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Elon vs Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 82-78
42-29 40-49
Position#282
Record6-6
FormWLLWL
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game76.7
Elon 🏆
USA
vs
Valparaiso
USA
Position#355
Record4-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game66.8
Allowed / game70.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Elon winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ElonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota
#165
L
68-85
68
85
-17
A12/11
NCAA
IUPUI
#360
W
86-72
86
72
+14
A18/11
NCAA
Holy Cross
#328
W
83-69
83
69
+14
A19/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#179
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A19/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#232
W
82-79
82
79
+3
H28/11
NCAA
Warren Wilson
#705
W
127-56
127
56
+71
H01/12
NCAA
Radford
#220
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A03/12
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
L
73-82
73
82
-9
A10/12
NCAA
Bridgewater College (VA)
#478
W
104-70
104
70
+34
H16/12
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
43-70
43
70
-27
A22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
39-37
29-48
36-36
50-36
44-35
39-34
31-39
39-39
45-37
37-42
67-22
60-34
39-39
33-43
35-50
38-32
66-37
38-33
20-30
23-40
155.1Avg total
80.8Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.476.7157.1+3.850%
Season at home (4)98.070.2168.2+27.8100%
Season away (8)71.679.9151.5-8.225%
Last 10 (10)80.874.3155.1+6.550%
Last 5 (5)83.872.0155.8+11.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)65.275.8141.1-10.619%
vs Similar (9)66.069.4135.4-3.444%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)87.069.8156.8+17.2100%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisc. Green Bay
#167
W
64-59
64
59
+5
H15/11
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
64-87
64
87
-23
A18/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H22/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#166
W
71-59
71
59
+12
H25/11
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
65-83
65
83
-18
H30/11
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A02/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A07/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
50-71
50
71
-21
A09/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
L
62-63
62
63
-1
H16/12
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
61-79
61
79
-18
H19/12
NCAA
1H
2H
26-31
38-28
45-38
19-49
34-27
39-39
31-24
40-35
36-37
29-46
34-43
34-34
22-37
45-34
23-37
27-34
32-33
30-30
27-35
34-44
136.0Avg total
64.5Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)66.870.2136.9-3.433%
Season at home (8)69.067.0136.0+2.050%
Season away (4)62.276.5138.8-14.20%
Last 10 (10)64.571.5136.0-7.030%
Last 5 (5)61.672.2133.8-10.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)64.673.9138.5-9.315%
vs Similar (6)71.270.3141.5+0.850%
vs Weaker (4)78.266.2144.5+12.075%
This opponent (Elon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.0+6.01st half: -3.2-3.22nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: -3.8-3.8
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.0+6.01st half: -3.2-3.22nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: -3.8-3.8
ElonValparaiso
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ElonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota
#165
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A12/11
NCAA
IUPUI
#360
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A18/11
NCAA
Holy Cross
#328
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A19/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#179
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A19/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#232
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H28/11
NCAA
Warren Wilson
#705
W
67-22
67
22
+45
H01/12
NCAA
Radford
#220
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A03/12
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A10/12
NCAA
Bridgewater College (VA)
#478
W
66-37
66
37
+29
H16/12
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
20-30
20
30
-10
A22/12
NCAA
78.4Avg total
42.2Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.634.271.8+3.457%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.233.673.8+6.569%-
Last 30 away (17)35.634.670.2+0.947%-
Last 10 (10)42.236.278.4+6.050%-
Last 5 (5)45.435.681.0+9.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)33.435.668.9-2.244%-
vs Similar (9)37.432.469.9+5.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)47.235.883.0+11.575%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisc. Green Bay
#167
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H15/11
NCAA
Illinois
#27
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A18/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H22/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#166
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H25/11
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H30/11
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A02/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A07/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A09/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H16/12
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H19/12
NCAA
65.2Avg total
31.0Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.734.467.1-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.532.165.6+1.547%-
Last 30 away (13)31.537.569.0-5.931%-
Last 10 (10)31.034.265.2-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)27.637.064.6-9.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)30.636.266.8-5.625%-
vs Similar (6)34.034.568.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker (4)41.025.066.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Elon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Elon wins
1
Valparaiso wins
DateGameScore
18/12/22Valparaiso v Elon71-66
Elonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/23ASouth Carolina43-70
16/12/23HBridgewater College (VA)104-70
10/12/23ANC Greensboro73-82
03/12/23ARadford72-82
01/12/23HWarren Wilson127-56
28/11/23HPresbyterian82-79
19/11/23AWinthrop70-78
19/11/23AHoly Cross83-69
18/11/23AIUPUI86-72
12/11/23ANorth Dakota68-85
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/23HSamford61-79
16/12/23HChicago State62-63
09/12/23AVirginia Tech50-71
07/12/23ACentral Michigan67-71
02/12/23ABelmont68-77
30/11/23HDrake65-83
25/11/23HSouthern Univ.71-59
22/11/23HWestern Illinois73-66
18/11/23AIllinois64-87
15/11/23HWisc. Green Bay64-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Elon
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1248
Win %50%100%25%
Points / game80.498.071.6
Allowed / game76.770.279.9
Point differential+3.8+27.8-8.2
Avg total157.1168.2151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valparaiso
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeWWLLL50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game66.869.062.2
Allowed / game70.267.076.5
Point differential-3.4+2.0-14.2
Avg total136.9136.0138.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Coastal Athletic Association conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NC Wilmington119282%85.470.6+14.7
2 Charleston128467%77.175.8+1.2
3 Hofstra127558%76.870.1+6.8
4 Drexel137654%70.563.6+6.9
5 Monmouth137654%70.575.1-4.5
6 Campbell126650%67.862.8+5.1
7 Elon126650%80.476.7+3.8
8 Towson126650%65.467.2-1.8
9 Stony Brook126650%71.773.8-2.1
10 William & Mary125742%77.673.8+3.8
11 Northeastern125742%72.973.9-1.0
12 Hampton124833%80.475.2+5.2
13 N. Carolina A&T1221017%69.384.6-15.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State1211192%88.270.8+17.3
2 Drake1311285%78.766.9+11.8
3 Evansville1210283%82.570.5+12.0
4 Belmont139469%81.179.2+1.9
5 Southern Illinois128467%76.664.6+12.0
6 Illinois State128467%68.565.4+3.1
7 Bradley138562%71.868.7+3.2
8 Illinois (Chi.)127558%72.862.9+9.8
9 Northern Iowa136746%77.873.8+4.0
10 Valparaiso124833%66.870.2-3.4
11 Murray State123925%71.273.8-2.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Elon424082
Valparaiso294978
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