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Valparaiso vs Western Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 73-66
34-27 39-39
Position#355
Record2-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game68.2
vs
Position#92
Record2-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game76.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Valparaiso v Western Illinois
02 Nov 2026
VALP80
WEST58
21 Nov 2023
VALP73
WEST66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valparaiso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Western Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#303
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H12/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
62-66
62
66
-4
H15/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
L
73-74
73
74
-1
A19/02
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
66-76
66
76
-10
H23/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
76-77 OT
76
77
-1
A26/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
50-78
50
78
-28
A03/03
NCAA
Trinity (IL)
#695
W
100-61
100
61
+39
H07/11
NCAA
IUPUI
#360
L
56-66
56
66
-10
H11/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#167
W
64-59
64
59
+5
H15/11
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
64-87
64
87
-23
A18/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-38
39-38
19-27
43-39
36-41
37-33
30-42
36-34
32-33
33-32
25-38
25-40
62-23
38-38
25-21
31-45
26-31
38-28
45-38
19-49
141.2Avg total
69.2Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)71.068.2139.2+2.850%
Season at home (3)73.362.0135.3+11.367%
Season away (1)64.087.0151.0-23.00%
Last 10 (10)69.272.0141.2-2.830%
Last 5 (5)66.870.2137.0-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)65.575.5141.0-9.913%
vs Similar (10)70.673.0143.6-2.450%
vs Weaker (5)81.865.0146.8+16.880%
This opponent (Western Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMKC
#305
L
64-76
64
76
-12
H10/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#9
L
73-82
73
82
-9
H11/02
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#139
L
69-82
69
82
-13
A19/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#276
W
81-70
81
70
+11
A23/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#200
L
69-71
69
71
-2
A25/02
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#139
L
60-67
60
67
-7
H06/03
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
L
68-78 OT
68
78
-10
A07/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#99
L
53-90
53
90
-37
A09/11
NCAA
St. Ambrose
#535
W
94-59
94
59
+35
H12/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#166
W
88-80 OT
88
80
+8
H18/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-29
–
30-51
43-31
29-36
40-46
38-32
43-38
31-42
38-29
34-30
26-37
28-28
37-37
22-48
31-42
41-21
53-38
35-32
37-40
147.4Avg total
71.9Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)75.876.8152.5-1.050%
Season at home (2)91.069.5160.5+21.5100%
Season away (2)60.584.0144.5-23.50%
Last 10 (10)71.975.5147.4-3.630%
Last 5 (5)72.674.8147.4-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)63.286.8150.0-23.50%
vs Similar (16)75.672.6148.2+3.162%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)68.472.6141.0-4.143%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: -3.1-3.12nd half2nd half: -3.7-3.72nd half: +1.1+1.1
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: -3.1-3.12nd half2nd half: -3.7-3.72nd half: +1.1+1.1
ValparaisoWestern Illinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#303
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H12/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
19-27
19
27
-8
H15/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A19/02
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H23/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A26/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A03/03
NCAA
Trinity (IL)
#695
W
62-23
62
23
+39
H07/11
NCAA
IUPUI
#360
W
25-21
25
21
+4
H11/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#167
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H15/11
NCAA
Illinois
#27
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A18/11
NCAA
67.4Avg total
34.2Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.933.967.8+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.531.567.1+4.059%-
Last 30 away (13)31.836.968.8-5.138%-
Last 10 (10)34.233.267.4+1.040%-
Last 5 (5)36.630.266.8+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)30.836.467.2-5.627%-
vs Similar (10)34.233.868.0+0.460%-
vs Weaker (5)42.826.469.2+16.4100%-
This opponent (Western Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMKC
#305
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H10/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#9
L
30-51
30
51
-21
H11/02
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#139
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A19/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#276
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A23/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#200
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A25/02
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#139
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H06/03
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A07/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#99
L
22-48
22
48
-26
A09/11
NCAA
St. Ambrose
#535
W
41-21
41
21
+20
H12/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#166
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H18/11
NCAA
66.7Avg total
31.8Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.834.566.4-2.740%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.232.566.7+1.859%-
Last 30 away (13)28.737.265.9-8.515%-
Last 10 (10)31.834.966.7-3.150%-
Last 5 (5)32.031.863.8+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)27.245.572.8-18.20%-
vs Similar (16)32.134.166.2-2.044%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)30.334.064.3-3.743%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Valparaiso wins
0
Western Illinois wins
No previous meetings.
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23AIllinois64-87
15/11/23HWisc. Green Bay64-59
11/11/23HIUPUI56-66
07/11/23HTrinity (IL)100-61
03/03/23AMurray State50-78
26/02/23AMurray State76-77 OT
23/02/23HBradley66-76
19/02/23AIllinois (Chi.)73-74
15/02/23HSouthern Illinois62-66
12/02/23HIllinois State81-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23HSouthern Univ.88-80 OT
12/11/23HSt. Ambrose94-59
09/11/23ASMU Mustangs53-90
07/11/23AUTSA Roadrunners68-78 OT
06/03/23HSt. Thomas (Minn.)60-67
25/02/23ANorth Dakota St69-71
23/02/23ANorth Dakota81-70
19/02/23ASt. Thomas (Minn.)69-82
11/02/23HOral Roberts73-82
10/02/23HUMKC64-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valparaiso
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game71.073.364.0
Allowed / game68.262.087.0
Point differential+2.8+11.3-23.0
Avg total139.2135.3151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Western Illinois
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game75.891.060.5
Allowed / game76.869.584.0
Point differential-1.0+21.5-23.5
Avg total152.5160.5144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %50%50%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Evansville440100%84.554.2+30.2
2 Bradley440100%77.869.2+8.5
3 Drake54180%80.873.0+7.8
4 Southern Illinois43175%81.565.5+16.0
5 Indiana State43175%92.276.8+15.5
6 Illinois (Chi.)43175%78.863.8+15.0
7 Illinois State53260%69.664.6+5.0
8 Murray State42250%82.874.8+8.0
9 Valparaiso42250%71.068.2+2.8
10 Belmont42250%81.586.2-4.8
11 Northern Iowa31233%77.369.0+8.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tennessee State54180%77.669.2+8.4
2 UT Martin53260%80.677.4+3.2
3 Western Illinois42250%75.876.8-1.0
4 Morehead State63350%69.270.5-1.3
5 Siu Edwardsville63350%66.768.2-1.5
6 Lindenwood63350%63.874.0-10.2
7 Eastern Illinois62433%63.567.5-4.0
8 UALR41325%78.084.5-6.5
9 Southeast Missouri State41325%62.580.8-18.2
10 Tennessee Tech51420%64.878.4-13.6
11 Southern Indiana61517%63.873.0-9.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Valparaiso343973
Western Illinois273966
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