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Valparaiso vs Wisc. Green Bay Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 64-59
26-31 38-28
Position#355
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game63.5
vs
Position#167
Record1-1
FormLLLLW
Points / game58.0
Allowed / game70.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valparaiso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wisc. Green Bay winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#24
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
H05/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
62-84
62
84
-22
A09/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H12/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
62-66
62
66
-4
H15/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
L
73-74
73
74
-1
A19/02
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
66-76
66
76
-10
H23/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
76-77 OT
76
77
-1
A26/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
50-78
50
78
-28
A03/03
NCAA
Trinity (IL)
#695
W
100-61
100
61
+39
H07/11
NCAA
IUPUI
#360
L
56-66
56
66
-10
H11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-31
31-35
39-46
23-38
42-38
39-38
19-27
43-39
36-41
37-33
30-42
36-34
32-33
33-32
25-38
25-40
62-23
38-38
25-21
31-45
145.1Avg total
70.8Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)78.063.5141.5+14.550%
Season at home (2)78.063.5141.5+14.550%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)70.874.3145.1-3.520%
Last 5 (5)69.671.6141.2-2.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)63.675.1138.7-11.57%
vs Similar (10)70.673.0143.6-2.450%
vs Weaker (5)81.865.0146.8+16.880%
This opponent (Wisc. Green Bay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wisc. Green BayUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisc. Milwaukee
#81
W
80-79 OT
80
79
+1
A07/02
NCAA
Oakland
#270
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H10/02
NCAA
Detroit
#262
L
71-76
71
76
-5
H12/02
NCAA
Robert Morris
#216
L
56-71
56
71
-15
A17/02
NCAA
Youngstown State
#47
L
65-95
65
95
-30
A18/02
NCAA
Cleveland State
#107
L
65-76
65
76
-11
H24/02
NCAA
IPFW
#173
L
61-78
61
78
-17
H25/02
NCAA
Wright State
#160
L
57-77
57
77
-20
A01/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#18
L
44-85
44
85
-41
A07/11
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#344
W
72-56
72
56
+16
H10/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-34
40-37
18-29
29-30
37-33
34-43
29-30
27-41
39-46
26-49
38-34
27-42
29-35
32-43
27-35
30-42
18-49
26-36
31-27
41-29
137.0Avg total
61.8Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)58.070.5128.5-12.550%
Season at home (1)72.056.0128.0+16.0100%
Season away (1)44.085.0129.0-41.00%
Last 10 (10)61.875.2137.0-13.420%
Last 5 (5)59.874.4134.2-14.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (29)59.376.7136.0-17.310%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (1)72.056.0128.0+16.0100%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +0.5+0.51st half: -5.5-5.52nd half2nd half: -3.6-3.62nd half: -8.0-8.0
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +0.5+0.51st half: -5.5-5.52nd half2nd half: -3.6-3.62nd half: -8.0-8.0
ValparaisoWisc. Green Bay
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#24
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H05/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A09/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H12/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
19-27
19
27
-8
H15/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A19/02
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H23/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A26/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A03/03
NCAA
Trinity (IL)
#695
W
62-23
62
23
+39
H07/11
NCAA
IUPUI
#360
W
25-21
25
21
+4
H11/11
NCAA
68.5Avg total
34.5Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.134.167.1-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.431.166.4+4.359%-
Last 30 away (13)30.138.068.1-7.931%-
Last 10 (10)34.534.068.5+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)34.831.466.2+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)29.136.865.9-7.720%-
vs Similar (10)34.233.868.0+0.460%-
vs Weaker (5)42.826.469.2+16.4100%-
This opponent (Wisc. Green Bay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wisc. Green BayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisc. Milwaukee
#81
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A07/02
NCAA
Oakland
#270
L
18-29
18
29
-11
H10/02
NCAA
Detroit
#262
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H12/02
NCAA
Robert Morris
#216
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A17/02
NCAA
Youngstown State
#47
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A18/02
NCAA
Cleveland State
#107
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H24/02
NCAA
IPFW
#173
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H25/02
NCAA
Wright State
#160
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A01/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#18
L
18-49
18
49
-31
A07/11
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#344
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H10/11
NCAA
64.9Avg total
29.7Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)27.135.362.4-8.213%-
Last 30 at home (13)29.332.962.2-3.631%-
Last 30 away (17)25.437.262.6-11.80%-
Last 10 (10)29.735.264.9-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)28.636.064.6-7.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (29)27.035.662.6-8.710%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (1)31.027.058.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Valparaiso wins
0
Wisc. Green Bay wins
No previous meetings.
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23HIUPUI56-66
07/11/23HTrinity (IL)100-61
03/03/23AMurray State50-78
26/02/23AMurray State76-77 OT
23/02/23HBradley66-76
19/02/23AIllinois (Chi.)73-74
15/02/23HSouthern Illinois62-66
12/02/23HIllinois State81-76
09/02/23AIndiana State62-84
05/02/23HDrake82-85 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/23HSt. Francis (PA)72-56
07/11/23AIowa State44-85
01/03/23AWright State57-77
25/02/23HIPFW61-78
24/02/23HCleveland State65-76
18/02/23AYoungstown State65-95
17/02/23ARobert Morris56-71
12/02/23HDetroit71-76
10/02/23HOakland47-59
07/02/23AWisc. Milwaukee80-79 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valparaiso
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeWL50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game78.078.0-
Allowed / game63.563.5-
Point differential+14.5+14.5-
Avg total141.5141.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Wisc. Green Bay
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game58.072.044.0
Allowed / game70.556.085.0
Point differential-12.5+16.0-41.0
Avg total128.5128.0129.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Evansville220100%94.055.0+39.0
2 Southern Illinois220100%89.562.5+27.0
3 Murray State220100%84.565.0+19.5
4 Drake110100%85.070.0+15.0
5 Bradley220100%72.568.5+4.0
6 Indiana State32167%88.773.0+15.7
7 Belmont32167%86.081.7+4.3
8 Valparaiso21150%78.063.5+14.5
9 Illinois State21150%73.068.0+5.0
10 Illinois (Chi.)21150%72.070.0+2.0
11 Northern Iowa1010%77.083.0-6.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Horizon League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 IPFW330100%99.357.3+42.0
2 Cleveland State32167%87.066.0+21.0
3 IUPUI32167%64.371.7-7.3
4 Wisc. Milwaukee21150%80.076.0+4.0
5 Wisc. Green Bay21150%58.070.5-12.5
6 Oakland31233%69.068.3+0.7
7 Northern Kentucky31233%69.772.3-2.7
8 Robert Morris31233%63.766.3-2.7
9 Youngstown State31233%74.378.3-4.0
10 Wright State2020%77.091.5-14.5
11 Detroit2020%60.593.5-33.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Valparaiso263864
Wisc. Green Bay312859
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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