	37.7	45.8	83.5	-8.2	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	50.1	37.8	87.9	+12.3	95%	-

This opponent (EBAA Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	17.9	20.1	37.9	-2.2	44%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	18.1	18.7	36.8	-0.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (9)	17.7	21.4	39.1	-3.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	20.0	36.7	-3.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	20.2	36.8	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	16.7	22.5	39.2	-5.8	30%	-
vs Similar (3)	19.0	15.3	34.3	+3.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.0	20.8	38.8	-2.8	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.3	19.6	42.9	+3.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.2	18.6	40.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.4	20.7	45.1	+3.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	20.0	42.3	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.2	41.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	23.5	31.0	54.5	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.3	17.3	38.7	+4.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	24.0	19.0	43.0	+5.0	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	20.9	19.7	40.6	+1.2	44%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	17.7	19.4	37.1	-1.8	22%	-
Last 30 away (9)	24.1	20.0	44.1	+4.1	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	19.0	40.8	+2.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	16.2	35.6	+3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	18.4	21.9	40.3	-3.5	20%	-
vs Similar (3)	23.0	22.3	45.3	+0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	26.2	14.2	40.5	+12.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	21.0	42.8	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	20.3	43.0	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.0	21.7	42.7	-0.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.9	19.1	44.0	+5.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	20.2	46.0	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.5	22.0	41.5	-2.5	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	15.7	20.2	35.8	-4.5	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	23.7	20.8	44.5	+3.0	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	38.8	39.8	78.6	-1.0	44%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	35.8	38.1	73.9	-2.3	44%	-
Last 30 away (9)	41.8	41.4	83.2	+0.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	39.0	77.5	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	36.4	72.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	35.1	44.4	79.5	-9.3	10%	-
vs Similar (3)	42.0	37.7	79.7	+4.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	44.2	35.0	79.2	+9.2	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.2	40.6	85.8	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.9	38.9	83.8	+6.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.4	42.3	87.7	+3.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.2	39.1	86.3	+8.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.6	39.4	87.0	+8.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	43.0	53.0	96.0	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	37.0	37.5	74.5	-0.5	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	47.7	39.8	87.5	+8.0	76%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

EBAA Aarhus wins

Horsens wins

Date	Game	Score
16/12/18	Horsens v EBAA Aarhus	95-64
30/09/18	EBAA Aarhus v Horsens	64-82

EBAA Aarhuslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/01/19	H	Team FOG Naestved	75-87
13/01/19	A	Stevnsgade	88-62
06/01/19	A	Herlev	87-74
04/01/19	H	Bakken Bears	75-89
30/12/18	H	Randers	56-82
22/12/18	A	Stevnsgade	83-78
16/12/18	A	Horsens	64-95
08/12/18	A	Herlev Wolfpack	99-86
18/11/18	H	Vaerlose	81-63
10/11/18	A	Stevnsgade	92-79

Horsenslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/01/19	A	Vaerlose	101-94
13/01/19	A	Bakken Bears	111-106 OT
10/01/19	H	Svendborg	102-80
29/12/18	A	Stevnsgade	98-74
22/12/18	H	Vaerlose	85-65
16/12/18	H	EBAA Aarhus	95-64
12/12/18	A	Svendborg	106-64
06/12/18	H	Svendborg	105-78
23/11/18	A	Bakken Bears	98-110
15/11/18	H	Team FOG Naestved	80-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

EBAA Aarhus

Denmark Cup 2018-19

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WW	100%
Home	-	-
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	-	2
Win %	100%	-	100%
Points / game	87.5	-	87.5
Allowed / game	68.0	-	68.0
Point differential	+19.5	-	+19.5
Avg total	155.5	-	155.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	-	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	-	0%

Horsens

Denmark Cup 2018-19

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	W	100%
Home	-	-
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	-	1
Win %	100%	-	100%
Points / game	111.0	-	111.0
Allowed / game	106.0	-	106.0
Point differential	+5.0	-	+5.0
Avg total	217.0	-	217.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	-	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	100%	-	100%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	EBAA Aarhus	2	2	0	100%	87.5	68.0	+19.5
2	Svendborg	2	2	0	100%	83.5	74.0	+9.5
3	Horsens	1	1	0	100%	111.0	106.0	+5.0
4	Team FOG Naestved	2	1	1	50%	95.0	77.5	+17.5
5	Stevnsgade	2	1	1	50%	71.0	72.5	-1.5
6	Vaerlose	2	1	1	50%	90.5	94.5	-4.0
7	Bakken Bears	1	0	1	0%	106.0	111.0	-5.0
8	Randers	1	0	1	0%	70.0	82.0	-12.0
9	Herlev	1	0	1	0%	74.0	87.0	-13.0
10	Viby	1	0	1	0%	57.0	80.0	-23.0
11	Amager	1	0	1	0%	77.0	111.0	-34.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
EBAA Aarhus	8	21	15	18	62
Horsens	19	25	17	24	85

← all games of the day

EBAA Aarhus vs Horsens Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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