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EBAA Aarhus vs Team FOG Naestved Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 25 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 64-93
13-25 12-27 21-26 18-15
Position#6
Record8-15
FormWLWLL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game84.2
vs
Position#3
Record15-10
FormWLWLW
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game81.4
DenmarkBasketligaenBasketligaen - Quarter-finals
Other2018-19
Meetings · EBAA Aarhus v Team FOG Naestved
27 Sep 2019
EBAA68
TEAM82
25 Mar 2019
EBAA64
TEAM93
16 Jan 2019
EBAA75
TEAM87
01 Nov 2016
EBAA75
TEAM98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

EBAA Aarhus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Team FOG Naestved winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EBAA AarhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
75-87
75
87
-12
H16/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#1
L
62-85
62
85
-23
H20/01
Denmark Cup
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
L
56-88
56
88
-32
H27/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
89-99
89
99
-10
A13/02
Basketligaen
Stevnsgade
#9
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H23/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
W
88-69
88
69
+19
H01/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A03/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
W
72-70
72
70
+2
A08/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
73-99
73
99
-26
A16/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
65-89
65
89
-24
A21/03
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
27-21
15-25
13-22
8-19
21-25
15-17
18-24
12-24
15-29
15-19
14-16
26-34
19-22
25-28
19-15
26-17
23-17
15-17
16-17
20-12
33-19
14-14
21-24
16-12
23-17
11-27
14-12
18-19
16-22
11-18
27-11
18-20
18-33
11-22
26-24
20-25
17-26
19-23
9-15
154.6Avg total
72.4Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)75.384.2159.5-8.835%
Season at home (11)71.677.5149.1-5.836%
Season away (12)78.890.3169.1-11.633%
Last 10 (10)72.482.2154.6-9.830%
Last 5 (5)72.479.0151.4-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)71.892.1163.9-20.20%
vs Similar (9)73.774.7148.3-1.056%
vs Weaker (5)84.270.2154.4+14.0100%
This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Team FOG NaestvedDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#6
W
112-70
112
70
+42
H13/01
Denmark Cup
EBAA Aarhus
#6
W
87-75
87
75
+12
A16/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
78-85
78
85
-7
H20/01
Denmark Cup
Svendborg
#4
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A26/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
W
101-84
101
84
+17
H31/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
113-91
113
91
+22
H16/02
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
70-76
70
76
-6
H28/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
W
95-74
95
74
+21
H07/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
88-93
88
93
-5
H15/03
Basketligaen
EBAA Aarhus
#6
W
89-65
89
65
+24
H21/03
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-20
28-19
23-15
28-16
19-20
21-27
25-15
22-13
14-22
15-30
18-21
31-12
16-12
18-23
19-18
27-35
31-17
19-26
25-21
26-20
34-17
21-25
29-23
29-26
17-17
22-17
13-21
18-21
24-10
15-20
28-18
28-26
19-19
22-26
30-16
17-32
25-20
26-17
23-19
15-9
171.4Avg total
91.3Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)91.281.4172.6+9.860%
Season at home (13)92.777.9170.6+14.869%
Season away (12)89.685.1174.7+4.550%
Last 10 (10)91.380.1171.4+11.260%
Last 5 (5)91.079.8170.8+11.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.291.7169.8-13.50%
vs Similar (5)87.486.0173.4+1.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)94.877.3172.1+17.674%
This opponent (EBAA Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +5.8+5.8Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -5.9-5.9Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +3.1+3.1
EBAA AarhusTeam FOG Naestved
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EBAA AarhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H16/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#1
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H20/01
Denmark Cup
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
L
27-53
27
53
-26
H27/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A13/02
Basketligaen
Stevnsgade
#9
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H23/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H01/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A03/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A08/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A16/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A21/03
Basketligaen
82.8Avg total
39.6Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)38.643.482.0-4.930%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.140.176.2-4.031%-
Last 30 away (14)40.946.687.4-5.729%-
Last 10 (10)39.643.282.8-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)39.841.080.8-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)36.848.585.3-11.88%-
vs Similar (8)38.438.877.1-0.450%-
vs Weaker (5)42.635.478.0+7.260%-
This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Team FOG NaestvedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#6
W
61-39
61
39
+22
H13/01
Denmark Cup
EBAA Aarhus
#6
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A16/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
29-52
29
52
-23
H20/01
Denmark Cup
Svendborg
#4
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A26/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H31/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H16/02
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H28/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H07/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H15/03
Basketligaen
EBAA Aarhus
#6
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H21/03
Basketligaen
84.3Avg total
43.9Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.641.187.7+5.560%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.840.286.9+6.671%-
Last 30 away (13)46.442.288.6+4.246%-
Last 10 (10)43.940.484.3+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)45.037.682.6+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.545.285.7-4.70%-
vs Similar (5)46.641.888.4+4.880%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)48.539.688.1+8.974%-
This opponent (EBAA Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
EBAA Aarhus wins
4
Team FOG Naestved wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/19ATeam FOG Naestved65-89
16/03/19AVaerlose73-99
08/03/19AHerlev Wolfpack72-70
03/03/19AVaerlose64-68
01/03/19HHerlev Wolfpack88-69
23/02/19HStevnsgade80-68
13/02/19ASvendborg89-99
27/01/19HHerlev Wolfpack56-88
20/01/19HHorsens62-85
16/01/19HTeam FOG Naestved75-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/19HEBAA Aarhus89-65
15/03/19HBakken Bears88-93
07/03/19HSvendborg95-74
28/02/19HHorsens70-76
16/02/19HRanders113-91
31/01/19HHorsens101-84
26/01/19ASvendborg80-88
20/01/19HSvendborg78-85
16/01/19AEBAA Aarhus87-75
13/01/19HVaerlose112-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

EBAA Aarhus
Basketligaen 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL35%
HomeLLLWW36%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %35%36%33%
Points / game75.371.678.8
Allowed / game84.277.590.3
Point differential-8.8-5.8-11.6
Avg total159.5149.1169.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%36%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Team FOG Naestved
Basketligaen 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW60%
HomeWLWLW69%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %60%69%50%
Points / game91.292.789.6
Allowed / game81.477.985.1
Point differential+9.8+14.8+4.5
Avg total172.6170.6174.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%69%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears2523292%102.081.2+20.9
2 Horsens2620677%94.980.6+14.3
3 Team FOG Naestved25151060%91.281.4+9.8
4 Svendborg26141254%82.682.3+0.3
5 Randers26141254%89.290.5-1.3
6 EBAA Aarhus2381535%75.384.2-8.8
7 Vaerlose2371630%78.387.5-9.2
8 Herlev Wolfpack2471729%80.492.8-12.4
9 Stevnsgade222209%71.289.5-18.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
EBAA Aarhus1312211864
Team FOG Naestved2527261593
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