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Valparaiso vs Drake Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 65-83
36-37 29-46
Position#355
Record4-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game66.3
Valparaiso
USA
vs
Drake 🏆
USA
Position#15
Record5-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game72.7
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Valparaiso v Drake
25 Feb 2026
VALP74
DRAK71
05 Dec 2024
VALP60
DRAK66
29 Nov 2023
VALP65
DRAK83
04 Feb 2023
VALP82
DRAK85
23 Feb 2022
VALP65
DRAK71
07 Feb 2021
VALP74
DRAK57
06 Feb 2021
VALP77
DRAK80
27 Jan 2021
VALP v DRAK
upcoming
11 Jan 2020
VALP66
DRAK61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Drake winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
L
73-74
73
74
-1
A19/02
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
66-76
66
76
-10
H23/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
76-77 OT
76
77
-1
A26/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
50-78
50
78
-28
A03/03
NCAA
Trinity (IL)
#695
W
100-61
100
61
+39
H07/11
NCAA
IUPUI
#360
L
56-66
56
66
-10
H11/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#167
W
64-59
64
59
+5
H15/11
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
64-87
64
87
-23
A18/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H22/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#166
W
71-59
71
59
+12
H25/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-41
37-33
30-42
36-34
32-33
33-32
25-38
25-40
62-23
38-38
25-21
31-45
26-31
38-28
45-38
19-49
34-27
39-39
31-24
40-35
139.6Avg total
69.3Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)71.366.3137.7+5.067%
Season at home (5)72.862.2135.0+10.680%
Season away (1)64.087.0151.0-23.00%
Last 10 (10)69.370.3139.6-1.040%
Last 5 (5)65.667.4133.0-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)65.573.5138.9-8.020%
vs Similar (10)70.673.0143.6-2.450%
vs Weaker (5)81.865.0146.8+16.880%
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DrakeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#182
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H04/03
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
W
65-52
65
52
+13
H04/03
NCAA
Bradley
#45
W
77-51
77
51
+26
A05/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
56-63
56
63
-7
A17/03
NCAA
Lipscomb
#105
W
85-70
85
70
+15
H09/11
NCAA
Southwest Minnesota State
#421
W
87-67
87
67
+20
H15/11
NCAA
Oakland
#76
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A19/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
L
68-92
68
92
-24
A20/11
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
79-59
79
59
+20
H21/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#210
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H26/11
NCAA
1H
2H
33-31
41-31
39-23
26-29
41-21
36-30
30-25
26-38
44-48
41-22
38-33
49-34
37-36
48-41
32-38
36-54
35-29
44-30
43-30
34-41
141.7Avg total
75.3Scored
66.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.272.7152.8+7.583%
Season at home (4)82.066.8148.8+15.2100%
Season away (2)76.584.5161.0-8.050%
Last 10 (10)75.366.4141.7+8.980%
Last 5 (5)79.273.2152.4+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)76.363.7140.0+12.783%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)76.164.3140.3+11.878%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: +5.8+5.82nd half2nd half: -3.7-3.72nd half: +3.1+3.1
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: +5.8+5.82nd half2nd half: -3.7-3.72nd half: +3.1+3.1
ValparaisoDrake
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A19/02
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H23/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A26/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A03/03
NCAA
Trinity (IL)
#695
W
62-23
62
23
+39
H07/11
NCAA
IUPUI
#360
W
25-21
25
21
+4
H11/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#167
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H15/11
NCAA
Illinois
#27
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A18/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H22/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#166
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H25/11
NCAA
66.4Avg total
34.6Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.033.267.2+0.857%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.230.665.7+4.667%-
Last 30 away (12)32.237.269.5-5.042%-
Last 10 (10)34.631.866.4+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)32.228.260.4+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)30.935.166.1-4.240%-
vs Similar (10)34.233.868.0+0.460%-
vs Weaker (5)42.826.469.2+16.4100%-
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DrakeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#182
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H04/03
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H04/03
NCAA
Bradley
#45
W
41-21
41
21
+20
A05/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A17/03
NCAA
Lipscomb
#105
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H09/11
NCAA
Southwest Minnesota State
#421
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H15/11
NCAA
Oakland
#76
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A19/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A20/11
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H21/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#210
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H26/11
NCAA
68.6Avg total
37.2Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.029.967.9+8.170%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.928.467.3+10.676%-
Last 30 away (13)36.831.868.6+4.962%-
Last 10 (10)37.231.468.6+5.880%-
Last 5 (5)37.033.270.2+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)40.530.771.2+9.867%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)37.329.566.9+7.870%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Valparaiso wins
6
Drake wins
DateGameScore
05/02/23Valparaiso v Drake82-85 OT
30/12/22Drake v Valparaiso68-63
24/02/22Valparaiso v Drake65-71
03/12/21Drake v Valparaiso73-66
07/02/21Valparaiso v Drake74-57
06/02/21Valparaiso v Drake77-80
20/02/20Drake v Valparaiso77-75 OT
11/01/20Valparaiso v Drake66-61
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/23HSouthern Univ.71-59
22/11/23HWestern Illinois73-66
18/11/23AIllinois64-87
15/11/23HWisc. Green Bay64-59
11/11/23HIUPUI56-66
07/11/23HTrinity (IL)100-61
03/03/23AMurray State50-78
26/02/23AMurray State76-77 OT
23/02/23HBradley66-76
19/02/23AIllinois (Chi.)73-74
Drakelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/23HTexas Southern77-71
21/11/23HAkron79-59
20/11/23AStephen F. Austin68-92
19/11/23AOakland85-77
15/11/23HSouthwest Minnesota State87-67
09/11/23HLipscomb85-70
17/03/23AMiami (FL)56-63
05/03/23ABradley77-51
04/03/23HSouthern Illinois65-52
04/03/23HMurray State74-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valparaiso
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games651
Win %67%80%0%
Points / game71.372.864.0
Allowed / game66.362.287.0
Point differential+5.0+10.6-23.0
Avg total137.7135.0151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Drake
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%100%50%
Points / game80.282.076.5
Allowed / game72.766.884.5
Point differential+7.5+15.2-8.0
Avg total152.8148.8161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Evansville660100%86.061.3+24.7
2 Bradley660100%75.567.7+7.8
3 Indiana State76186%87.473.0+14.4
4 Drake65183%80.272.7+7.5
5 Illinois (Chi.)75271%75.961.7+14.1
6 Southern Illinois64267%75.865.5+10.3
7 Valparaiso64267%71.366.3+5.0
8 Belmont74357%81.983.7-1.9
9 Illinois State63350%66.266.2+0.0
10 Murray State52340%77.673.2+4.4
11 Northern Iowa62433%74.070.2+3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Valparaiso362965
Drake374683
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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