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EBAA Aarhus vs Team FOG Naestved Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 75-87
20-19 27-21 15-25 13-22
Position#6
Record5-9
FormWLLWW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game85.6
vs
Position#3
Record10-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game91.6
Allowed / game81.6
DenmarkBasketligaen
Other2018-19
Meetings · EBAA Aarhus v Team FOG Naestved
27 Sep 2019
EBAA68
TEAM82
25 Mar 2019
EBAA64
TEAM93
16 Jan 2019
EBAA75
TEAM87
01 Nov 2016
EBAA75
TEAM98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

EBAA Aarhus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Team FOG Naestved winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EBAA AarhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#4
L
71-93
71
93
-22
H04/11
Basketligaen
Stevnsgade
#9
W
92-79
92
79
+13
A10/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
81-63
81
63
+18
H18/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
W
99-86
99
86
+13
A08/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
64-95
64
95
-31
A16/12
Basketligaen
Stevnsgade
#9
W
83-78
83
78
+5
A22/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
56-82
56
82
-26
H30/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
H04/01
Basketligaen
Herlev
#9
W
87-74
87
74
+13
A06/01
Denmark Cup
Stevnsgade
#5
W
88-62
88
62
+26
A13/01
Denmark Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
14-19
22-33
19-19
26-23
18-12
16-23
32-21
16-7
22-17
22-17
21-22
24-19
33-22
14-20
28-25
6-27
25-22
13-24
20-22
22-17
22-27
19-15
20-19
15-23
19-17
9-23
13-19
20-19
17-31
16-17
22-22
26-30
17-25
26-7
18-12
21-15
19-12
17-29
31-6
159.7Avg total
79.6Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)76.585.6162.1-9.136%
Season at home (7)69.977.1147.0-7.329%
Season away (7)83.194.1177.3-11.043%
Last 10 (10)79.680.1159.7-0.560%
Last 5 (5)77.877.0154.8+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)71.493.0164.4-21.60%
vs Similar (4)77.569.5147.0+8.075%
vs Weaker (4)85.270.8156.0+14.5100%
This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Team FOG NaestvedDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#2
L
75-80
75
80
-5
A15/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A21/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
86-110
86
110
-24
A05/12
Basketligaen
Stevnsgade
#9
W
84-65
84
65
+19
H12/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
81-85
81
85
-4
A19/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
95-70
95
70
+25
A27/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
67-79
67
79
-12
H30/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
104-85
104
85
+19
A03/01
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
W
108-70
108
70
+38
H08/01
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
W
112-70
112
70
+42
H13/01
Denmark Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
23-20
14-20
19-20
17-21
19-28
20-18
19-17
28-22
20-29
21-30
17-29
21-14
17-20
19-16
27-15
19-23
23-23
20-26
19-13
31-16
26-17
19-16
19-21
13-15
22-23
14-20
18-21
28-17
28-21
22-23
26-24
18-21
39-14
30-19
21-16
33-20
28-19
23-15
28-16
168.5Avg total
88.7Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)91.681.6173.2+9.959%
Season at home (7)92.775.7168.4+17.071%
Season away (10)90.885.8176.6+5.050%
Last 10 (10)88.779.8168.5+8.950%
Last 5 (5)97.274.8172.0+22.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)80.986.7167.6-5.833%
vs Similar (3)88.790.0178.7-1.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)95.377.1172.4+18.378%
This opponent (EBAA Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +2.1+2.1
EBAA AarhusTeam FOG Naestved
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EBAA AarhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#4
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H04/11
Basketligaen
Stevnsgade
#9
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A10/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H18/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
W
57-41
57
41
+16
A08/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A16/12
Basketligaen
Stevnsgade
#9
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A22/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H30/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H04/01
Basketligaen
Herlev
#9
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A06/01
Denmark Cup
Stevnsgade
#5
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A13/01
Denmark Cup
80.4Avg total
39.8Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (17)37.943.681.5-5.624%-
Last 30 at home (8)33.039.972.9-6.912%-
Last 30 away (9)42.346.989.2-4.633%-
Last 10 (10)39.840.680.4-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.643.282.8-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)35.648.984.4-13.30%-
vs Similar (3)39.334.373.7+5.067%-
vs Weaker (4)41.035.876.8+5.250%-
This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Team FOG NaestvedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#2
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A15/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A21/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A05/12
Basketligaen
Stevnsgade
#9
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H12/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A19/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
57-33
57
33
+24
A27/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H30/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A03/01
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H08/01
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
W
61-39
61
39
+22
H13/01
Denmark Cup
87.5Avg total
47.2Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.840.788.5+7.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.538.287.7+11.373%-
Last 30 away (15)46.043.289.2+2.847%-
Last 10 (10)47.240.387.5+6.960%-
Last 5 (5)53.236.689.8+16.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)43.143.286.3-0.122%-
vs Similar (3)48.044.092.0+4.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)50.138.988.9+11.278%-
This opponent (EBAA Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
EBAA Aarhus wins
2
Team FOG Naestved wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/19AStevnsgade88-62
06/01/19AHerlev87-74
04/01/19HBakken Bears75-89
30/12/18HRanders56-82
22/12/18AStevnsgade83-78
16/12/18AHorsens64-95
08/12/18AHerlev Wolfpack99-86
18/11/18HVaerlose81-63
10/11/18AStevnsgade92-79
04/11/18HSvendborg71-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/19HVaerlose112-70
08/01/19HHerlev Wolfpack108-70
03/01/19ARanders104-85
30/12/18HBakken Bears67-79
27/12/18AVaerlose95-70
19/12/18ARanders81-85
12/12/18HStevnsgade84-65
05/12/18ABakken Bears86-110
21/11/18ASvendborg75-84
15/11/18AHorsens75-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

EBAA Aarhus
Basketligaen 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL36%
HomeLLWLL29%
AwayLWWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %36%29%43%
Points / game76.569.983.1
Allowed / game85.677.194.1
Point differential-9.1-7.3-11.0
Avg total162.1147.0177.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%29%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Team FOG Naestved
Basketligaen 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW59%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %59%71%50%
Points / game91.692.790.8
Allowed / game81.675.785.8
Point differential+9.9+17.0+5.0
Avg total173.2168.4176.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%71%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears1615194%103.079.8+23.2
2 Horsens1512380%96.778.9+17.7
3 Svendborg1510567%83.680.9+2.7
4 Team FOG Naestved1710759%91.681.6+9.9
5 Randers169756%89.390.6-1.3
6 EBAA Aarhus145936%76.585.6-9.1
7 Herlev Wolfpack123925%84.196.7-12.6
8 Vaerlose1431121%74.688.7-14.1
9 Stevnsgade150150%68.391.5-23.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
EBAA Aarhus2027151375
Team FOG Naestved1921252287
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